MEXICO - LIGA DE EXPANSION MX
02:00Sat 19 Sep
CDM
CM
Tepatitlan FC vs CD Mineros de Zacatecas
CLASS E
THE READ
Tepatitlan FC go over 1.5 in 75% of their games. CD Mineros de Zacatecas go over 1.5 in 88% of their games. This has landed in 100% of the last 5 between them.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.3 – 1.5
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
TEP O1.5 75%
CDM O1.5 88%
H2H 100%
Tepatitlan FC go over 1.5 in 75% of their games
CD Mineros de Zacatecas go over 1.5 in 88% of their games
This has landed in 100% of the last 5 between them
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN2-ODDS
no price yet
3 of 3 agree90.6%
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 4.0 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
HANDICAP
CD Mineros de Zacatecas +1.510-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree86%
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
CD Mineros de Zacatecas or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree85.8%
Backed by: CD Mineros de Zacatecas are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.38 to 0.38); An open game is likely: the two sides average 4.0 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
TEAM GOALS
CD Mineros de Zacatecas Over 0.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree77.6%
Backed by: CD Mineros de Zacatecas are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.38 to 0.38).
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
CD Mineros de Zacatecas win or both teams score10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree77.6%
Backed by: CD Mineros de Zacatecas are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.38 to 0.38).
1UP
CD Mineros de Zacatecas or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree73.8%
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree73.1%
Backed by: the two sides' first halves: a first-half goal in 6 of 8 and 6 of 8 of their games with a half-time score.
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
CD Mineros de Zacatecas or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree68.8%
Backed by: CD Mineros de Zacatecas are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.38 to 0.38).
LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS
AND X2 OVER 1.5
CD Mineros de Zacatecas or draw and over 1.5 goals
no price yet
52%
Backed by: CD Mineros de Zacatecas are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.38 to 0.38); An open game is likely: the two sides average 4.0 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
WHY WE PASS
2-4 Goals — no bet. Tepatitlan FC saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 8 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
Under 3.5 Goals — no bet. Tepatitlan FC saw this bet land in only 2 of their last 8 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
0-3 Goals — no bet. Tepatitlan FC saw this bet land in only 2 of their last 8 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 2 9%
Over 1.5 90.6%
Tepatitlan FC goals →
CD Mineros de… goals ↓
0-02%
1-02%
2-01%
3-00.6%
4-00.2%
5-00.0%
0-15%
1-16%
2-14%
3-12%
4-10.5%
5-10.1%
0-27%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-36%
1-38%
2-35%
3-32%
4-30.6%
5-30.2%
0-44%
1-45%
2-43%
3-41%
4-40.4%
5-40.1%
0-52%
1-53%
2-52%
3-50.8%
4-50.2%
5-50.1%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Tepatitlan FC score 0.62 and concede 3.38 (last 10, all venues, 8 games), CD Mineros de Zacatecas score 2.12 and concede 1.88 (last 10, all venues, 8 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 8
TEPATITLAN FCLLLLWLLL0.38 PPG
CD MINEROS DE ZACATECASDWDWLWLL1.38 PPG
THE NUMBERS
TEPATITLAN FC HOMExCD MINEROS DE ZACATECAS AWAY
0.62SCORED A GAME2.123.38CONCEDED A GAME1.8838%BOTH SCORED62%0%CLEAN SHEETS12%62%FAILED TO SCORE25%
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.38POINTS A GAME1.17-2.75GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.28LEAGUE GAMES6
CD Mineros de Zacatecas: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
79%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
82%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
36%
NO · 85/90
TEPATITLAN FC OR DRAW
60%
NO · 80/85
CD MINEROS DE ZACATECAS OR DRAW
47%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TEPATITLAN FCxCD MINEROS DE ZACATECAS
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME2.003.60CONCEDED A GAME2.004.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
TEPATITLAN FC 2 · 20%DRAW 5CD MINEROS DE ZACATECAS 3 · 30%
8 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
10 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-08-24Tepatitlan FC 1 – 4 CD Mineros de Zacatecas
2023-11-17Tepatitlan FC 0 – 2 CD Mineros de Zacatecas
2023-11-20Tepatitlan FC 2 – 5 CD Mineros de Zacatecas
2024-02-16Tepatitlan FC 1 – 1 CD Mineros de Zacatecas
2024-11-03Tepatitlan FC 1 – 1 CD Mineros de Zacatecas
2025-04-20Tepatitlan FC 2 – 1 CD Mineros de Zacatecas
2025-09-27Tepatitlan FC 3 – 3 CD Mineros de Zacatecas
2026-03-08Tepatitlan FC 4 – 0 CD Mineros de Zacatecas
TRENDS
Tepatitlan FC failed to score in 62% of their games.
CD Mineros de Zacatecas failed to score in 25% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table