ITALY - SERIE A
19:45Sun 20 Sep
LEC
LEC
AC Milan vs Lecce
CLASS A
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
75
TEAM GOALS
Class A
AC Milan Under 3.5 goals
AC Milan v Lecce
1.28odds
78%book
-3edge
2/2angles
THE READ
AC Milan saw this bet land in 4 of their last 4 games. Lecce saw this bet land in 3 of their last 4 games.
Bet: AC Milan Under 3.5 goals · Expected goals 2.5 – 0.7
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
ACM 4/4
LEC 3/4
AC Milan saw this bet land in 4 of their last 4 games
Lecce saw this bet land in 3 of their last 4 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
1UP
AC Milan or Draw (1UP)2-ODDS
1.05
1 of 1 agree94.1%
Book 95% · Us 94% -1 price too short
DRAW NO BET
AC Milan (Draw No Bet)2-ODDS
1.07
1 of 1 agree93.9%
Book 93% · Us 94% +1
Backed by: AC Milan are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.00 to 1.50).
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
AC Milan or Both Teams Score2-ODDS
1.06
2 of 2 agree91.9%
Book 94% · Us 92% -2 price too short
Backed by: AC Milan are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.00 to 1.50).
OR HOME OVER 2.5
AC Milan or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.13
2 of 2 agree85.2%
Book 88% · Us 85% -3 price too short
Backed by: AC Milan are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.00 to 1.50).
TOTAL GOALS
1-5 Goals10-ODDS
1.08
2 of 2 agree85.1%
Book 93% · Us 85% -8 price too short
MATCH RESULT
AC Milan to Win10-ODDS
1.25
1 of 1 agree77.3%
Book 80% · Us 77% -3 price too short
Backed by: AC Milan are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.00 to 1.50).
CORNERS
Under 11.5 corners10-ODDS
1.29
2 of 2 agree76%
Book 78% · Us 76% -2 price too short
TEAM GOALS
AC Milan Under 3.5 goalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.28
2 of 2 agree75.4%
Book 78% · Us 75% -3 price too short
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
HANDICAP
AC Milan +1.52-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree98.1%
OR HOME OVER 1.5
AC Milan or Over 1.5 Goals2-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree93.1%
Backed by: AC Milan are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.00 to 1.50); the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
CARDS
Over 1.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
89.2%
WHY WE PASS
AC Milan Win & Over 1.5 — no bet. Lecce saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 4 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
AC Milan or Draw & Over 1.5 — no bet. Lecce saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 4 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
AC Milan Win & Over 1.5 — no bet. Lecce saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 4 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 11%
AC Milan goals →
Lecce goals ↓
0-06%
1-010%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.8%
0-16%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-12%
5-10.9%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: AC Milan score 1.75 and concede 1 (last 10, all venues, 4 games), Lecce score 1.25 and concede 1.75 (last 10, all venues, 4 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 4
AC MILANWWDD2.00 PPG
LECCEWLLW1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AC MILAN HOMExLECCE AWAY
1.75SCORED A GAME1.251.00CONCEDED A GAME1.7575%BOTH SCORED25%12%CLEAN SHEETS25%0%FAILED TO SCORE50%3.00CORNERS A GAME3.502.00CARDS A GAME2.251.39xG1.271.43xG AGAINST2.43
THE BANK
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
89%
OKAY · 85/90
AC MILAN OR DRAW
64%
NO · 80/85
LECCE OR DRAW
45%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
AC MILAN 8 · 80%DRAW 2LECCE 0 · 0%
4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
7 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2020-06-22AC Milan 4 – 1 Lecce
2023-01-14AC Milan 2 – 2 Lecce
2023-04-23AC Milan 2 – 0 Lecce
2023-11-11AC Milan 2 – 2 Lecce
2024-04-06AC Milan 3 – 0 Lecce
2024-09-27AC Milan 3 – 0 Lecce
2025-03-08AC Milan 3 – 2 Lecce
2025-08-29AC Milan 2 – 0 Lecce
TEAM NEWS
LECCE
Out: M. Berisha (Lacking Match Fitness), O. Gandelman (Inactive), W. Geubbels (Ankle Injury), M. Berisha (Lacking Match Fitness), O. Gandelman (Inactive), W. Geubbels (Ankle Injury)TRENDS
AC Milan have scored in 75% of their games.
Lecce have scored in 62% of their games.
AC Milan kept a clean sheet in 12% of their games.
Lecce kept a clean sheet in 25% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards