USA - MLS
01:30Sun 20 Sep
FCC
FC
Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati
CLASS B
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
89
TEAM GOALS
Class B
Houston Dynamo Under 3.5 goals
Houston Dynamo v FC Cincinnati
1.10odds
91%book
-2edge
2/2angles
EDGE PICKFC Cincinnati or Over 2.5 Goals · 70.7% · @1.35
Book 74% · Us 71% -3 price too short
· main loses on: 4-0, 4-1, 5-0, 4-2, 5-1, 6-0, 4-3, 5-2, 6-1, 7-0, 4-4, 5-3 and 65 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of themTHE READ
Houston Dynamo saw this bet land in 10 of their last 10 games. FC Cincinnati saw this bet land in 8 of their last 10 games.
Bet: Houston Dynamo Under 3.5 goals · Edge: FC Cincinnati or Over 2.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.8 – 1.4
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
HOU 10/10
FCC 8/10
Houston Dynamo saw this bet land in 10 of their last 10 games
FC Cincinnati saw this bet land in 8 of their last 10 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TOTAL GOALS
Over 0.5 Goals2-ODDS
1.03
2 of 2 agree95.7%
Book 97% · Us 96% -1 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.1 goals a match between them.
TEAM GOALS
Houston Dynamo Under 3.5 goalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.10
2 of 2 agree89.2%
Book 91% · Us 89% -2 price too short
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
1.29
1 of 1 agree78.8%
Book 78% · Us 79% +1
HANDICAP
FC Cincinnati +1.510-ODDS
1.30
2 of 2 agree73.8%
Book 77% · Us 74% -3 price too short
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
FC Cincinnati or Over 2.5 GoalsEDGE10-ODDS
1.35
1 of 1 agree70.7%
Book 74% · Us 71% -3 price too short
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
CORNERS
Over 3.5 Corners2-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree98.5%
Backed by: FC Cincinnati own the territory: 6.5 corners a game to 4.0.
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
FC Cincinnati or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree88%
CARDS
Over 1.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
79.5%
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: Houston Dynamo average 2.8 cards a match.
LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS
AND 1X OVER 1.5
Houston Dynamo or Draw & Over 1.5
1.52
59%
Book 66% · Us 59% -7 price too short
Backed by: Houston Dynamo are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.00 to 1.50); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.1 goals a match between them.
WHY WE PASS
FC Cincinnati Over 0.5 goals — no bet. Houston Dynamo saw this bet land in only 3 of their last 10 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
FC Cincinnati win or both teams score — no bet. Houston Dynamo saw this bet land in only 3 of their last 10 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 10%
Over 1.5 90.6%
Houston Dynamo goals →
FC Cincinnati goals ↓
0-05%
1-08%
2-07%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-16%
1-111%
2-19%
3-16%
4-13%
5-10.9%
0-24%
1-27%
2-26%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.6%
0-32%
1-33%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.7%
5-30.3%
0-40.5%
1-41.0%
2-40.9%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Houston Dynamo score 1.2 and concede 0.4 (last 10, all venues, 10 games), FC Cincinnati score 2.2 and concede 2.4 (last 10, all venues, 10 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
HOUSTON DYNAMOWWWWWLDDWL2.00 PPG
FC CINCINNATIWWLWDWDLLD1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
HOUSTON DYNAMO HOMExFC CINCINNATI AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME2.200.40CONCEDED A GAME2.4020%BOTH SCORED80%70%CLEAN SHEETS0%28%FAILED TO SCORE17%4.00CORNERS A GAME6.501.01xG1.441.09xG AGAINST2.08
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.91POINTS A GAME1.20+0.91GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.70+1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.81.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.011LEAGUE GAMES10
Houston Dynamo: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 85/90
HOUSTON DYNAMO OR DRAW
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
FC CINCINNATI OR DRAW
28%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HOUSTON DYNAMOxFC CINCINNATI
5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.200.40CONCEDED A GAME2.801.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.020%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%20%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3
HOUSTON DYNAMO 0 · 0%DRAW 1FC CINCINNATI 2 · 67%
3 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED
3 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS
2019-07-06Houston Dynamo 2 – 3 FC Cincinnati
2021-07-04Houston Dynamo 1 – 1 FC Cincinnati
2023-02-26Houston Dynamo 1 – 2 FC Cincinnati
TEAM NEWS
HOUSTON DYNAMO
Out: L. Foster (Inactive), J. Maurer (Concussion), M. Saracchi (Lower-Body Injury), L. Foster (Inactive), J. Maurer (Concussion), M. Saracchi (Lower-Body Injury)TRENDS
Houston Dynamo failed to score in 28% of their games.
FC Cincinnati failed to score in 17% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards