INTERNATIONAL - UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE
17:00Fri 25 Sep
LVA
LAT
Armenia vs Latvia
CLASS A
THE READ
No firm call on the result; the likeliest score is 1-1. Armenia have won three of the last four meetings. The points-per-game comparison favours Latvia, so this is not a one-sided case. Second against top in the table, Armenia are open at the back, three a game. Latvia struggle for goals, well under one a game. One wins from six for Armenia lately. No main bet: nothing we back is priced at 1.15 or more.
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
FIRST HALF GOALS
1st Half - GG/NG: NoNOT IN CODES
1.17
3 of 3 agree67.6%
Book 85% · Us 68% -17 price too short
Backed by: A slow start is likely: the two sides score 0.5 first-half goals a match between them.
SCORELINES
Most likely score
1 – 1 10%
Armenia goals →
Latvia goals ↓
0-04%
1-06%
2-06%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-15%
1-110%
2-19%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11.0%
0-24%
1-27%
2-27%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.7%
0-32%
1-34%
2-33%
3-32%
4-31.0%
5-30.4%
0-40.7%
1-41%
2-41%
3-40.8%
4-40.4%
5-40.1%
0-50.2%
1-50.4%
2-50.4%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from expected goals 1.85 – 1.5. Brighter squares are likelier; the most likely score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
ARMENIALWLLLWLLLL0.60 PPG
LATVIALDLLDLLWWL0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ARMENIA HOMExLATVIA AWAY
0.60SCORED A GAME0.603.00CONCEDED A GAME1.600%CLEAN SHEETS38%1.17CORNERS A GAME3.671.17CARDS A GAME1.330.73xG1.202.57xG AGAINST1.49
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4
ARMENIA 3 · 75%DRAW 0LATVIA 1 · 25%
3 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED
4 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-06-19Armenia 2 – 1 Latvia
2023-10-12Armenia 0 – 2 Latvia
2024-09-07Armenia 4 – 1 Latvia
2024-11-17Armenia 2 – 1 Latvia
TRENDS
Armenia have scored in 62% of their games.
Latvia have scored in 62% of their games.
Armenia kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Latvia kept a clean sheet in 38% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards