PORTUGAL - LIGA PORTUGAL
20:30Sun 20 Sep
BEN
BEN
Porto vs Benfica
CLASS A
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
72
TEAM GOALS
Class A
Porto Over 0.5 goals
Porto v Benfica
1.33odds
75%book
-3edge
1/1angles
THE READ
Porto saw this bet land in 6 of their last 6 games.
Bet: Porto Over 0.5 goals · Expected goals 1.3 – 1.4
WHY — 1 THING AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree1/1 lit
POR 6/6
Porto saw this bet land in 6 of their last 6 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Porto or Both Teams Score10-ODDS
1.32
1 of 1 agree72%
Book 76% · Us 72% -4 price too short
Backed by: Porto have an edge on points per game (3.00 to 2.67).
TEAM GOALS
Porto Over 0.5 goalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.33
1 of 1 agree72%
Book 75% · Us 72% -3 price too short
Backed by: Porto have an edge on points per game (3.00 to 2.67).
TOTAL GOALS
2-5 Goals10-ODDS
1.22
2 of 2 agree69.8%
Book 82% · Us 70% -12 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.5 goals a match between them.
OR HOME OVER 2.5
Porto or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.49
2 of 2 agree64.3%
Book 67% · Us 64% -3 price too short
Backed by: Porto have an edge on points per game (3.00 to 2.67); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.5 goals a match between them.
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR HOME OVER 1.5
Porto or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree83.3%
Backed by: Porto have an edge on points per game (3.00 to 2.67); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.5 goals a match between them.
CARDS
Over 2.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
80.2%
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: Porto average 13 fouls a match.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 9%
Porto goals →
Benfica goals ↓
0-03%
1-05%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.8%
5-00.3%
0-16%
1-19%
2-17%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-26%
1-29%
2-27%
3-24%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-34%
1-36%
2-34%
3-32%
4-30.9%
5-30.3%
0-42%
1-43%
2-42%
3-41%
4-40.4%
5-40.1%
0-50.7%
1-51%
2-50.8%
3-50.4%
4-50.2%
5-50.1%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Porto score 2.5 and concede 0.33 (last 10, all venues, 6 games), Benfica score 3.5 and concede 0.67 (last 10, all venues, 6 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 6
PORTOWWWWWW3.00 PPG
BENFICADWWWWW2.67 PPG
THE NUMBERS
PORTO HOMExBENFICA AWAY
2.50SCORED A GAME3.500.33CONCEDED A GAME0.6733%BOTH SCORED50%67%CLEAN SHEETS50%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%7.50CORNERS A GAME8.002.38xG2.400.89xG AGAINST0.43
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
3.00POINTS A GAME2.67+2.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+2.83+6.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+9.83.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME3.05LEAGUE GAMES6
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
84%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 85/90
PORTO OR DRAW
51%
NO · 80/85
BENFICA OR DRAW
61%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
PORTOxBENFICA
5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME3.800.40CONCEDED A GAME0.403.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
PORTO 3 · 30%DRAW 2BENFICA 5 · 50%
4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-10-21Porto 0 – 1 Benfica
2023-04-07Porto 2 – 1 Benfica
2023-08-09Porto 0 – 2 Benfica
2023-09-29Porto 0 – 1 Benfica
2024-03-03Porto 5 – 0 Benfica
2024-11-10Porto 1 – 4 Benfica
2025-04-06Porto 1 – 4 Benfica
2025-10-05Porto 0 – 0 Benfica
TRENDS
Porto failed to score in 0% of their games.
Benfica failed to score in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tablecorners