INTERNATIONAL - UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE
19:45Thu 24 Sep
LTU
LIT
Liechtenstein vs Lithuania
CLASS A
THE BETLIVELY · RESERVE ONLY
79
TOTAL GOALS
Class A
Over/Under: Over 1
Liechtenstein v Lithuania
1.13odds
88%book
-9edge
2/2angles
EDGE PICKUnder 1.5 first-half goals · 64.5% · @1.33
Book 75% · Us 64% -11 price too short
Backed by
A slow start is likely: the two sides score 0.4 first-half goals a match between them; An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.0 goals a match between them.
THE READ
Liechtenstein saw this bet land in 8 of their last 8 games. Lithuania saw this bet land in 6 of their last 7 games.
Bet: Over/Under: Over 1 · Edge: Under 1.5 first-half goals · Expected goals 0.3 – 1.6
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
LIE 8/8
LTU 6/7
Liechtenstein saw this bet land in 8 of their last 8 games
Lithuania saw this bet land in 6 of their last 7 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
FIRST HALF GOALS
Under 2.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
1.07
2 of 2 agree86.8%
Book 93% · Us 87% -6 price too short
Backed by: A slow start is likely: the two sides score 0.4 first-half goals a match between them; An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.0 goals a match between them.
TOTAL GOALS
Over/Under: Over 1MAIN
1.13
2 of 2 agree78.8%
Book 88% · Us 79% -9 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.0 goals a match between them.
TEAM GOALS
Lithuania Multigoals: 1-3
1.28
71.9%
Book 78% · Us 72% -6 price too short
Backed by: Lithuania are rated 1279 to 895 on the world rating, clearly the stronger side (backed by the tipsters).
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
CARDS
Over 2.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
80.7%
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: Lithuania average 15 fouls a match.
LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS
FOULS OVER 25.5
Over 25.5 fouls
no price yet
51.7%
FOULS UNDER 25.5
Under 25.5 fouls
no price yet
48.3%
WHY WE PASS
Lithuania to Win Either Half: Yes — no bet. Lithuania saw this bet land in only 2 of their last 10 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
1st Half Result or Match Result: Lithuania — no bet. Lithuania saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 10 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Most likely score
0 – 1 23%
Over 1.5 57.4%
Liechtenstein goals →
Lithuania goals ↓
0-015%
1-04%
2-00.8%
3-00.1%
4-00.0%
5-00.0%
0-123%
1-18%
2-11%
3-10.2%
4-10.0%
5-10.0%
0-218%
1-26%
2-21%
3-20.1%
4-20.0%
5-20.0%
0-310%
1-33%
2-30.6%
3-30.1%
4-30.0%
5-30.0%
0-44%
1-41%
2-40.2%
3-40.0%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-51%
1-50.4%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from expected goals 0.34 – 1.59. Brighter squares are likelier; the most likely score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
LIECHTENSTEINLLLLLLLLWL0.30 PPG
LITHUANIALLDDDLLLLL0.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LIECHTENSTEIN HOMExLITHUANIA AWAY
0.20SCORED A GAME0.603.50CONCEDED A GAME1.7012%CLEAN SHEETS25%0.83CORNERS A GAME2.600.15xG0.702.57xG AGAINST1.76
TRENDS
Liechtenstein have scored in 38% of their games.
Lithuania have scored in 38% of their games.
Liechtenstein kept a clean sheet in 12% of their games.
Lithuania kept a clean sheet in 25% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tablecorners