KAZAKHSTAN - PREMIER LEAGUE
15:00Thu 17 Sep
FCY
FY
Tobol Kostanay vs FC Yelimai
CLASS D
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
80
TOTAL GOALS
Class D
Over 1.5 Goals
Tobol Kostanay v FC Yelimai
1.19odds
84%book
-4edge
3/3angles
EDGE PICKTobol Kostanay Under 2.5 goals · 77.7% · @1.21
Book 83% · Us 78% -5 price too short
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of themTHE READ
Tobol Kostanay go over 1.5 in 70% of their games. FC Yelimai go over 1.5 in 80% of their games. This has landed in 80% of the last 5 between them.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Edge: Tobol Kostanay Under 2.5 goals · Expected goals 1.6 – 1.4
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
TOB O1.5 70%
FCY O1.5 80%
H2H 80%
Tobol Kostanay go over 1.5 in 70% of their games
FC Yelimai go over 1.5 in 80% of their games
This has landed in 80% of the last 5 between them
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TEAM GOALS
FC Yelimai Under 2.5 goals10-ODDS
1.16
2 of 2 agree84.2%
Book 86% · Us 84% -2 price too short
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Tobol Kostanay or Both Teams Score10-ODDS
1.19
2 of 2 agree80.3%
Book 84% · Us 80% -4 price too short
Backed by: Tobol Kostanay have an edge on points per game (1.90 to 1.50); FC Yelimai score in 79% of their games and Tobol Kostanay keep a clean sheet in only 16%.
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.19
3 of 3 agree80%
Book 84% · Us 80% -4 price too short
Backed by: the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
1.29
1 of 1 agree74.1%
Book 78% · Us 74% -4 price too short
OR HOME OVER 2.5
Tobol Kostanay or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.33
72.2%
Book 75% · Us 72% -3 price too short
Backed by: Tobol Kostanay have an edge on points per game (1.90 to 1.50).
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR HOME OVER 1.5
Tobol Kostanay or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree88.1%
Backed by: Tobol Kostanay have an edge on points per game (1.90 to 1.50); the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
HANDICAP
Tobol Kostanay +1.510-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree85.6%
1UP
Tobol Kostanay or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree74.4%
LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS
AND 1X OVER 1.5
Tobol Kostanay or Draw & Over 1.5
1.59
54.5%
Book 63% · Us 54% -9 price too short
Backed by: Tobol Kostanay have an edge on points per game (1.90 to 1.50); the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
WHY WE PASS
Tobol Kostanay or draw and both teams score — no bet. FC Yelimai saw this bet land in only 3 of their last 10 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 0 12%
Over 1.5 80%Both score 59.7%
Tobol Kostanay goals →
FC Yelimai goals ↓
0-07%
1-012%
2-011%
3-06%
4-03%
5-01.0%
0-16%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-12%
5-10.9%
0-23%
1-25%
2-24%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-30.9%
1-32%
2-31%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.2%
1-40.3%
2-40.3%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Tobol Kostanay score 1.7 and concede 1 (last 10, all venues, 10 games), FC Yelimai score 0.8 and concede 1.8 (away, 5 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
TOBOL KOSTANAYLWDWLWWLWW1.90 PPG
FC YELIMAIWWLDDWDLLW1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
TOBOL KOSTANAY HOMExFC YELIMAI AWAY
1.70SCORED A GAME1.201.00CONCEDED A GAME1.4050%BOTH SCORED50%20%CLEAN SHEETS30%28%FAILED TO SCORE21%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.11POINTS A GAME1.33+0.89GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.44–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.49LEAGUE GAMES9
Tobol Kostanay: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
TOBOL KOSTANAY 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
TOBOL KOSTANAY OR DRAW
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
FC YELIMAI OR DRAW
29%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TOBOL KOSTANAYxFC YELIMAI
5GAMES52.40SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME2.003.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5
TOBOL KOSTANAY 2 · 40%DRAW 1FC YELIMAI 2 · 40%
4 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED
4 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-03-06Tobol Kostanay 4 – 2 FC Yelimai
2024-09-15Tobol Kostanay 1 – 2 FC Yelimai
2025-03-30Tobol Kostanay 1 – 1 FC Yelimai
2025-07-05Tobol Kostanay 3 – 2 FC Yelimai
2026-04-04Tobol Kostanay 0 – 1 FC Yelimai
TRENDS
Tobol Kostanay failed to score in 28% of their games.
FC Yelimai failed to score in 21% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table