ENGLAND - CHAMPIONSHIP
15:00Sat 19 Sep
MID
MF
Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough FC
CLASS E
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
80
TOTAL GOALS
Class E
Over 1.5 Goals
Birmingham City v Middlesbrough FC
1.22odds
82%book
-2edge
3/3angles
EDGE PICKBirmingham City Under 1.5 goals · 58.9% · @1.68
Book 60% · Us 59% -1 price too short
Backed by
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of themMiddlesbrough FC are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.00 to 1.43).
THE READ
Birmingham City go over 1.5 in 86% of their games. Middlesbrough FC go over 1.5 in 86% of their games. This has landed in 80% of the last 5 between them.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Edge: Birmingham City Under 1.5 goals · Expected goals 1.4 – 1.6
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
BIR O1.5 86%
MID O1.5 86%
H2H 80%
Birmingham City go over 1.5 in 86% of their games
Middlesbrough FC go over 1.5 in 86% of their games
This has landed in 80% of the last 5 between them
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.22
3 of 3 agree79.9%
Book 82% · Us 80% -2 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.1 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
1.33
2 of 2 agree79.2%
Book 75% · Us 79% +4
Backed by: the two sides' first halves: a first-half goal in 6 of 7 and 6 of 7 of their games with a half-time score.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Middlesbrough FC win or both teams score10-ODDS
1.22
2 of 2 agree79.1%
Book 82% · Us 79% -3 price too short
Backed by: Middlesbrough FC are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.00 to 1.43); Birmingham City score in 86% of their games and Middlesbrough FC keep a clean sheet in only 14%.
TEAM GOALS
Middlesbrough FC Over 0.5 goals10-ODDS
1.24
2 of 2 agree79.1%
Book 81% · Us 79% -2 price too short
Backed by: Middlesbrough FC are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.00 to 1.43).
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
Middlesbrough FC or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.36
2 of 2 agree71.4%
Book 74% · Us 71% -3 price too short
Backed by: Middlesbrough FC are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.00 to 1.43); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.1 goals a match between them.
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
Middlesbrough FC or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree87.7%
Backed by: Middlesbrough FC are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.00 to 1.43); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.1 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS
AND X2 OVER 1.5
Middlesbrough FC or draw and over 1.5 goals
no price yet
1 of 1 agree52.5%
Backed by: Middlesbrough FC are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.00 to 1.43); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.1 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
AND X2 OVER 2.5
Middlesbrough FC or draw and over 2.5 goals
no price yet
35%
Backed by: Middlesbrough FC are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.00 to 1.43); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.1 goals a match between them.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 11%
Over 1.5 79.9%Both score 60.3%
Birmingham City goals →
Middlesbrough FC goals ↓
0-05%
1-07%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-18%
1-111%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-29%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-33%
1-35%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.6%
5-30.2%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.7%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.5%
1-50.7%
2-50.5%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Birmingham City score 1.43 and concede 1.29 (last 10, all venues, 7 games), Middlesbrough FC score 2 and concede 1.43 (last 10, all venues, 7 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 7
BIRMINGHAM CITYDDWDDLW1.43 PPG
MIDDLESBROUGH FCWLWDWWD2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BIRMINGHAM CITY HOMExMIDDLESBROUGH FC AWAY
1.43SCORED A GAME2.001.29CONCEDED A GAME1.4386%BOTH SCORED86%14%CLEAN SHEETS14%14%FAILED TO SCORE0%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.43POINTS A GAME2.00+0.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.57+1.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.81.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.27LEAGUE GAMES7
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
74%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
BIRMINGHAM CITY OR DRAW
82%
OKAY · 80/85
MIDDLESBROUGH FC OR DRAW
79%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
BIRMINGHAM CITYxMIDDLESBROUGH FC
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME2.201.40CONCEDED A GAME1.403.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%100%BOTH SCORE80%4.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–11.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
BIRMINGHAM CITY 2 · 20%DRAW 0MIDDLESBROUGH FC 8 · 80%
4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2020-12-19Birmingham City 1 – 4 Middlesbrough FC
2021-01-16Birmingham City 1 – 0 Middlesbrough FC
2021-10-30Birmingham City 2 – 0 Middlesbrough FC
2022-03-15Birmingham City 0 – 2 Middlesbrough FC
2022-10-05Birmingham City 0 – 1 Middlesbrough FC
2023-01-02Birmingham City 1 – 3 Middlesbrough FC
2023-10-21Birmingham City 0 – 1 Middlesbrough FC
2024-03-12Birmingham City 0 – 1 Middlesbrough FC
TEAM NEWS
BIRMINGHAM CITY
Out: M. Bird (Inactive), T. Gardner-Hickman (Injury), D. Gray (Injury), M. Leonard (Achilles Tendon Injury), S. Wright (Off the roster), P. Roberts (Health problems)MIDDLESBROUGH FC
Out: A. Jones (Inactive), A. Jones (Inactive)TRENDS
Birmingham City failed to score in 14% of their games.
Middlesbrough FC failed to score in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague tableteam news