SPAIN - LALIGA
15:15Sun 20 Sep
REA
RM
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid
CLASS A
THE READ
Atletico Madrid go over 1.5 in 100% of their games. Real Madrid go over 1.5 in 83% of their games. This has landed in 100% of the last 3 between them.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.4 – 1.9
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
ATL O1.5 100%
REA O1.5 83%
H2H 100%
Atletico Madrid go over 1.5 in 100% of their games
Real Madrid go over 1.5 in 83% of their games
This has landed in 100% of the last 3 between them
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN2-ODDS
no price yet
3 of 3 agree91.3%
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.6 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
Real Madrid or Over 1.5 Goals2-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree90.8%
Backed by: Real Madrid have an edge on points per game (2.50 to 2.17); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.6 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
CORNERS
Over 6.5 Corners10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree88.4%
HANDICAP
Real Madrid +1.510-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree87.8%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Real Madrid win or both teams score10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree84.8%
Backed by: Real Madrid have an edge on points per game (2.50 to 2.17); Atletico Madrid score in 83% of their games and Real Madrid keep a clean sheet in only 17%.
1UP
Real Madrid or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree78.5%
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
Real Madrid or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree77.2%
Backed by: Real Madrid have an edge on points per game (2.50 to 2.17); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.6 goals a match between them.
TEAM GOALS
Atletico Madrid Over 0.5 goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree74.5%
Backed by: Atletico Madrid score in 83% of their games and Real Madrid keep a clean sheet in only 17%.
LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS
AND X2 OVER 2.5
Real Madrid or draw and over 2.5 goals
no price yet
1 of 1 agree44%
Backed by: Real Madrid have an edge on points per game (2.50 to 2.17); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.6 goals a match between them.
WHY WE PASS
Real Madrid or draw and both teams score — no bet. Atletico Madrid saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 6 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 9%
Over 1.5 91.3%Both score 62.8%
Atletico Madrid goals →
Real Madrid goals ↓
0-03%
1-05%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.9%
5-00.3%
0-15%
1-19%
2-17%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-25%
1-29%
2-27%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.5%
0-33%
1-35%
2-35%
3-33%
4-31%
5-30.3%
0-42%
1-43%
2-42%
3-41%
4-40.5%
5-40.2%
0-50.6%
1-51.0%
2-50.8%
3-50.5%
4-50.2%
5-50.1%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Atletico Madrid score 2.33 and concede 1 (last 10, all venues, 6 games), Real Madrid score 2.83 and concede 1 (last 10, all venues, 6 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 6
ATLETICO MADRIDWDWLWW2.17 PPG
REAL MADRIDWWWLWW2.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ATLETICO MADRID HOMExREAL MADRID AWAY
2.33SCORED A GAME2.831.00CONCEDED A GAME1.0033%BOTH SCORED67%50%CLEAN SHEETS17%17%FAILED TO SCORE17%5.33CORNERS A GAME7.830.91xG2.981.51xG AGAINST0.81
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.60POINTS A GAME2.50+2.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.83+4.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+5.72.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.45LEAGUE GAMES6
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
82%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
80%
NO · 85/90
ATLETICO MADRID OR DRAW
70%
NO · 80/85
REAL MADRID OR DRAW
51%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ATLETICO MADRIDxREAL MADRID
5GAMES52.80SCORED A GAME3.000.60CONCEDED A GAME1.003.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE60%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.28.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES13.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 7
ATLETICO MADRID 1 · 14%DRAW 3REAL MADRID 3 · 43%
7 of 7BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 7OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 7OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 7OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-02-04Atletico Madrid 1 – 1 Real Madrid
2024-09-29Atletico Madrid 1 – 1 Real Madrid
2025-02-08Atletico Madrid 1 – 1 Real Madrid
2025-03-04Atletico Madrid 1 – 2 Real Madrid
2025-09-27Atletico Madrid 5 – 2 Real Madrid
2026-01-08Atletico Madrid 1 – 2 Real Madrid
2026-03-22Atletico Madrid 2 – 3 Real Madrid
TEAM NEWS
ATLETICO MADRID
Out: P. Barrios (Muscle Injury), A. Sorloth (Muscle Injury), P. Barrios (Muscle Injury), A. Sorloth (Muscle Injury)REAL MADRID
Out: Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury), F. Mendy (Hip Injury), Rodrygo (Knee Injury), Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury), F. Mendy (Hip Injury), Rodrygo (Knee Injury)TRENDS
Atletico Madrid failed to score in 17% of their games.
Real Madrid failed to score in 17% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards