Marseille go over 1.5 in 75% of their games. PSG go over 1.5 in 75% of their games. This has landed in 80% of the last 5 between them.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.2 – 2.6
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
MAR O1.5 75%
PSG O1.5 75%
H2H 80%
Marseille go over 1.5 in 75% of their games
PSG go over 1.5 in 75% of their games
This has landed in 80% of the last 5 between them
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TEAM GOALS
PSG Over 0.5 Goals2-ODDS
1.06
2 of 2 agree92.4%
Book 94% · Us 92%-2price too short
Backed by: PSG are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.25 to 0.75).
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
PSG win or both teams score2-ODDS
1.06
2 of 2 agree92.4%
Book 94% · Us 92%-2price too short
Backed by: PSG are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.25 to 0.75).
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
PSG or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.13
2 of 2 agree86.2%
Book 88% · Us 86%-2price too short
Backed by: PSG are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.25 to 0.75); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.0 goals a match between them.
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.10
3 of 3 agree83.6%
Book 91% · Us 84%-7price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.0 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
AND X2 OVER 1.5
PSG or draw and over 1.5 goals10-ODDS
1.23
76%
Book 81% · Us 76%-5price too short
Backed by: PSG are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.25 to 0.75); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.0 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
PSG or Over 1.5 Goals2-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree94.9%
Backed by: PSG are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.25 to 0.75); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.0 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
WHY WE PASS
Marseille Under 1.5 goals — no bet. PSG saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 4 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
PSG or draw and over 2.5 goals — no bet. Marseille saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 4 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 11%
Over 1.5 83.6%
Marseille goals →
PSG goals ↓
0-05%
1-07%
2-06%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-17%
1-111%
2-18%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-26%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.6%
5-30.2%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.6%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.3%
1-50.5%
2-50.4%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Marseille score 1.5 and concede 1.5 (last 10, all venues, 4 games), PSG score 1.5 and concede 1.5 (last 10, all venues, 4 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 4
MARSEILLEWLLL0.75 PPG
PSGDDLW1.25 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MARSEILLE HOMExPSG AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME1.501.50CONCEDED A GAME1.5025%BOTH SCORED75%25%CLEAN SHEETS25%50%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.00CORNERS A GAME5.75
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
MARSEILLE 2 · 22%DRAW 0PSG 7 · 78%
2 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-10-16Marseille 0 – 1 PSG
2023-02-08Marseille 2 – 1 PSG
2023-02-26Marseille 0 – 3 PSG
2023-09-24Marseille 0 – 4 PSG
2024-03-31Marseille 0 – 2 PSG
2024-10-27Marseille 0 – 3 PSG
2025-03-16Marseille 1 – 3 PSG
2025-09-22Marseille 1 – 0 PSG
TEAM NEWS
MARSEILLE
Out: G. Kondogbia (Injury), T. Nnadi (Injury), G. Kondogbia (Injury), T. Nnadi (Injury)
PSG
Out: A. Hakimi (Thigh Injury), A. Hakimi (Thigh Injury)
TRENDS
Marseille failed to score in 50% of their games.
PSG failed to score in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards