PORTUGAL - LIGA PORTUGAL
15:30Sun 20 Sep
MOR
MF
Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Moreirense FC
CLASS A
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
88
TOTAL GOALS
Class A
Under 3.5 Goals
Vitoria SC Guimaraes v Moreirense FC
1.34odds
75%book
+13edge
2/2angles
THE READ
This has landed in 100% of the last 4 between them. Vitoria SC Guimaraes saw this bet land in 5 of their last 6 games.
Bet: Under 3.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.9 – 0.8
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
H2H 100%
VIT 5/6
This has landed in 100% of the last 4 between them
Vitoria SC Guimaraes saw this bet land in 5 of their last 6 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
HANDICAP
Vitoria SC Guimaraes +1.52-ODDS
1.02
2 of 2 agree95.6%
Book 98% · Us 96% -2 price too short
TEAM GOALS
Moreirense FC Under 2.5 goals2-ODDS
1.02
2 of 2 agree95.5%
Book 98% · Us 96% -2 price too short
OR HOME UNDER 2.5
Vitoria SC Guimaraes or Under 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.09
88.1%
Book 92% · Us 88% -4 price too short
1UP
Vitoria SC Guimaraes or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.10
87.7%
Book 91% · Us 88% -3 price too short
TOTAL GOALS
Under 3.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.34
2 of 2 agree87.6%
Book 75% · Us 88% +13
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Vitoria SC Guimaraes or Both Teams Score10-ODDS
1.14
1 of 1 agree84.4%
Book 88% · Us 84% -4 price too short
OR HOME OVER 2.5
Vitoria SC Guimaraes or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.28
1 of 1 agree74.7%
Book 78% · Us 75% -3 price too short
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
1.39
1 of 1 agree71.3%
Book 72% · Us 71% -1 price too short
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
CORNERS
Over 3.5 Corners2-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree98%
Backed by: Vitoria SC Guimaraes own the territory: 6.2 corners a game to 2.0.
CARDS
Over 2.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
87.3%
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Moreirense FC average 2.7 cards, 2.8 cards a match.
OR HOME OVER 1.5
Vitoria SC Guimaraes or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree87.2%
WHY WE PASS
Vitoria SC Guimaraes (Draw No Bet) — no bet. Vitoria SC Guimaraes have won 1 of their last 6. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 12%
Vitoria SC Guimaraes goals →
Moreirense FC goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-19%
1-112%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Vitoria SC Guimaraes score 0.67 and concede 1.17 (last 10, all venues, 6 games), Moreirense FC score 1.17 and concede 2.17 (last 10, all venues, 6 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 6
VITORIA SC GUIMARAESLLWLDL0.67 PPG
MOREIRENSE FCDLWLLW1.17 PPG
THE NUMBERS
VITORIA SC GUIMARAES HOMExMOREIRENSE FC AWAY
0.67SCORED A GAME1.171.17CONCEDED A GAME2.1733%BOTH SCORED50%33%CLEAN SHEETS17%50%FAILED TO SCORE33%6.17CORNERS A GAME2.001.92xG1.040.63xG AGAINST1.48
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.67POINTS A GAME1.17-0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.00+6.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.80.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.26LEAGUE GAMES6
Vitoria SC Guimaraes: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
58%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
60%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
VITORIA SC GUIMARAES OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
MOREIRENSE FC OR DRAW
52%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
VITORIA SC GUIMARAESxMOREIRENSE FC
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.001.20CONCEDED A GAME2.202.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.240%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
VITORIA SC GUIMARAES 5 · 56%DRAW 1MOREIRENSE FC 3 · 33%
3 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
4 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-11-06Vitoria SC Guimaraes 2 – 1 Moreirense FC
2021-11-21Vitoria SC Guimaraes 2 – 3 Moreirense FC
2022-04-03Vitoria SC Guimaraes 1 – 0 Moreirense FC
2023-11-05Vitoria SC Guimaraes 0 – 1 Moreirense FC
2024-03-30Vitoria SC Guimaraes 1 – 0 Moreirense FC
2024-11-03Vitoria SC Guimaraes 1 – 0 Moreirense FC
2025-03-30Vitoria SC Guimaraes 2 – 2 Moreirense FC
2025-08-23Vitoria SC Guimaraes 0 – 2 Moreirense FC
TRENDS
Vitoria SC Guimaraes failed to score in 50% of their games.
Moreirense FC failed to score in 33% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tablecorners