INTERNATIONAL - UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE
14:00Sat 26 Sep
SCO
SCO
Slovenia vs Scotland
CLASS A
THE BETLIVELY · RESERVE ONLY
75
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class A
Double Chance: Draw or Scotland
Slovenia v Scotland
1.48odds
68%book
+7edge
1/1angles
THE READ
No firm call on the result; the likeliest score is 1-1. Slovenia have not won any of their last six. Scotland are third in the table, Slovenia are fourth, Slovenia concede a little over one a game. Scotland do not score much, one and a half a game. Slovenia have no wins in their last six. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.
Bet: Double Chance: Draw or Scotland
WHY — 1 THING AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree1/1 lit
SVN 9/10
Slovenia saw this bet land in 9 of their last 10 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
DOUBLE CHANCE
Double Chance: Draw or ScotlandMAIN
1.48
1 of 1 agree75%
Book 68% · Us 75% +7
Backed by: Scotland unbeaten in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Slovenia failed to win 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
FIRST HALF GOALS
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsNOT IN CODES
no price yet
2 of 2 agree80%
Backed by: Slovenia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Scotland: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
OR AWAY UNDER 2.5
Scotland or Under 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree80%
Backed by: Scotland: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Slovenia: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
TEAM HOME UNDER 1.5
Slovenia Under 1.5 goals
no price yet
1 of 1 agree75%
Backed by: Slovenia scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Scotland conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
SCORELINES
Most likely score
1 – 1 14%
Slovenia goals →
Scotland goals ↓
0-014%
1-011%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-114%
1-114%
2-16%
3-12%
4-10.4%
5-10.1%
0-28%
1-27%
2-23%
3-21%
4-20.2%
5-20.0%
0-33%
1-33%
2-31%
3-30.4%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-40.8%
1-40.8%
2-40.3%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from expected goals 0.91 – 1.11. Brighter squares are likelier; the most likely score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
SLOVENIAWLDDDLDDLD0.90 PPG
SCOTLANDLDWWWLWWLL1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SLOVENIA HOMExSCOTLAND AWAY
0.60SCORED A GAME1.401.30CONCEDED A GAME1.4040%CLEAN SHEETS30%2.62CORNERS A GAME4.002.00CARDS A GAME1.670.83xG0.870.86xG AGAINST2.12
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
SLOVENIA 0 · 0%DRAW 1SCOTLAND 1 · 50%
2017-03-26Slovenia 0 – 1 Scotland
2017-10-08Slovenia 2 – 2 Scotland
TRENDS
Slovenia have scored in 40% of their games.
Scotland have scored in 60% of their games.
Slovenia kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Scotland kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards