URUGUAY - PRIMERA DIVISION
20:30Sun 20 Sep
DEF
DS
Club Nacional de Football vs Defensor Sporting
CLASS D
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
88
TOTAL GOALS
Class D
Under 3.5 Goals
Club Nacional de Football v Defensor Sporting
1.29odds
78%book
+10edge
3/3angles
THE READ
This has landed in 100% of the last 4 between them. Club Nacional de Football saw this bet land in 9 of their last 10 games. Defensor Sporting saw this bet land in 8 of their last 10 games.
Bet: Under 3.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.7 – 0.9
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
H2H 100%
CLU 9/10
DEF 8/10
This has landed in 100% of the last 4 between them
Club Nacional de Football saw this bet land in 9 of their last 10 games
Defensor Sporting saw this bet land in 8 of their last 10 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
HANDICAP
Club Nacional de Football +1.52-ODDS
1.03
2 of 2 agree93.8%
Book 97% · Us 94% -3 price too short
FIRST HALF GOALS
Under 2.5 first-half goals2-ODDS
1.08
3 of 3 agree93.7%
Book 93% · Us 94% +1
TOTAL GOALS
Under 3.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.29
3 of 3 agree88.3%
Book 78% · Us 88% +10
Backed by: the goals counts agree on under 3.5.
OR HOME UNDER 2.5
Club Nacional de Football or Under 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.12
2 of 2 agree85.4%
Book 89% · Us 85% -4 price too short
Backed by: Club Nacional de Football are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.50 to 1.00).
1UP
Club Nacional de Football or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.15
2 of 2 agree84.3%
Book 87% · Us 84% -3 price too short
TEAM GOALS
Club Nacional de Football Over 0.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.19
2 of 2 agree81.6%
Book 84% · Us 82% -2 price too short
Backed by: Club Nacional de Football are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.50 to 1.00).
DRAW NO BET
Club Nacional de Football (Draw No Bet)10-ODDS
1.29
74.6%
Book 78% · Us 75% -3 price too short
Backed by: Club Nacional de Football are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.50 to 1.00).
LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS
AND 1X UNDER 3.5
Club Nacional de Football or draw and under 3.5 goals
1.52
58.8%
Book 66% · Us 59% -7 price too short
Backed by: Club Nacional de Football are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.50 to 1.00); the goals counts agree on under 3.5.
MATCH RESULT
Club Nacional de Football to Win
1.73
56%
Book 58% · Us 56% -2 price too short
Backed by: Club Nacional de Football are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.50 to 1.00).
WHY WE PASS
Club Nacional de Football Win & Over 1.5 — no bet. Club Nacional de Football saw this bet land in only 2 of their last 10 games. 1 other angle point the same way, and 0 point at it — too split to bet.
Club Nacional de Football win and under 3.5 goals — no bet. Defensor Sporting saw this bet land in only 2 of their last 10 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 12%
Over 1.5 73.9%
Club Nacional de… goals →
Defensor Sporting goals ↓
0-07%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-18%
1-112%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Club Nacional de Football score 1.5 and concede 1.33 (at home, 6 games), Defensor Sporting score 0.9 and concede 1.5 (last 10, all venues, 10 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
CLUB NACIONAL DE FOOTBALLWDLWLLWWDD1.50 PPG
DEFENSOR SPORTINGDDLWLLDLDW1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CLUB NACIONAL DE FOOTBALL HOMExDEFENSOR SPORTING AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME0.901.10CONCEDED A GAME1.5060%BOTH SCORED70%30%CLEAN SHEETS10%18%FAILED TO SCORE32%
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
CLUB NACIONAL DE FOOTBALL 3 · 33%DRAW 5DEFENSOR SPORTING 1 · 11%
7 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-06-13Club Nacional de Football 1 – 0 Defensor Sporting
2022-10-08Club Nacional de Football 1 – 1 Defensor Sporting
2023-05-07Club Nacional de Football 2 – 2 Defensor Sporting
2023-12-04Club Nacional de Football 1 – 0 Defensor Sporting
2024-03-10Club Nacional de Football 3 – 3 Defensor Sporting
2024-09-21Club Nacional de Football 1 – 1 Defensor Sporting
2025-05-18Club Nacional de Football 2 – 1 Defensor Sporting
2025-11-09Club Nacional de Football 1 – 1 Defensor Sporting
TRENDS
Club Nacional de Football failed to score in 18% of their games.
Defensor Sporting failed to score in 32% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table