INTERNATIONAL - UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE
19:45Thu 24 Sep
WAL
WAL
Portugal vs Wales
CLASS A
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
82
TOTAL GOALS
Class A
Over 1.5 Goals
Portugal v Wales
1.09odds
92%book
-10edge
2/2angles
THE READ
Portugal score in 75% of their games. Wales score in 88% of their games.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.6 – 1.6
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
POR SCORE 75%
WAL SCORE 88%
Portugal score in 75% of their games
Wales score in 88% of their games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
1.19
1 of 1 agree83.5%
Book 84% · Us 84% 0
Backed by: A fast start is likely: the two sides score 2.2 first-half goals a match between them.
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.09
2 of 2 agree81.8%
Book 92% · Us 82% -10 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.5 goals a match between them.
SECOND HALF GOALS
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.510-ODDS
1.12
2 of 2 agree81.8%
Book 89% · Us 82% -7 price too short
Backed by: A fast start is likely: the two sides score 2.2 first-half goals a match between them; An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.5 goals a match between them.
HALVES
2nd Half - Multigoals: 1-3
1.31
1 of 1 agree72.7%
Book 76% · Us 73% -3 price too short
Backed by: A fast start is likely: the two sides score 2.2 first-half goals a match between them; An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.5 goals a match between them.
TEAM GOALS
Portugal Multigoals: 1-3
1.59
71.6%
Book 63% · Us 72% +9
Backed by: Portugal are rated 1995 to 1682 on the world rating, clearly the stronger side (backed by the tipsters).
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Both Teams to Score - Yes
2.10
2 of 2 agree63%
Book 48% · Us 63% +15
Backed by: Wales score in 88% of their games and Portugal keep a clean sheet in only 38%.
WHY WE PASS
2-4 Goals — no bet. Wales saw this bet land in only 3 of their last 10 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
3-5 Goals — no bet. Wales saw this bet land in only 3 of their last 10 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
SCORELINES
Most likely score
1 – 1 11%
Over 1.5 81.8%Both score 63%
Portugal goals →
Wales goals ↓
0-05%
1-06%
2-05%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-16%
1-111%
2-18%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-28%
2-27%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.7%
5-30.2%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.7%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.3%
1-50.5%
2-50.4%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from expected goals 1.56 – 1.56. Brighter squares are likelier; the most likely score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
PORTUGALWWDLWDWDWL1.80 PPG
WALESDWWDWLWLWW2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
PORTUGAL HOMExWALES AWAY
2.30SCORED A GAME2.501.00CONCEDED A GAME1.2038%CLEAN SHEETS12%
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1
PORTUGAL 1 · 100%DRAW 0WALES 0 · 0%
2016-07-06Portugal 2 – 0 Wales
TRENDS
Portugal have scored in 75% of their games.
Wales have scored in 88% of their games.
Portugal kept a clean sheet in 38% of their games.
Wales kept a clean sheet in 12% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecorners