ICELAND - BESTA DEILD
17:00Sun 20 Sep
FRA
FR
Keflavik IF vs Fram Reykjavik
CLASS B
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
83
TOTAL GOALS
Class B
Over 1.5 Goals
Keflavik IF v Fram Reykjavik
1.10odds
91%book
-8edge
3/3angles
EDGE PICKKeflavik IF Under 1.5 goals · 57.7% · @1.65
Book 61% · Us 58% -3 price too short
Backed by
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of themFram Reykjavik are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.80 to 1.20).
THE READ
Keflavik IF go over 1.5 in 80% of their games. Fram Reykjavik go over 1.5 in 90% of their games. This has landed in 80% of the last 5 between them.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Edge: Keflavik IF Under 1.5 goals · Expected goals 1.4 – 2.1
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
KEF O1.5 80%
FRA O1.5 90%
H2H 80%
Keflavik IF go over 1.5 in 80% of their games
Fram Reykjavik go over 1.5 in 90% of their games
This has landed in 80% of the last 5 between them
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
HANDICAP
Fram Reykjavik +1.510-ODDS
1.07
2 of 2 agree88.7%
Book 93% · Us 89% -4 price too short
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
1.19
2 of 2 agree88.4%
Book 84% · Us 88% +4
Backed by: the two sides' first halves: a first-half goal in 9 of 10 and 9 of 10 of their games with a half-time score.
TEAM GOALS
Fram Reykjavik Over 0.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.08
2 of 2 agree88.3%
Book 93% · Us 88% -5 price too short
Backed by: Fram Reykjavik are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.80 to 1.20).
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Fram Reykjavik win or both teams score10-ODDS
1.07
2 of 2 agree88.3%
Book 93% · Us 88% -5 price too short
Backed by: Fram Reykjavik are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.80 to 1.20); Keflavik IF score in 91% of their games and Fram Reykjavik keep a clean sheet in only 13%.
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.10
3 of 3 agree82.9%
Book 91% · Us 83% -8 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 4.0 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
Fram Reykjavik or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.15
2 of 2 agree81.8%
Book 87% · Us 82% -5 price too short
Backed by: Fram Reykjavik are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.80 to 1.20); An open game is likely: the two sides average 4.0 goals a match between them.
1UP
Fram Reykjavik or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.15
1 of 1 agree80.9%
Book 87% · Us 81% -6 price too short
AND X2 OVER 1.5
Fram Reykjavik or draw and over 1.5 goals10-ODDS
1.33
1 of 1 agree65.7%
Book 75% · Us 66% -9 price too short
Backed by: Fram Reykjavik are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.80 to 1.20); An open game is likely: the two sides average 4.0 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
Fram Reykjavik or Over 1.5 Goals2-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree93.2%
Backed by: Fram Reykjavik are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.80 to 1.20); An open game is likely: the two sides average 4.0 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS
AND X2 OVER 2.5
Fram Reykjavik or draw and over 2.5 goals
1.67
1 of 1 agree50.8%
Book 60% · Us 51% -9 price too short
Backed by: Fram Reykjavik are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.80 to 1.20); An open game is likely: the two sides average 4.0 goals a match between them.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 2 8%
Over 1.5 82.9%Both score 67.5%
Keflavik IF goals →
Fram Reykjavik goals ↓
0-02%
1-03%
2-03%
3-02%
4-00.8%
5-00.3%
0-14%
1-17%
2-17%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-28%
2-27%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.7%
0-33%
1-36%
2-35%
3-33%
4-31%
5-30.5%
0-42%
1-43%
2-43%
3-42%
4-40.7%
5-40.3%
0-50.7%
1-51%
2-51%
3-50.7%
4-50.3%
5-50.1%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Keflavik IF score 1.6 and concede 1.8 (last 10, all venues, 10 games), Fram Reykjavik score 2.5 and concede 2 (last 10, all venues, 10 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
KEFLAVIK IFLWLWLWWLLL1.20 PPG
FRAM REYKJAVIKWWDWLWWDDL1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
KEFLAVIK IF HOMExFRAM REYKJAVIK AWAY
1.60SCORED A GAME2.501.80CONCEDED A GAME2.0060%BOTH SCORED90%30%CLEAN SHEETS10%9%FAILED TO SCORE13%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.18POINTS A GAME1.73-0.18GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.45–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.611LEAGUE GAMES11
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
76%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
68%
NO · 85/90
KEFLAVIK IF OR DRAW
60%
NO · 80/85
FRAM REYKJAVIK OR DRAW
74%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
KEFLAVIK IFxFRAM REYKJAVIK
5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME2.401.00CONCEDED A GAME1.803.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
KEFLAVIK IF 4 · 44%DRAW 2FRAM REYKJAVIK 3 · 33%
7 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
8 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
7 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
7 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-07-03Keflavik IF 3 – 1 Fram Reykjavik
2022-09-17Keflavik IF 8 – 4 Fram Reykjavik
2022-10-29Keflavik IF 4 – 0 Fram Reykjavik
2023-06-02Keflavik IF 1 – 4 Fram Reykjavik
2023-08-27Keflavik IF 0 – 0 Fram Reykjavik
2023-09-28Keflavik IF 1 – 3 Fram Reykjavik
2026-03-06Keflavik IF 4 – 3 Fram Reykjavik
2026-04-17Keflavik IF 1 – 3 Fram Reykjavik
TRENDS
Keflavik IF failed to score in 9% of their games.
Fram Reykjavik failed to score in 13% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table