POLAND - EKSTRAKLASA
13:45Sun 20 Sep
WIS
WP
Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock
CLASS B
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
78
TOTAL GOALS
Class B
Under 3.5 Goals
Zaglebie Lubin v Wisla Plock
1.28odds
78%book
0edge
3/3angles
THE READ
This has landed in 80% of the last 5 between them. Zaglebie Lubin saw this bet land in 6 of their last 8 games. Wisla Plock saw this bet land in 5 of their last 7 games.
Bet: Under 3.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.3 – 1.2
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
H2H 80%
ZAG 6/8
WIS 5/7
This has landed in 80% of the last 5 between them
Zaglebie Lubin saw this bet land in 6 of their last 8 games
Wisla Plock saw this bet land in 5 of their last 7 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TEAM GOALS
Wisla Plock Under 2.5 goals10-ODDS
1.10
2 of 2 agree88.3%
Book 91% · Us 88% -3 price too short
HANDICAP
Zaglebie Lubin +1.510-ODDS
1.11
2 of 2 agree86.3%
Book 90% · Us 86% -4 price too short
TOTAL GOALS
Under 3.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.28
3 of 3 agree78.1%
Book 78% · Us 78% 0
Backed by: the goals counts agree on under 3.5.
OR HOME UNDER 2.5
Zaglebie Lubin or Under 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.25
2 of 2 agree76.1%
Book 80% · Us 76% -4 price too short
Backed by: Zaglebie Lubin are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.88 to 1.14).
1UP
Zaglebie Lubin or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.29
2 of 2 agree72.7%
Book 78% · Us 73% -5 price too short
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
FIRST HALF GOALS
Under 2.5 first-half goals2-ODDS
no price yet
3 of 3 agree94%
Backed by: A slow start is likely: the two sides score 0.7 first-half goals a match between them.
CORNERS
Over 6.5 Corners10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree85.4%
Backed by: Wisla Plock own the territory: 6.7 corners a game to 3.8.
CARDS
Over 2.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
79.5%
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: Zaglebie Lubin average 3.2 cards a match.
LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS
DRAW NO BET
Zaglebie Lubin (Draw No Bet)
1.72
56.6%
Book 58% · Us 57% -1 price too short
Backed by: Zaglebie Lubin are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.88 to 1.14).
AND 1X UNDER 3.5
Zaglebie Lubin or draw and under 3.5 goals
no price yet
1 of 1 agree50.4%
Backed by: Zaglebie Lubin are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.88 to 1.14); the goals counts agree on under 3.5.
MATCH RESULT
Zaglebie Lubin to Win
2.40
39.5%
Book 42% · Us 40% -2 price too short
Backed by: Zaglebie Lubin are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.88 to 1.14).
COMBINATIONS
Zaglebie Lubin Win & Over 1.5
3.00
29.5%
Book 33% · Us 30% -3 price too short
Backed by: Zaglebie Lubin are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.88 to 1.14); the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
WHY WE PASS
Zaglebie Lubin win and under 3.5 goals — no bet. Wisla Plock saw this bet land in only 2 of their last 7 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 0 12%
Over 1.5 76.7%
Zaglebie Lubin goals →
Wisla Plock goals ↓
0-08%
1-012%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-18%
1-112%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Zaglebie Lubin score 1.38 and concede 1 (last 10, all venues, 8 games), Wisla Plock score 1 and concede 1.71 (last 10, all venues, 7 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 8
ZAGLEBIE LUBINWLWDDDWW1.88 PPG
WISLA PLOCKWDLLLDW1.14 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ZAGLEBIE LUBIN HOMExWISLA PLOCK AWAY
1.38SCORED A GAME1.001.00CONCEDED A GAME1.7162%BOTH SCORED57%38%CLEAN SHEETS14%25%FAILED TO SCORE43%3.75CORNERS A GAME6.711.13xG1.581.05xG AGAINST1.70
THE BANK
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
55%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 85/90
ZAGLEBIE LUBIN OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
WISLA PLOCK OR DRAW
59%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
ZAGLEBIE LUBIN 3 · 30%DRAW 1WISLA PLOCK 6 · 60%
4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2020-02-23Zaglebie Lubin 1 – 1 Wisla Plock
2020-07-10Zaglebie Lubin 0 – 1 Wisla Plock
2021-01-29Zaglebie Lubin 0 – 2 Wisla Plock
2021-05-16Zaglebie Lubin 0 – 4 Wisla Plock
2021-08-20Zaglebie Lubin 0 – 4 Wisla Plock
2022-02-18Zaglebie Lubin 3 – 1 Wisla Plock
2022-09-18Zaglebie Lubin 2 – 1 Wisla Plock
2023-04-08Zaglebie Lubin 0 – 2 Wisla Plock
TRENDS
Zaglebie Lubin failed to score in 25% of their games.
Wisla Plock failed to score in 43% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tablecornerscards