No firm call: the read leans Iceland, but the likeliest score is 1-1. A tipster goes 3-1 Iceland, the same way we read it. Second against top in the table, Estonia concede two a game. Iceland average nearly two a game. Two wins from six for Iceland lately. The historical goal rates suggest a higher-scoring game, but the final match read leans under 2.5 goals. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.
Bet: Iceland Over 0.5 Goals
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
ISL SCORE 90%
EST CLEAN 20%
Iceland score in 90% of their games
Estonia keep a clean sheet in only 20%
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
SECOND HALF GOALS
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5NOT IN CODES
1.22
2 of 2 agree95%
Book 82% · Us 95%+13
Backed by: Iceland: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Estonia: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores
TEAM HOME OVER 0.5
Iceland Over 0.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.08
2 of 2 agree85%
Book 93% · Us 85%-8price too short
Backed by: Iceland scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Estonia conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Iceland or Both Teams Score10-ODDS
1.07
2 of 2 agree85%
Book 93% · Us 85%-8price too short
Backed by: Iceland: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Estonia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
OR HOME OVER 2.5
Iceland or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.15
2 of 2 agree80%
Book 87% · Us 80%-7price too short
Backed by: Iceland: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Estonia: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR HOME OVER 1.5
Iceland or Over 1.5 Goals2-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree90%
Backed by: Iceland: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Estonia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%
SCORELINES
Most likely score
1 – 1 12%
Iceland goals →
Estonia goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-010%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.8%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from expected goals 1.68 – 0.99. Brighter squares are likelier; the most likely score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
ICELANDWLLLWLLDWL1.00 PPG
ESTONIAWLLLLDLLWW1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ICELAND HOMExESTONIA AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME0.902.00CONCEDED A GAME2.1030%CLEAN SHEETS20%
TRENDS
Iceland have scored in 90% of their games.
Estonia have scored in 70% of their games.
Iceland kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Estonia kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague table