USA - MLS
00:30Sun 20 Sep
LOS
LA
San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC
CLASS B
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
86
HANDICAP
Class B
Los Angeles FC +1.5
San Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles FC
1.13odds
88%book
-2edge
2/2angles
EDGE PICKSan Jose Earthquakes Over 0.5 Goals · 76.9% · @1.25
Book 80% · Us 77% -3 price too short
Backed by
· main loses on: 2-0, 3-0, 3-1, 4-0, 4-1, 5-0, 4-2, 5-1, 6-0, 5-2, 6-1, 7-0 and 33 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of themSan Jose Earthquakes scored in 70% of their last 10 games and Los Angeles FC conceded in 70% of their last 10.
THE READ
Los Angeles FC are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.30 to 0.90). San Jose Earthquakes saw this bet land in 10 of their last 10 games. Los Angeles FC saw this bet land in 9 of their last 10 games.
Bet: Los Angeles FC +1.5 · Edge: San Jose Earthquakes Over 0.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.5 – 1.8
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
SAN 10/10
LOS 9/10
San Jose Earthquakes saw this bet land in 10 of their last 10 games
Los Angeles FC saw this bet land in 9 of their last 10 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
HANDICAP
Los Angeles FC +1.5MAIN10-ODDS
1.13
2 of 2 agree85.6%
Book 88% · Us 86% -2 price too short
TOTAL GOALS
1-5 Goals10-ODDS
1.10
2 of 2 agree84.1%
Book 91% · Us 84% -7 price too short
TEAM GOALS
Los Angeles FC Over 0.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.16
2 of 2 agree83.7%
Book 86% · Us 84% -2 price too short
Backed by: Los Angeles FC are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.30 to 0.90).
FIRST HALF GOALS
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.26
2 of 2 agree78.8%
Book 79% · Us 79% 0
Backed by: the two sides' first halves: a first-half goal in 5 of 5 and 4 of 5 of their games with a half-time score.
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
Los Angeles FC or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.25
76.7%
Book 80% · Us 77% -3 price too short
Backed by: Los Angeles FC are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.30 to 0.90).
1UP
Los Angeles FC or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.25
2 of 2 agree75.9%
Book 80% · Us 76% -4 price too short
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
CORNERS
Over 3.5 Corners2-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree98.7%
Backed by: Los Angeles FC own the territory: 7.9 corners a game to 3.9.
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
Los Angeles FC or Over 1.5 Goals2-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree90.7%
Backed by: Los Angeles FC are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.30 to 0.90).
CARDS
Over 1.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
89.5%
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: San Jose Earthquakes average 4.3 cards a match.
WHY WE PASS
Over 9.5 Corners — no bet. San Jose Earthquakes saw this bet land in only 2 of their last 7 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 11%
Over 1.5 83.9%
San Jose Earthquakes goals →
Los Angeles FC goals ↓
0-06%
1-07%
2-04%
3-01%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-110%
1-111%
2-16%
3-12%
4-10.6%
5-10.1%
0-29%
1-210%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-35%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.7%
1-50.8%
2-50.4%
3-50.2%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: San Jose Earthquakes score 0.8 and concede 2.6 (at home, 5 games), Los Angeles FC score 0.8 and concede 1.4 (away, 5 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKESLDLLLLDDWW0.90 PPG
LOS ANGELES FCWWDLLDDDWL1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES HOMExLOS ANGELES FC AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.402.10CONCEDED A GAME1.0060%BOTH SCORED50%20%CLEAN SHEETS30%3.86CORNERS A GAME7.861.47xG1.511.61xG AGAINST1.69
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.14POINTS A GAME1.36-0.71GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.36-1.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.01.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.07LEAGUE GAMES11
Los Angeles FC: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
58%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
42%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 85/90
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
LOS ANGELES FC OR DRAW
52%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKESxLOS ANGELES FC
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.201.60CONCEDED A GAME1.802.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
San Jose Earthquakes failed to score in 16% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAleague tablecornerscards