INTERNATIONAL - UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE
19:45Fri 25 Sep
ROU
ROM
Sweden vs Romania
CLASS A
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
81
TEAM AWAY OVER 0.5
Class A
Romania Over 0.5 goals
Sweden v Romania
1.52odds
66%book
+15edge
2/2angles
THE READ
No firm call: the read leans Romania, but the likeliest score is 1-1. A tipster goes 2-1 Sweden, against our read. They are third, Sweden are top, Sweden cannot keep them out, two a game. Romania average a little over two a game. Sweden come in with three wins from their last six. The historical goal rates suggest a higher-scoring game, but the final match read leans under 2.5 goals. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.
Bet: Romania Over 0.5 goals
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
ROU SCORE 75%
SWE CLEAN 0%
Romania score in 75% of their games
Sweden keep a clean sheet in only 0%
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TEAM AWAY OVER 0.5
Romania Over 0.5 goalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.52
2 of 2 agree81.3%
Book 66% · Us 81% +15
Backed by: Romania are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.60 to 1.10).
FIRST HALF
1st Half - Double Chance: Draw or RomaniaNOT IN CODES
1.82
2 of 2 agree80.7%
Book 55% · Us 81% +26
SECOND HALF GOALS
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5NOT IN CODES
1.17
2 of 2 agree77.2%
Book 85% · Us 77% -8 price too short
Backed by: A fast start is likely: the two sides score 1.8 first-half goals a match between them; An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.6 goals a match between them.
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 Goals
1.16
2 of 2 agree72.2%
Book 86% · Us 72% -14 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.6 goals a match between them.
TEAM GOALS
Romania Multigoals: 1-3NOT IN CODES
1.49
1 of 1 agree70.3%
Book 67% · Us 70% +3
Backed by: Romania are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.60 to 1.10).
SCORELINES
Most likely score
1 – 1 13%
Over 1.5 72.2%
Sweden goals →
Romania goals ↓
0-09%
1-08%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-111%
1-113%
2-17%
3-12%
4-10.6%
5-10.1%
0-29%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-42%
1-42%
2-40.8%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.5%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from expected goals 1.04 – 1.45. Brighter squares are likelier; the most likely score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
SWEDENLLLDWWWLDL1.10 PPG
ROMANIAWLWLWDWLWL1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SWEDEN HOMExROMANIA AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME2.302.10CONCEDED A GAME1.200%CLEAN SHEETS12%4.00CORNERS A GAME3.001.75CARDS A GAME1.750.99xG2.341.85xG AGAINST0.69
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
SWEDEN 2 · 100%DRAW 0ROMANIA 0 · 0%
2019-03-23Sweden 2 – 1 Romania
2019-11-15Sweden 2 – 0 Romania
TRENDS
Sweden have scored in 88% of their games.
Romania have scored in 75% of their games.
Sweden kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Romania kept a clean sheet in 12% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards