INTERNATIONAL - UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE
19:45Thu 24 Sep
GER
GER
Netherlands vs Germany
CLASS A
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86
TEAM GOALS
Class A
Netherlands Over 0.5 Goals
Netherlands v Germany
1.19odds
84%book
+2edge
2/2angles
THE READ
Netherlands score in 88% of their games. Germany keep a clean sheet in only 12%.
Bet: Netherlands Over 0.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.9 – 1.7
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
NED SCORE 88%
GER CLEAN 12%
Netherlands score in 88% of their games
Germany keep a clean sheet in only 12%
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
SECOND HALF GOALS
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.510-ODDS
1.15
2 of 2 agree86.9%
Book 87% · Us 87% 0
Backed by: A fast start is likely: the two sides score 2.7 first-half goals a match between them; An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.9 goals a match between them.
TEAM GOALS
Netherlands Over 0.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.19
2 of 2 agree85.7%
Book 84% · Us 86% +2
Backed by: Netherlands have an edge on points per game (2.40 to 2.10).
TOTAL GOALS
Over/Under: Over 210-ODDS
1.18
2 of 2 agree84.9%
Book 85% · Us 85% 0
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.9 goals a match between them.
OR HOME OVER 2.5
Netherlands or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.26
2 of 2 agree80.3%
Book 79% · Us 80% +1
Backed by: Netherlands have an edge on points per game (2.40 to 2.10); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.9 goals a match between them.
HALVES
2nd Half - Multigoals: 1-310-ODDS
1.29
2 of 2 agree72.4%
Book 78% · Us 72% -6 price too short
Backed by: A fast start is likely: the two sides score 2.7 first-half goals a match between them; An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.9 goals a match between them.
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
HANDICAP
Netherlands +1.510-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree83.5%
Backed by: Netherlands have an edge on points per game (2.40 to 2.10).
1UP
Netherlands or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree74.8%
Backed by: Netherlands have an edge on points per game (2.40 to 2.10).
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Both Teams to Score - Yes10-ODDS
no price yet
3 of 3 agree70.1%
Backed by: Germany score in 100% of their games and Netherlands keep a clean sheet in only 0%; both-score counts agree.
WHY WE PASS
Netherlands or Draw & Over 1.5 — no bet. Germany saw this bet land in only 3 of their last 10 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
Netherlands or draw and both teams score — no bet. Germany saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 10 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
Netherlands or draw and over 2.5 goals — no bet. Germany saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 10 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
2 – 1 8%
Both score 70.1%
Netherlands goals →
Germany goals ↓
0-02%
1-04%
2-05%
3-04%
4-03%
5-01%
0-13%
1-17%
2-18%
3-17%
4-14%
5-12%
0-22%
1-26%
2-27%
3-26%
4-23%
5-22%
0-31%
1-33%
2-34%
3-33%
4-32%
5-30.9%
0-40.5%
1-41%
2-41%
3-41%
4-40.8%
5-40.4%
0-50.2%
1-50.4%
2-50.5%
3-50.4%
4-50.2%
5-50.1%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Netherlands score 4 and concede 0.67 (at home, 6 games), Germany score 2.6 and concede 0.9 (last 10, all venues, 10 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
NETHERLANDSWDWWWDWDWW2.40 PPG
GERMANYLLWWWWWWWL2.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NETHERLANDS HOMExGERMANY AWAY
3.50SCORED A GAME2.600.80CONCEDED A GAME0.900%CLEAN SHEETS12%
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 7
NETHERLANDS 2 · 29%DRAW 2GERMANY 3 · 43%
5 of 7BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 7OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 7OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 7OVER 3.5 GOALS
2012-06-13Netherlands 1 – 2 Germany
2018-10-13Netherlands 3 – 0 Germany
2018-11-19Netherlands 2 – 2 Germany
2019-03-24Netherlands 2 – 3 Germany
2019-09-06Netherlands 4 – 2 Germany
2024-09-10Netherlands 2 – 2 Germany
2024-10-14Netherlands 0 – 1 Germany
TRENDS
Netherlands have scored in 88% of their games.
Germany have scored in 100% of their games.
Netherlands kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Germany kept a clean sheet in 12% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecorners