INTERNATIONAL - UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE
17:00Sat 26 Sep
LUX
LUX
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg
CLASS A
THE BETLIVELY · RESERVE ONLY
76
TOTAL GOALS
Class A
Over 1.5 Goals
Bulgaria v Luxembourg
1.63odds
61%book
+15edge
—angles
THE READ
Bulgaria to win - 1-0 is the likeliest score. Two of the last four meetings were draws. Luxembourg sit fourth, Bulgaria second, goals go in against Luxembourg, one and a half a game. Bulgaria average one and a half a game. Bulgaria come in with three wins from their last six. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN
1.63
75.7%
Book 61% · Us 76% +15
Backed by: Bulgaria: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Luxembourg: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 2 of 4
SCORELINES
Most likely score
1 – 0 15%
Over 1.5 75.7%
Bulgaria goals →
Luxembourg goals ↓
0-014%
1-015%
2-010%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-110%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.2%
0-24%
1-25%
2-23%
3-21%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-31%
1-31%
2-30.9%
3-30.4%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-40.2%
1-40.3%
2-40.2%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from expected goals 1.23 – 0.81. Brighter squares are likelier; the most likely score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
BULGARIALLLLLLLWWW0.90 PPG
LUXEMBOURGLDLLLLLLWW0.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BULGARIA HOMExLUXEMBOURG AWAY
1.60SCORED A GAME0.802.50CONCEDED A GAME1.6010%CLEAN SHEETS20%
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4
BULGARIA 2 · 50%DRAW 2LUXEMBOURG 0 · 0%
2 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED
2 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS
2016-09-06Bulgaria 4 – 3 Luxembourg
2017-10-10Bulgaria 1 – 1 Luxembourg
2024-10-12Bulgaria 0 – 0 Luxembourg
2024-11-15Bulgaria 1 – 0 Luxembourg
TRENDS
Bulgaria have scored in 60% of their games.
Luxembourg have scored in 40% of their games.
Bulgaria kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Luxembourg kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards