INTERNATIONAL - UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE
19:45Thu 24 Sep
GER
GER
Netherlands vs Germany
CLASS A
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
86
TEAM HOME OVER 0.5
Class A
Netherlands Over 0.5 Goals
Netherlands v Germany
1.19odds
84%book
+2edge
3/3angles
EDGE PICK2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1 · 81% · @1.24
Book 81% · Us 81% 0
Backed by
A fast start is likely: the two sides score 2.7 first-half goals a match between them; An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.9 goals a match between them.
THE READ
Netherlands score in 88% of their games. Germany keep a clean sheet in only 12%. This bet landed in 4 of the last 4 between them.
Bet: Netherlands Over 0.5 Goals · Edge: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1 · Expected goals 1.9 – 1.7
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
NED SCORE 88%
GER CLEAN 12%
H2H 4/4
Netherlands score in 88% of their games
Germany keep a clean sheet in only 12%
This bet landed in 4 of the last 4 between them
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
SECOND HALF GOALS
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.510-ODDS
1.15
3 of 3 agree86.9%
Book 87% · Us 87% 0
Backed by: A fast start is likely: the two sides score 2.7 first-half goals a match between them; An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.9 goals a match between them.
TEAM HOME OVER 0.5
Netherlands Over 0.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.19
3 of 3 agree85.7%
Book 84% · Us 86% +2
Backed by: Netherlands have an edge on points per game (2.40 to 2.10).
TOTAL GOALS
Over/Under: Over 210-ODDS
1.18
3 of 3 agree84.9%
Book 85% · Us 85% 0
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.9 goals a match between them.
OR HOME OVER 2.5
Netherlands or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.26
3 of 3 agree80.3%
Book 79% · Us 80% +1
Backed by: Netherlands have an edge on points per game (2.40 to 2.10); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.9 goals a match between them.
HALVES
2nd Half - Multigoals: 1-3
1.29
3 of 3 agree72.4%
Book 78% · Us 72% -6 price too short
Backed by: A fast start is likely: the two sides score 2.7 first-half goals a match between them; An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.9 goals a match between them.
TEAM GOALS
Netherlands Multigoals: 1-3
1.29
1 of 1 agree72.4%
Book 78% · Us 72% -6 price too short
Backed by: Netherlands have an edge on points per game (2.40 to 2.10).
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR HOME OVER 1.5
Netherlands or Over 1.5 Goals2-ODDS
no price yet
3 of 3 agree92.8%
Backed by: Netherlands have an edge on points per game (2.40 to 2.10); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.9 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
HANDICAP
Netherlands +1.510-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree83.5%
Backed by: Netherlands have an edge on points per game (2.40 to 2.10).
TEAM AWAY OVER 0.5
Germany Over 0.5 goals10-ODDS
no price yet
3 of 3 agree81.1%
Backed by: Germany score in 100% of their games and Netherlands keep a clean sheet in only 0%.
DC1UP 1X
Netherlands or Draw (1UP)
no price yet
1 of 1 agree74.8%
Backed by: Netherlands have an edge on points per game (2.40 to 2.10).
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Both Teams to Score - Yes
no price yet
3 of 3 agree70.1%
Backed by: Germany score in 100% of their games and Netherlands keep a clean sheet in only 0%; both-score counts agree.
ONEUP HOME
Netherlands 1UP
no price yet
1 of 1 agree63.8%
Backed by: Netherlands have an edge on points per game (2.40 to 2.10).
WHY WE PASS
Netherlands or Draw & Over 1.5 — no bet. Germany saw this bet land in only 3 of their last 10 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
Netherlands or draw and both teams score — no bet. Germany saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 10 games. 1 other angle point the same way, and 0 point at it — too split to bet.
Netherlands or draw and over 2.5 goals — no bet. Germany saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 10 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Most likely score
1 – 1 9%
Both score 70.1%
Netherlands goals →
Germany goals ↓
0-03%
1-05%
2-05%
3-03%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-14%
1-19%
2-19%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-24%
1-27%
2-27%
3-25%
4-22%
5-20.9%
0-32%
1-34%
2-34%
3-33%
4-31%
5-30.5%
0-40.9%
1-42%
2-42%
3-41%
4-40.5%
5-40.2%
0-50.3%
1-50.6%
2-50.6%
3-50.4%
4-50.2%
5-50.1%
Every scoreline's chance from expected goals 1.95 – 1.67. Brighter squares are likelier; the most likely score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
NETHERLANDSWDWWWDWDWW2.40 PPG
GERMANYLLWWWWWWWL2.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NETHERLANDS HOMExGERMANY AWAY
3.50SCORED A GAME2.600.80CONCEDED A GAME0.900%CLEAN SHEETS12%
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 7
NETHERLANDS 2 · 29%DRAW 2GERMANY 3 · 43%
5 of 7BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 7OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 7OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 7OVER 3.5 GOALS
2012-06-13Netherlands 1 – 2 Germany
2018-10-13Netherlands 3 – 0 Germany
2018-11-19Netherlands 2 – 2 Germany
2019-03-24Netherlands 2 – 3 Germany
2019-09-06Netherlands 4 – 2 Germany
2024-09-10Netherlands 2 – 2 Germany
2024-10-14Netherlands 0 – 1 Germany
TRENDS
Netherlands have scored in 88% of their games.
Germany have scored in 100% of their games.
Netherlands kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Germany kept a clean sheet in 12% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecorners