LATVIA - VIRSLIGA
12:00Sat 19 Sep
BFC
BD
FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils
CLASS B
THE BETBANKER · 2-ODDS · 3-ODDS · 5-ODDS…
91
TOTAL GOALS
Class B
Over 1.5 Goals
FK Liepaja v BFC Daugavpils
1.19odds
84%book
+7edge
3/3angles
EDGE PICKFK Liepaja Under 2.5 goals · 74.9% · @1.27
Book 79% · Us 75% -4 price too short
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of themTHE READ
FK Liepaja go over 1.5 in 80% of their games. BFC Daugavpils go over 1.5 in 70% of their games. This has landed in 100% of the last 4 between them.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Edge: FK Liepaja Under 2.5 goals · Expected goals 1.7 – 1.3
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
FKL O1.5 80%
BFC O1.5 70%
H2H 100%
FK Liepaja go over 1.5 in 80% of their games
BFC Daugavpils go over 1.5 in 70% of their games
This has landed in 100% of the last 4 between them
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN2-ODDS
1.19
3 of 3 agree91%
Book 84% · Us 91% +7
Backed by: the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
TEAM GOALS
BFC Daugavpils Under 2.5 goals10-ODDS
1.12
2 of 2 agree86.4%
Book 89% · Us 86% -3 price too short
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
FK Liepaja or Both Teams Score10-ODDS
1.16
2 of 2 agree82.3%
Book 86% · Us 82% -4 price too short
Backed by: FK Liepaja have an edge on points per game (1.70 to 1.40); BFC Daugavpils score in 70% of their games and FK Liepaja keep a clean sheet in only 17%.
1UP
FK Liepaja or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.20
1 of 1 agree77.9%
Book 83% · Us 78% -5 price too short
OR HOME OVER 2.5
FK Liepaja or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.29
2 of 2 agree73.8%
Book 78% · Us 74% -4 price too short
Backed by: FK Liepaja have an edge on points per game (1.70 to 1.40).
DRAW NO BET
FK Liepaja (Draw No Bet)10-ODDS
1.52
63.4%
Book 66% · Us 63% -3 price too short
Backed by: FK Liepaja have an edge on points per game (1.70 to 1.40).
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR HOME OVER 1.5
FK Liepaja or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree88.7%
Backed by: FK Liepaja have an edge on points per game (1.70 to 1.40); the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
HANDICAP
FK Liepaja +1.510-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree88.2%
WHY WE PASS
FK Liepaja or Draw & Over 1.5 — no bet. BFC Daugavpils saw this bet land in only 3 of their last 10 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
FK Liepaja or draw and both teams score — no bet. BFC Daugavpils saw this bet land in only 3 of their last 10 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 13%
Over 1.5 91%Both score 59.5%
FK Liepaja goals →
BFC Daugavpils goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-19%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: FK Liepaja score 1.8 and concede 1.2 (last 10, all venues, 10 games), BFC Daugavpils score 1 and concede 1 (away, 6 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
FK LIEPAJAWLWLWWLWDD1.70 PPG
BFC DAUGAVPILSLWWLWWDLDL1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FK LIEPAJA HOMExBFC DAUGAVPILS AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME1.401.20CONCEDED A GAME1.0060%BOTH SCORED50%30%CLEAN SHEETS30%30%FAILED TO SCORE30%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.38POINTS A GAME1.57+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.86-0.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.08LEAGUE GAMES7
BFC Daugavpils: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
60%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
FK LIEPAJA OR DRAW
82%
OKAY · 80/85
BFC DAUGAVPILS OR DRAW
47%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FK LIEPAJAxBFC DAUGAVPILS
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME0.801.20CONCEDED A GAME0.802.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
FK LIEPAJA 5 · 50%DRAW 2BFC DAUGAVPILS 3 · 30%
8 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
10 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
7 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-08-24FK Liepaja 2 – 0 BFC Daugavpils
2024-11-09FK Liepaja 3 – 3 BFC Daugavpils
2025-04-19FK Liepaja 2 – 4 BFC Daugavpils
2025-06-13FK Liepaja 1 – 1 BFC Daugavpils
2025-08-09FK Liepaja 2 – 1 BFC Daugavpils
2025-08-16FK Liepaja 2 – 1 BFC Daugavpils
2025-11-02FK Liepaja 2 – 1 BFC Daugavpils
2026-04-03FK Liepaja 0 – 2 BFC Daugavpils
TRENDS
FK Liepaja failed to score in 30% of their games.
BFC Daugavpils failed to score in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table