SERBIA - SUPERLIGA
16:00Sat 19 Sep
FKZ
FZ
FK Novi Pazar vs FK Zemun
CLASS B
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
83
TEAM GOALS
Class B
FK Novi Pazar Under 3.5 goals
FK Novi Pazar v FK Zemun
1.17odds
85%book
-2edge
2/2angles
EDGE PICKOver 1.5 Goals · 79.8% · @1.21
Book 83% · Us 80% -3 price too short
· main loses on: 4-0, 4-1, 5-0, 4-2, 5-1, 6-0, 4-3, 5-2, 6-1, 7-0, 4-4, 5-3 and 65 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of themTHE READ
FK Novi Pazar saw this bet land in 9 of their last 9 games. FK Zemun saw this bet land in 8 of their last 9 games.
Bet: FK Novi Pazar Under 3.5 goals · Edge: Over 1.5 Goals · Expected goals 2.2 – 0.8
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
FKN 9/9
FKZ 8/9
FK Novi Pazar saw this bet land in 9 of their last 9 games
FK Zemun saw this bet land in 8 of their last 9 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
HANDICAP
FK Novi Pazar +1.52-ODDS
1.01
2 of 2 agree96.2%
Book 99% · Us 96% -3 price too short
1UP
FK Novi Pazar or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.07
1 of 1 agree89.9%
Book 93% · Us 90% -3 price too short
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
FK Novi Pazar or Both Teams Score10-ODDS
1.08
1 of 1 agree88.5%
Book 93% · Us 88% -5 price too short
TOTAL GOALS
1-5 Goals10-ODDS
1.07
2 of 2 agree86.2%
Book 93% · Us 86% -7 price too short
DRAW NO BET
FK Novi Pazar (Draw No Bet)10-ODDS
1.13
1 of 1 agree84%
Book 88% · Us 84% -4 price too short
Backed by: FK Novi Pazar are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.33 to 0.22).
TEAM GOALS
FK Novi Pazar Under 3.5 goalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.17
2 of 2 agree82.6%
Book 85% · Us 83% -2 price too short
OR HOME OVER 2.5
FK Novi Pazar or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.18
1 of 1 agree80.1%
Book 85% · Us 80% -5 price too short
AND 1X OVER 1.5
FK Novi Pazar or Draw & Over 1.510-ODDS
1.28
71.1%
Book 78% · Us 71% -7 price too short
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR HOME OVER 1.5
FK Novi Pazar or Over 1.5 Goals2-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree90.8%
CARDS
Over 2.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
89.6%
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: FK Novi Pazar and FK Zemun average 14 fouls, 3.7 cards a match.
WHY WE PASS
Over 1.5 Goals — no bet. FK Zemun fail to score in 75%. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
Over 0.5 Goals — no bet. FK Zemun fail to score in 75%. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 0 15%
Over 1.5 79.8%
FK Novi Pazar goals →
FK Zemun goals ↓
0-09%
1-015%
2-013%
3-07%
4-03%
5-00.9%
0-17%
1-111%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-22%
1-24%
2-23%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-30.6%
1-31.0%
2-30.8%
3-30.4%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.1%
1-40.2%
2-40.1%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: FK Novi Pazar score 1.4 and concede 1 (at home, 5 games), FK Zemun score 0.44 and concede 1.89 (last 10, all venues, 9 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 9
FK NOVI PAZARWDLLWLDWD1.33 PPG
FK ZEMUNDLLLLLLLD0.22 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FK NOVI PAZAR HOMExFK ZEMUN AWAY
0.89SCORED A GAME0.441.00CONCEDED A GAME1.8933%BOTH SCORED33%38%CLEAN SHEETS0%33%FAILED TO SCORE67%4.50CORNERS A GAME2.752.00CARDS A GAME4.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.33POINTS A GAME0.22-0.11GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.44–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.29LEAGUE GAMES9
FK Novi Pazar: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
FK NOVI PAZAR 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
65%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
21%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
FK NOVI PAZAR OR DRAW
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
FK ZEMUN OR DRAW
21%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FK NOVI PAZARxFK ZEMUN
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME0.400.60CONCEDED A GAME1.401.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%0%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
FK NOVI PAZAR 1 · 50%DRAW 1FK ZEMUN 0 · 0%
2019-09-15FK Novi Pazar 2 – 1 FK Zemun
2020-03-02FK Novi Pazar 1 – 1 FK Zemun
TRENDS
FK Novi Pazar have scored in 62% of their games.
FK Zemun have scored in 25% of their games.
FK Novi Pazar kept a clean sheet in 38% of their games.
FK Zemun kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards