INTERNATIONAL - UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE
19:45Fri 25 Sep
UKR
UKR
Hungary vs Ukraine
CLASS A
THE BETLIVELY · RESERVE ONLY
78
TOTAL GOALS
Class A
Over 1.5 Goals
Hungary v Ukraine
1.37odds
73%book
+5edge
2/3angles
EDGE PICKHungary Under 1.5 goals · 57.4% · @1.59
Book 63% · Us 57% -6 price too short
THE READ
No firm call: the read leans Ukraine, but the likeliest score is 1-1. A tipster goes 2-2, against our read. The points-per-game comparison favours Ukraine, so this is not a one-sided case. Second against third in the table, Hungary are open at the back, two a game. Ukraine average one and a half a game. Two wins in the last six for Hungary. The final goals call favours over 2.5. The bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 78.1%.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Edge: Hungary Under 1.5 goals
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 1 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/3 lit
HUN SCORE 88%
UKR SCORE 88%
HUN CLEAN 50%
Hungary score in 88% of their games
Ukraine score in 88% of their games
Hungary keep a clean sheet in 50% of their games, so Ukraine have to break them down
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
SECOND HALF GOALS
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5NOT IN CODES
1.31
2 of 2 agree81.3%
Book 76% · Us 81% +5
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.5 goals a match between them.
TEAM HOME OVER 0.5
Hungary Over 0.5 goals10-ODDS
1.35
1 of 1 agree80.8%
Book 74% · Us 81% +7
Backed by: Hungary score in 88% of their games and Ukraine keep a clean sheet in only 38%.
FIRST HALF
1st Half - Double Chance: Hungary or DrawNOT IN CODES
1.30
2 of 2 agree77.3%
Book 77% · Us 77% 0
TEAM AWAY OVER 0.5
Ukraine Over 0.5 goals
1.42
1 of 2 agree73.9%
Book 70% · Us 74% +4
Backed by: Ukraine are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.60 to 0.90).
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Ukraine win or both teams score
1.41
2 of 2 agree73.3%
Book 71% · Us 73% +2
Backed by: Ukraine are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.60 to 0.90); Hungary score in 88% of their games and Ukraine keep a clean sheet in only 38%.
HALVES
2nd Half - Multigoals: 1-3
1.33
2 of 2 agree72.6%
Book 75% · Us 73% -2 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.5 goals a match between them.
TOTAL GOALS
2-5 GoalsNOT IN CODES
1.25
2 of 2 agree71.8%
Book 80% · Us 72% -8 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.5 goals a match between them.
TEAM GOALS
Hungary Multigoals: 1-3NOT IN CODES
1.37
2 of 2 agree70.9%
Book 73% · Us 71% -2 price too short
Backed by: Hungary score in 88% of their games and Ukraine keep a clean sheet in only 38%.
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
Ukraine or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree87.9%
Backed by: Ukraine are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.60 to 0.90); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.5 goals a match between them.
LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS
TEAM HOME UNDER 1.5
Hungary Under 1.5 goalsEDGE
1.59
57.4%
Book 63% · Us 57% -6 price too short
Backed by: Ukraine are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.60 to 0.90).
SCORELINES
Most likely score
1 – 1 13%
Over 1.5 78.1%Both score 57.2%
Hungary goals →
Ukraine goals ↓
0-07%
1-08%
2-06%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.9%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from expected goals 1.44 – 1.34. Brighter squares are likelier; the most likely score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
HUNGARYLDLLDLWDWL0.90 PPG
UKRAINEWWLLDWWLWL1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
HUNGARY HOMExUKRAINE AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME1.602.10CONCEDED A GAME1.9050%CLEAN SHEETS38%
TRENDS
Hungary have scored in 88% of their games.
Ukraine have scored in 88% of their games.
Hungary kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Ukraine kept a clean sheet in 38% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards