NORWAY - ELITESERIEN
13:30Sun 20 Sep
FRE
FF
Vaalerenga IF vs Fredrikstad FK
CLASS A
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
89
TEAM GOALS
Class A
Vaalerenga IF Under 3.5 goals
Vaalerenga IF v Fredrikstad FK
1.10odds
91%book
-2edge
2/2angles
EDGE PICKFredrikstad FK or Over 2.5 Goals · 70.8% · @1.35
Book 74% · Us 71% -3 price too short
· main loses on: 4-0, 4-1, 5-0, 4-2, 5-1, 6-0, 4-3, 5-2, 6-1, 7-0, 4-4, 5-3 and 65 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of themTHE READ
Vaalerenga IF saw this bet land in 8 of their last 10 games. Fredrikstad FK saw this bet land in 9 of their last 10 games.
Bet: Vaalerenga IF Under 3.5 goals · Edge: Fredrikstad FK or Over 2.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.8 – 1.4
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
VAA 8/10
FRE 9/10
Vaalerenga IF saw this bet land in 8 of their last 10 games
Fredrikstad FK saw this bet land in 9 of their last 10 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TEAM GOALS
Vaalerenga IF Under 3.5 goalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.10
2 of 2 agree89.4%
Book 91% · Us 89% -2 price too short
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
1.29
2 of 2 agree86.5%
Book 78% · Us 86% +8
Backed by: the two sides' first halves: a first-half goal in 5 of 5 and 9 of 10 of their games with a half-time score.
TOTAL GOALS
1-5 Goals10-ODDS
1.09
2 of 2 agree85.1%
Book 92% · Us 85% -7 price too short
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Fredrikstad FK win or both teams score10-ODDS
1.28
2 of 2 agree74.4%
Book 78% · Us 74% -4 price too short
Backed by: Fredrikstad FK are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.60 to 1.10); Vaalerenga IF score in 65% of their games and Fredrikstad FK keep a clean sheet in only 15%.
HANDICAP
Fredrikstad FK +1.510-ODDS
1.30
2 of 2 agree74.1%
Book 77% · Us 74% -3 price too short
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
Fredrikstad FK or Over 2.5 GoalsEDGE10-ODDS
1.35
2 of 2 agree70.8%
Book 74% · Us 71% -3 price too short
Backed by: Fredrikstad FK are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.60 to 1.10); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.6 goals a match between them.
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
Fredrikstad FK or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree88%
Backed by: Fredrikstad FK are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.60 to 1.10); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.6 goals a match between them.
CARDS
Over 1.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
71.2%
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: Vaalerenga IF average 3.8 cards a match.
WHY WE PASS
Under 3.5 Goals — no bet. Vaalerenga IF saw this bet land in only 3 of their last 10 games. 2 angles argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 9%
Over 1.5 74.9%Both score 62.7%
Vaalerenga IF goals →
Fredrikstad FK goals ↓
0-03%
1-05%
2-05%
3-03%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-15%
1-19%
2-19%
3-15%
4-13%
5-11.0%
0-24%
1-27%
2-27%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.8%
0-32%
1-34%
2-34%
3-32%
4-31%
5-30.4%
0-40.9%
1-42%
2-42%
3-41%
4-40.5%
5-40.2%
0-50.3%
1-50.6%
2-50.5%
3-50.3%
4-50.2%
5-50.1%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Vaalerenga IF score 2.6 and concede 2.2 (at home, 5 games), Fredrikstad FK score 1.1 and concede 1.2 (last 10, all venues, 10 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
VAALERENGA IFWLWWLLDLDL1.10 PPG
FREDRIKSTAD FKWLLLWWWWLD1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
VAALERENGA IF HOMExFREDRIKSTAD FK AWAY
2.30SCORED A GAME1.102.60CONCEDED A GAME1.2070%BOTH SCORED40%0%CLEAN SHEETS30%35%FAILED TO SCORE25%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.89POINTS A GAME1.44-0.56GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.22–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.09LEAGUE GAMES9
Fredrikstad FK: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 85/90
VAALERENGA IF OR DRAW
37%
NO · 80/85
FREDRIKSTAD FK OR DRAW
63%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
VAALERENGA IFxFREDRIKSTAD FK
5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.603.00CONCEDED A GAME0.805.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5
VAALERENGA IF 0 · 0%DRAW 3FREDRIKSTAD FK 2 · 40%
3 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED
4 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-10-06Vaalerenga IF 0 – 0 Fredrikstad FK
2025-04-09Vaalerenga IF 0 – 2 Fredrikstad FK
2025-07-05Vaalerenga IF 1 – 1 Fredrikstad FK
2025-09-23Vaalerenga IF 1 – 2 Fredrikstad FK
2026-04-12Vaalerenga IF 1 – 1 Fredrikstad FK
TEAM NEWS
VAALERENGA IF
Out: F. Ambina (Muscle Injury), M. Sjoeng (Knee Injury), F. Ambina (Muscle Injury), M. Sjoeng (Knee Injury)FREDRIKSTAD FK
Out: S. Kvile (Knee Injury), J. Nysveen (Injury), S. Kvile (Knee Injury), J. Nysveen (Injury)TRENDS
Vaalerenga IF failed to score in 35% of their games.
Fredrikstad FK failed to score in 25% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards