ITALY - SERIE C, GROUP B
20:00Wed 16 Sep
SPE
SC
Perugia Calcio Spa vs Spezia Calcio
CLASS E
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
90
TOTAL GOALS
Class E
Under 3.5 Goals
Perugia Calcio Spa v Spezia Calcio
1.26odds
79%book
+11edge
3/3angles
THE READ
This has landed in 100% of the last 4 between them. Perugia Calcio Spa saw this bet land in 3 of their last 4 games. Spezia Calcio saw this bet land in 4 of their last 4 games.
Bet: Under 3.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.1 – 1.3
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
H2H 100%
PER 3/4
SPE 4/4
This has landed in 100% of the last 4 between them
Perugia Calcio Spa saw this bet land in 3 of their last 4 games
Spezia Calcio saw this bet land in 4 of their last 4 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TOTAL GOALS
Under 3.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.26
3 of 3 agree89.5%
Book 79% · Us 90% +11
Backed by: the goals counts agree on under 3.5.
TEAM GOALS
Perugia Calcio Spa Under 2.5 goals10-ODDS
1.12
2 of 2 agree89.3%
Book 89% · Us 89% 0
FIRST HALF GOALS
Under 1.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
1.35
3 of 3 agree87%
Book 74% · Us 87% +13
Backed by: A slow start is likely: the two sides score 0.8 first-half goals a match between them.
HANDICAP
Spezia Calcio +1.510-ODDS
1.14
2 of 2 agree87%
Book 88% · Us 87% -1 price too short
OR AWAY UNDER 2.5
Spezia Calcio or Under 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.30
1 of 1 agree77.5%
Book 77% · Us 78% +1
Backed by: Spezia Calcio are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.50 to 1.75).
1UP
Spezia Calcio or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.35
1 of 1 agree73.2%
Book 74% · Us 73% -1 price too short
OR HOME UNDER 2.5
Perugia Calcio Spa or Under 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.25
1 of 1 agree72.5%
Book 80% · Us 72% -8 price too short
WHY WE PASS
Spezia Calcio or draw and under 3.5 goals — no bet. Perugia Calcio Spa saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 4 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
0 – 1 14%
Over 1.5 72.8%
Perugia Calcio Spa goals →
Spezia Calcio goals ↓
0-09%
1-08%
2-04%
3-01%
4-00.2%
5-00.0%
0-114%
1-112%
2-15%
3-12%
4-10.3%
5-10.1%
0-210%
1-29%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.3%
5-20.0%
0-35%
1-35%
2-32%
3-30.6%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-42%
1-42%
2-40.8%
3-40.2%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.6%
1-50.5%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Perugia Calcio Spa score 1.25 and concede 1.5 (last 10, all venues, 4 games), Spezia Calcio score 1.5 and concede 0.5 (last 10, all venues, 4 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 4
PERUGIA CALCIO SPAWDWL1.75 PPG
SPEZIA CALCIODWWW2.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
PERUGIA CALCIO SPA HOMExSPEZIA CALCIO AWAY
1.25SCORED A GAME1.501.50CONCEDED A GAME0.5050%BOTH SCORED50%25%CLEAN SHEETS50%25%FAILED TO SCORE0%
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8
PERUGIA CALCIO SPA 1 · 12%DRAW 4SPEZIA CALCIO 3 · 38%
5 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS
2016-12-17Perugia Calcio Spa 1 – 2 Spezia Calcio
2017-05-05Perugia Calcio Spa 0 – 0 Spezia Calcio
2017-10-21Perugia Calcio Spa 2 – 4 Spezia Calcio
2018-03-17Perugia Calcio Spa 3 – 0 Spezia Calcio
2018-12-15Perugia Calcio Spa 1 – 1 Spezia Calcio
2019-04-27Perugia Calcio Spa 1 – 1 Spezia Calcio
2019-09-21Perugia Calcio Spa 2 – 2 Spezia Calcio
2020-02-08Perugia Calcio Spa 0 – 3 Spezia Calcio
TRENDS
Perugia Calcio Spa failed to score in 25% of their games.
Spezia Calcio failed to score in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table