AUSTRIA - BUNDESLIGA
16:00Sun 20 Sep
STU
SG
Salzburg vs Sturm Graz
CLASS B
THE BETBANKER · 2-ODDS · 3-ODDS · 5-ODDS…
95
TOTAL GOALS
Class B
Over 1.5 Goals
Salzburg v Sturm Graz
1.10odds
91%book
+4edge
3/3angles
EDGE PICKSalzburg Under 3.5 goals · 82.2% · @1.25
Book 80% · Us 82% +2
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of themTHE READ
Salzburg go over 1.5 in 83% of their games. Sturm Graz go over 1.5 in 83% of their games. This has landed in 100% of the last 6 between them.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Edge: Salzburg Under 3.5 goals · Expected goals 2.2 – 1.3
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
SAL O1.5 83%
STU O1.5 83%
H2H 100%
Salzburg go over 1.5 in 83% of their games
Sturm Graz go over 1.5 in 83% of their games
This has landed in 100% of the last 6 between them
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN2-ODDS
1.10
3 of 3 agree95%
Book 91% · Us 95% +4
Backed by: the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
HANDICAP
Salzburg +1.52-ODDS
1.04
2 of 2 agree91.2%
Book 96% · Us 91% -5 price too short
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Salzburg or Both Teams Score10-ODDS
1.06
1 of 1 agree88.8%
Book 94% · Us 89% -5 price too short
Backed by: Salzburg are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.33 to 1.83); Sturm Graz score in 100% of their games and Salzburg keep a clean sheet in only 33%.
TEAM GOALS
Sturm Graz Under 2.5 goals10-ODDS
1.10
2 of 2 agree86.3%
Book 91% · Us 86% -5 price too short
1UP
Salzburg or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.10
1 of 1 agree83.8%
Book 91% · Us 84% -7 price too short
OR HOME OVER 2.5
Salzburg or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.13
81.6%
Book 88% · Us 82% -6 price too short
Backed by: Salzburg are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.33 to 1.83).
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
1.19
73.6%
Book 84% · Us 74% -10 price too short
AND 1X OVER 1.5
Salzburg or Draw & Over 1.510-ODDS
1.25
1 of 1 agree68.3%
Book 80% · Us 68% -12 price too short
Backed by: Salzburg are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.33 to 1.83); the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR HOME OVER 1.5
Salzburg or Over 1.5 Goals2-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree92.9%
Backed by: Salzburg are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.33 to 1.83); the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
CORNERS
Over 7.5 Corners10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree85.5%
CARDS
Over 1.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
72.6%
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: Sturm Graz average 2.3 cards a match.
WHY WE PASS
Salzburg Over 1.5 goals — no bet. Sturm Graz saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 6 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 0 11%
Over 1.5 95%Both score 63.8%
Salzburg goals →
Sturm Graz goals ↓
0-06%
1-011%
2-010%
3-06%
4-02%
5-00.9%
0-16%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-12%
5-10.9%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Salzburg score 2.5 and concede 0.67 (last 10, all venues, 6 games), Sturm Graz score 1.33 and concede 1 (last 10, all venues, 6 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 6
SALZBURGWDWWWD2.33 PPG
STURM GRAZDWWDLW1.83 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SALZBURG HOMExSTURM GRAZ AWAY
2.50SCORED A GAME1.330.67CONCEDED A GAME1.0067%BOTH SCORED67%33%CLEAN SHEETS33%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%8.33CORNERS A GAME8.503.15xG1.691.29xG AGAINST0.88
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.33POINTS A GAME1.83+1.83GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.33+7.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.06LEAGUE GAMES6
Salzburg: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
83%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
38%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
OKAY · 85/90
SALZBURG OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
STURM GRAZ OR DRAW
35%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SALZBURGxSTURM GRAZ
5GAMES52.80SCORED A GAME1.400.80CONCEDED A GAME1.003.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
SALZBURG 1 · 10%DRAW 4STURM GRAZ 5 · 50%
8 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
10 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-04-04Salzburg 3 – 4 Sturm Graz
2024-04-28Salzburg 2 – 2 Sturm Graz
2024-10-06Salzburg 0 – 5 Sturm Graz
2025-03-02Salzburg 3 – 1 Sturm Graz
2025-04-13Salzburg 1 – 2 Sturm Graz
2025-05-09Salzburg 2 – 4 Sturm Graz
2025-09-20Salzburg 0 – 2 Sturm Graz
2025-11-09Salzburg 1 – 1 Sturm Graz
TRENDS
Salzburg failed to score in 0% of their games.
Sturm Graz failed to score in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tablecorners