EDGE PICKPortland Timbers Under 2.5 goals · 69.8% · @1.40
Book 71% · Us 70%-1price too short
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Portland Timbers go over 1.5 in 100% of their games. Atlanta United FC go over 1.5 in 90% of their games. Portland Timbers score in 100% of their games. Atlanta United FC score in 75% of their games.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Edge: Portland Timbers Under 2.5 goals · Expected goals 1.9 – 1.5
WHY — 5 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree5/5 lit
POR O1.5 100%
ATL O1.5 90%
POR SCORE 100%
ATL SCORE 75%
H2H 100%
Portland Timbers go over 1.5 in 100% of their games
Atlanta United FC go over 1.5 in 90% of their games
Portland Timbers score in 100% of their games
Atlanta United FC score in 75% of their games
This has landed in 100% of the last 3 between them
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN2-ODDS
1.14
5 of 5 agree92.2%
Book 88% · Us 92%+4
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.6 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
TEAM GOALS
Portland Timbers Under 3.5 goals10-ODDS
1.13
2 of 2 agree87.1%
Book 88% · Us 87%-1price too short
HANDICAP
Portland Timbers +1.510-ODDS
1.11
2 of 2 agree86.6%
Book 90% · Us 87%-3price too short
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
1.25
2 of 2 agree80.8%
Book 80% · Us 81%+1
Backed by: the two sides' first halves: a first-half goal in 7 of 7 and 5 of 6 of their games with a half-time score.
OR HOME OVER 2.5
Portland Timbers or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.22
2 of 2 agree78.5%
Book 82% · Us 78%-4price too short
Backed by: Portland Timbers have an edge on points per game (1.50 to 1.20); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.6 goals a match between them.
1UP
Portland Timbers or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.22
2 of 2 agree77.5%
Book 82% · Us 78%-4price too short
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Both Teams to Score - Yes10-ODDS
1.44
4 of 4 agree66%
Book 69% · Us 66%-3price too short
Backed by: Atlanta United FC score in 64% of their games and Portland Timbers keep a clean sheet in only 4%; both-score counts agree.
DRAW NO BET
Portland Timbers (Draw No Bet)10-ODDS
1.53
62.3%
Book 65% · Us 62%-3price too short
Backed by: Portland Timbers have an edge on points per game (1.50 to 1.20).
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR HOME OVER 1.5
Portland Timbers or Over 1.5 Goals2-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree91.6%
Backed by: Portland Timbers have an edge on points per game (1.50 to 1.20); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.6 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
CARDS
Over 1.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
89.9%
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: Atlanta United FC average 2.7 cards a match.
CORNERS
Over 6.5 Corners10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree84.4%
LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS
AND 1X OVER 2.5
Portland Timbers or draw and over 2.5 goals
1.96
44.8%
Book 51% · Us 45%-6price too short
Backed by: Portland Timbers have an edge on points per game (1.50 to 1.20); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.6 goals a match between them.
WHY WE PASS
Under 11.5 corners — no bet. Atlanta United FC saw this bet land in only 2 of their last 7 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
2 – 1 8%
Over 1.5 92.2%Both score 66%
Portland Timbers goals →
Atlanta United FC goals ↓
0-02%
1-05%
2-05%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.9%
0-13%
1-18%
2-18%
3-16%
4-13%
5-12%
0-23%
1-26%
2-27%
3-25%
4-23%
5-21%
0-32%
1-34%
2-34%
3-33%
4-32%
5-30.7%
0-40.7%
1-41%
2-42%
3-41%
4-40.7%
5-40.3%
0-50.2%
1-50.5%
2-50.6%
3-50.4%
4-50.2%
5-50.1%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Portland Timbers score 2.43 and concede 1.86 (at home, 7 games), Atlanta United FC score 1.5 and concede 2 (away, 6 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
PORTLAND TIMBERSDWWLWDLWDL1.50 PPG
ATLANTA UNITED FCDLLWWWLDLD1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
PORTLAND TIMBERS HOMExATLANTA UNITED FC AWAY
2.00SCORED A GAME1.501.80CONCEDED A GAME1.90100%BOTH SCORED80%0%CLEAN SHEETS12%16%FAILED TO SCORE36%4.00CORNERS A GAME5.711.68CARDS A GAME2.671.61xG1.031.80xG AGAINST1.92
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.91POINTS A GAME1.40+0.82GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.07+1.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.01.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.011LEAGUE GAMES15
Portland Timbers: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
82%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
77%
NO · 85/90
PORTLAND TIMBERS OR DRAW
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
ATLANTA UNITED FC OR DRAW
54%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 15 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
PORTLAND TIMBERSxATLANTA UNITED FC
6GAMES72.50SCORED A GAME1.292.00CONCEDED A GAME1.864.5GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.1100%OVER 1.5 GOALS71%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS71%100%BOTH SCORE71%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 6
PORTLAND TIMBERS 1 · 17%DRAW 2ATLANTA UNITED FC 3 · 50%
4 of 6BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 6OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 6OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 6OVER 3.5 GOALS
2017-05-14Portland Timbers 1 – 1 Atlanta United FC
2018-06-24Portland Timbers 1 – 1 Atlanta United FC
2018-12-09Portland Timbers 0 – 2 Atlanta United FC
2019-08-19Portland Timbers 0 – 2 Atlanta United FC
2022-09-04Portland Timbers 2 – 1 Atlanta United FC
2023-03-18Portland Timbers 1 – 5 Atlanta United FC
TEAM NEWS
PORTLAND TIMBERS
Out: A. Aravena (Hip Injury), B. Bye (Leg Injury), J. Caicedo (Thigh Injury), J. Mosquera (Foot Injury), D. Da Costa (Concussion), Z. McGraw (Inactive)
ATLANTA UNITED FC
Out: S. Alzate (Illness), Giuliano Galoppo (Inactive), S. Alzate (Illness), Giuliano Galoppo (Inactive)
TRENDS
Portland Timbers have scored in 100% of their games.
Atlanta United FC have scored in 75% of their games.
Portland Timbers kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Atlanta United FC kept a clean sheet in 12% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards