JAPAN - J3 LEAGUE
11:00Fri 18 Sep
MAT
MY
Roasso Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga FC
CLASS E
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
87
TEAM GOALS
Class E
Matsumoto Yamaga FC Under 2.5 goals
Roasso Kumamoto v Matsumoto Yamaga FC
1.10odds
91%book
-4edge
2/2angles
EDGE PICKOver 1.5 Goals · 65.2% · @1.30
Book 77% · Us 65% -12 price too short
· main loses on: 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 3-3, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6, 4-3, 3-4 and 76 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of themTHE READ
Roasso Kumamoto saw this bet land in 6 of their last 6 games. Matsumoto Yamaga FC saw this bet land in 6 of their last 6 games.
Bet: Matsumoto Yamaga FC Under 2.5 goals · Edge: Over 1.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.3 – 1.2
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
ROA 6/6
MAT 6/6
Roasso Kumamoto saw this bet land in 6 of their last 6 games
Matsumoto Yamaga FC saw this bet land in 6 of their last 6 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
FIRST HALF GOALS
Under 2.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
1.08
3 of 3 agree88.7%
Book 93% · Us 89% -4 price too short
TOTAL GOALS
Under 4.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.10
2 of 2 agree87.9%
Book 91% · Us 88% -3 price too short
Backed by: A tight game is likely: the two sides average 2.1 goals a match between them.
TEAM GOALS
Matsumoto Yamaga FC Under 2.5 goalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.10
2 of 2 agree86.7%
Book 91% · Us 87% -4 price too short
OR HOME UNDER 2.5
Roasso Kumamoto or Under 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.26
2 of 2 agree74.1%
Book 79% · Us 74% -5 price too short
Backed by: Roasso Kumamoto are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.50 to 0.67); A tight game is likely: the two sides average 2.1 goals a match between them.
OR AWAY UNDER 2.5
Matsumoto Yamaga FC or Under 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.34
71.7%
Book 75% · Us 72% -3 price too short
1UP
Roasso Kumamoto or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.26
2 of 2 agree71.2%
Book 79% · Us 71% -8 price too short
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
HANDICAP
Roasso Kumamoto +1.510-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree84.9%
LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS
DRAW NO BET
Roasso Kumamoto (Draw No Bet)
1.69
48.7%
Book 59% · Us 49% -10 price too short
Backed by: Roasso Kumamoto are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.50 to 0.67).
AND 1X UNDER 3.5
Roasso Kumamoto or draw and under 3.5 goals
1.75
48.1%
Book 57% · Us 48% -9 price too short
Backed by: Roasso Kumamoto are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.50 to 0.67); A tight game is likely: the two sides average 2.1 goals a match between them.
MATCH RESULT
Roasso Kumamoto to Win
2.35
37.9%
Book 43% · Us 38% -5 price too short
Backed by: Roasso Kumamoto are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.50 to 0.67).
AND 1X UNDER 2.5
Roasso Kumamoto or draw and under 2.5 goals
2.25
36.8%
Book 44% · Us 37% -7 price too short
Backed by: Roasso Kumamoto are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.50 to 0.67); A tight game is likely: the two sides average 2.1 goals a match between them.
WHY WE PASS
1-3 Goals — no bet. Matsumoto Yamaga FC saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 6 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
Roasso Kumamoto win and under 3.5 goals — no bet. Matsumoto Yamaga FC saw this bet land in only 0 of their last 6 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
Roasso Kumamoto win and under 2.5 goals — no bet. Roasso Kumamoto saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 6 games. 1 other angle point the same way, and 0 point at it — too split to bet.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 0 16%
Over 1.5 65.2%
Roasso Kumamoto goals →
Matsumoto Yamaga FC goals ↓
0-012%
1-016%
2-010%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-110%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-24%
1-25%
2-23%
3-21%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-31%
1-32%
2-30.9%
3-30.4%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-40.3%
1-40.3%
2-40.2%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Roasso Kumamoto score 1 and concede 0.67 (last 10, all venues, 6 games), Matsumoto Yamaga FC score 1 and concede 1.5 (last 10, all venues, 6 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 6
ROASSO KUMAMOTODDLWDW1.50 PPG
MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FCDLDDDL0.67 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ROASSO KUMAMOTO HOMExMATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.000.67CONCEDED A GAME1.5033%BOTH SCORED67%50%CLEAN SHEETS33%50%FAILED TO SCORE33%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.50POINTS A GAME0.67+0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.50–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.66LEAGUE GAMES6
Roasso Kumamoto: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
ROASSO KUMAMOTO 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
54%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
38%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
ROASSO KUMAMOTO OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC OR DRAW
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ROASSO KUMAMOTOxMATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.200.80CONCEDED A GAME1.802.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
ROASSO KUMAMOTO 2 · 22%DRAW 0MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC 7 · 78%
2 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
5 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2013-07-07Roasso Kumamoto 0 – 3 Matsumoto Yamaga FC
2014-03-09Roasso Kumamoto 0 – 1 Matsumoto Yamaga FC
2014-07-30Roasso Kumamoto 1 – 2 Matsumoto Yamaga FC
2016-02-28Roasso Kumamoto 1 – 0 Matsumoto Yamaga FC
2016-11-03Roasso Kumamoto 0 – 1 Matsumoto Yamaga FC
2017-04-16Roasso Kumamoto 2 – 0 Matsumoto Yamaga FC
2017-10-07Roasso Kumamoto 0 – 1 Matsumoto Yamaga FC
2018-06-30Roasso Kumamoto 1 – 3 Matsumoto Yamaga FC
TRENDS
Roasso Kumamoto failed to score in 50% of their games.
Matsumoto Yamaga FC failed to score in 33% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table