FRANCE - LIGUE 1
16:15Sun 20 Sep
LIL
LIL
Nice vs Lille
CLASS A
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
87
HANDICAP
Class A
Lille +1.5
Nice v Lille
1.11odds
90%book
-3edge
2/2angles
THE READ
Lille are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.50 to 0.50). Nice saw this bet land in 4 of their last 4 games. Lille saw this bet land in 4 of their last 4 games.
Bet: Lille +1.5 · Expected goals 1.3 – 1.6
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
NIC 4/4
LIL 4/4
Nice saw this bet land in 4 of their last 4 games
Lille saw this bet land in 4 of their last 4 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
HANDICAP
Lille +1.5MAIN10-ODDS
1.11
2 of 2 agree87.4%
Book 90% · Us 87% -3 price too short
TEAM GOALS
Nice Under 2.5 goals10-ODDS
1.13
2 of 2 agree86.4%
Book 88% · Us 86% -2 price too short
TOTAL GOALS
1-5 Goals10-ODDS
1.08
2 of 2 agree86.4%
Book 93% · Us 86% -7 price too short
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Lille win or both teams score10-ODDS
1.20
2 of 2 agree80.3%
Book 83% · Us 80% -3 price too short
1UP
Lille or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.24
2 of 2 agree76.2%
Book 81% · Us 76% -5 price too short
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
Lille or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.36
1 of 1 agree71.6%
Book 74% · Us 72% -2 price too short
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
CORNERS
Over 3.5 Corners2-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree98.2%
Backed by: Nice own the territory: 7.0 corners a game to 1.8.
CARDS
Over 1.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
89.4%
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
Lille or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree87.4%
WHY WE PASS
Over 8.5 Corners — no bet. Lille saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 4 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
Over 9.5 Corners — no bet. Lille saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 4 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
Nice Over 0.5 goals — no bet. Nice saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 4 games. 1 other angle point the same way, and 0 point at it — too split to bet.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
0 – 1 23%
Over 1.5 79.4%
Nice goals →
Lille goals ↓
0-015%
1-06%
2-01%
3-00.1%
4-00.0%
5-00.0%
0-123%
1-19%
2-12%
3-10.2%
4-10.0%
5-10.0%
0-217%
1-26%
2-21%
3-20.2%
4-20.0%
5-20.0%
0-39%
1-33%
2-30.6%
3-30.1%
4-30.0%
5-30.0%
0-43%
1-41%
2-40.2%
3-40.0%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-51.0%
1-50.4%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Nice score 0.25 and concede 1.25 (last 10, all venues, 4 games), Lille score 1.75 and concede 0.5 (last 10, all venues, 4 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 4
NICEDLDL0.50 PPG
LILLEWDWW2.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NICE HOMExLILLE AWAY
0.25SCORED A GAME1.751.25CONCEDED A GAME0.5025%BOTH SCORED25%25%CLEAN SHEETS75%75%FAILED TO SCORE0%7.00CORNERS A GAME1.75
THE BANK
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
27%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
NICE OR DRAW
59%
NO · 80/85
LILLE OR DRAW
84%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
NICE 4 · 40%DRAW 4LILLE 2 · 20%
6 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-08-14Nice 4 – 0 Lille
2022-05-14Nice 1 – 3 Lille
2022-08-31Nice 2 – 1 Lille
2023-01-29Nice 1 – 0 Lille
2023-08-11Nice 1 – 1 Lille
2024-05-19Nice 2 – 2 Lille
2024-11-10Nice 2 – 2 Lille
2025-01-17Nice 1 – 2 Lille
TEAM NEWS
NICE
Out: L. Abergel (Knee Injury), M. Bombito (Leg Injury), A. Mendy (Knee Injury), M. Sanson (Surgery), L. Abergel (Knee Injury), M. Bombito (Leg Injury)LILLE
Out: H. Igamane (Knee Injury), T. Nianzou (Knock), H. Igamane (Knee Injury), T. Nianzou (Knock)TRENDS
Nice failed to score in 75% of their games.
Lille failed to score in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague tableteam newscorners