POLAND - EKSTRAKLASA
16:30Sun 20 Sep
LEG
LW
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Legia Warszawa
CLASS B
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
90
TOTAL GOALS
Class B
Over 1.5 Goals
Jagiellonia Bialystok v Legia Warszawa
1.23odds
81%book
+9edge
3/3angles
THE READ
Jagiellonia Bialystok go over 1.5 in 86% of their games. Legia Warszawa go over 1.5 in 88% of their games. This has landed in 100% of the last 4 between them.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.3 – 1.5
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
JAG O1.5 86%
LEG O1.5 88%
H2H 100%
Jagiellonia Bialystok go over 1.5 in 86% of their games
Legia Warszawa go over 1.5 in 88% of their games
This has landed in 100% of the last 4 between them
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.23
3 of 3 agree89.9%
Book 81% · Us 90% +9
Backed by: the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
HANDICAP
Legia Warszawa +1.510-ODDS
1.14
2 of 2 agree85%
Book 88% · Us 85% -3 price too short
TEAM GOALS
Jagiellonia Bialystok Under 2.5 goals10-ODDS
1.15
2 of 2 agree84.8%
Book 87% · Us 85% -2 price too short
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Legia Warszawa win or both teams score10-ODDS
1.23
2 of 2 agree77.9%
Book 81% · Us 78% -3 price too short
Backed by: Legia Warszawa have an edge on points per game (2.00 to 1.71); Jagiellonia Bialystok score in 71% of their games and Legia Warszawa keep a clean sheet in only 25%.
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
1.34
2 of 2 agree75.2%
Book 75% · Us 75% 0
Backed by: the two sides' first halves: a first-half goal in 5 of 7 and 7 of 8 of their games with a half-time score.
1UP
Legia Warszawa or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.29
1 of 1 agree72.9%
Book 78% · Us 73% -5 price too short
OR DRAW OVER 2.5
Draw or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.29
1 of 1 agree71.7%
Book 78% · Us 72% -6 price too short
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
Legia Warszawa or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.38
1 of 1 agree69.5%
Book 72% · Us 70% -2 price too short
Backed by: Legia Warszawa have an edge on points per game (2.00 to 1.71).
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
Legia Warszawa or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree86.5%
Backed by: Legia Warszawa have an edge on points per game (2.00 to 1.71); the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
OR HOME OVER 1.5
Jagiellonia Bialystok or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree85.5%
CORNERS
Over 6.5 Corners10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree82.7%
CARDS
Over 2.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
81.8%
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: Jagiellonia Bialystok average 14 fouls a match.
LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS
AND X2 OVER 1.5
Legia Warszawa or draw and over 1.5 goals
1.74
1 of 1 agree51.7%
Book 57% · Us 52% -5 price too short
Backed by: Legia Warszawa have an edge on points per game (2.00 to 1.71); the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
WHY WE PASS
Legia Warszawa or draw and both teams score — no bet. Jagiellonia Bialystok saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 7 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 11%
Over 1.5 89.9%Both score 57.9%
Jagiellonia Bialystok goals →
Legia Warszawa goals ↓
0-05%
1-06%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-19%
1-111%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-210%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.6%
4-40.2%
5-40.0%
0-50.7%
1-50.8%
2-50.5%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Jagiellonia Bialystok score 1.57 and concede 1.43 (last 10, all venues, 7 games), Legia Warszawa score 2 and concede 0.88 (last 10, all venues, 8 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 8
JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOKWWLWLWL1.71 PPG
LEGIA WARSZAWAWWDWDDWD2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOK HOMExLEGIA WARSZAWA AWAY
1.57SCORED A GAME2.001.43CONCEDED A GAME0.8857%BOTH SCORED75%14%CLEAN SHEETS25%29%FAILED TO SCORE0%3.57CORNERS A GAME4.831.57xG1.271.47xG AGAINST1.14
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.50POINTS A GAME1.80+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.20-3.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.41.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.86LEAGUE GAMES5
Legia Warszawa: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
44%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
72%
NO · 85/90
JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOK OR DRAW
61%
NO · 80/85
LEGIA WARSZAWA OR DRAW
62%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOKxLEGIA WARSZAWA
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME2.201.80CONCEDED A GAME1.003.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOK 2 · 22%DRAW 4LEGIA WARSZAWA 3 · 33%
6 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-10-29Jagiellonia Bialystok 2 – 5 Legia Warszawa
2023-05-12Jagiellonia Bialystok 1 – 5 Legia Warszawa
2023-10-01Jagiellonia Bialystok 2 – 0 Legia Warszawa
2024-04-07Jagiellonia Bialystok 1 – 1 Legia Warszawa
2024-10-06Jagiellonia Bialystok 1 – 1 Legia Warszawa
2025-02-26Jagiellonia Bialystok 1 – 3 Legia Warszawa
2025-04-13Jagiellonia Bialystok 1 – 0 Legia Warszawa
2025-09-24Jagiellonia Bialystok 0 – 0 Legia Warszawa
TRENDS
Jagiellonia Bialystok failed to score in 29% of their games.
Legia Warszawa failed to score in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tablecorners