NETHERLANDS - EREDIVISIE
17:45Sat 19 Sep
SCH
SH
Sparta Rotterdam vs SC Heerenveen
CLASS A
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83
TOTAL GOALS
Class A
Over 1.5 Goals
Sparta Rotterdam v SC Heerenveen
1.12odds
89%book
-6edge
4/4angles
EDGE PICKSC Heerenveen +1.5 · 78.8% · @1.22
Book 82% · Us 79% -3 price too short
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of themTHE READ
Sparta Rotterdam go over 1.5 in 83% of their games. Sparta Rotterdam score in 75% of their games. SC Heerenveen score in 75% of their games. This has landed in 100% of the last 5 between them.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Edge: SC Heerenveen +1.5 · Expected goals 1.8 – 1.7
WHY — 4 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree4/4 lit
SPA O1.5 83%
SPA SCORE 75%
SCH SCORE 75%
H2H 100%
Sparta Rotterdam go over 1.5 in 83% of their games
Sparta Rotterdam score in 75% of their games
SC Heerenveen score in 75% of their games
This has landed in 100% of the last 5 between them
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TEAM GOALS
Sparta Rotterdam Under 3.5 goals10-ODDS
1.10
2 of 2 agree89.4%
Book 91% · Us 89% -2 price too short
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.12
4 of 4 agree83.3%
Book 89% · Us 83% -6 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.3 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
HANDICAP
Sparta Rotterdam +1.510-ODDS
1.18
2 of 2 agree80.8%
Book 85% · Us 81% -4 price too short
OR DRAW OVER 2.5
Draw or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.17
1 of 1 agree80.2%
Book 85% · Us 80% -5 price too short
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
SC Heerenveen or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.24
1 of 1 agree77.6%
Book 81% · Us 78% -3 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.3 goals a match between them.
OR HOME OVER 2.5
Sparta Rotterdam or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.23
1 of 1 agree76.9%
Book 81% · Us 77% -4 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.3 goals a match between them.
1UP
SC Heerenveen or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.35
2 of 2 agree76.9%
Book 74% · Us 77% +3
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
1.23
1 of 1 agree73.6%
Book 81% · Us 74% -7 price too short
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
SC Heerenveen or Over 1.5 Goals2-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree91.2%
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.3 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
CORNERS
Over 6.5 Corners10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree86.8%
OR HOME OVER 1.5
Sparta Rotterdam or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree85.4%
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.3 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
WHY WE PASS
Under 11.5 corners — no bet. Sparta Rotterdam saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 6 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 10%
Over 1.5 83.3%Both score 67.5%
Sparta Rotterdam goals →
SC Heerenveen goals ↓
0-04%
1-06%
2-05%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-16%
1-110%
2-18%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-29%
2-27%
3-24%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-33%
1-35%
2-34%
3-32%
4-30.8%
5-30.2%
0-41%
1-42%
2-42%
3-40.8%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.4%
1-50.7%
2-50.5%
3-50.3%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Sparta Rotterdam score 1.67 and concede 2.17 (last 10, all venues, 6 games), SC Heerenveen score 1.17 and concede 1.5 (last 10, all venues, 6 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 6
SPARTA ROTTERDAMLWDLDL0.83 PPG
SC HEERENVEENWDLDLD1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SPARTA ROTTERDAM HOMExSC HEERENVEEN AWAY
1.67SCORED A GAME1.172.17CONCEDED A GAME1.5083%BOTH SCORED50%12%CLEAN SHEETS25%17%FAILED TO SCORE33%6.50CORNERS A GAME5.201.00CARDS A GAME1.171.71xG1.321.85xG AGAINST1.40
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.83POINTS A GAME1.00-0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.33+1.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.21.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.66LEAGUE GAMES6
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
65%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
64%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
77%
NO · 85/90
SPARTA ROTTERDAM OR DRAW
74%
NO · 80/85
SC HEERENVEEN OR DRAW
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SPARTA ROTTERDAMxSC HEERENVEEN
5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME1.202.40CONCEDED A GAME1.804.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%100%BOTH SCORE60%1.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–13.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
SPARTA ROTTERDAM 4 · 40%DRAW 3SC HEERENVEEN 3 · 30%
5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-12-11Sparta Rotterdam 0 – 0 SC Heerenveen
2022-04-03Sparta Rotterdam 1 – 1 SC Heerenveen
2022-08-05Sparta Rotterdam 0 – 0 SC Heerenveen
2023-04-15Sparta Rotterdam 4 – 0 SC Heerenveen
2023-08-27Sparta Rotterdam 3 – 1 SC Heerenveen
2024-05-19Sparta Rotterdam 2 – 1 SC Heerenveen
2024-10-26Sparta Rotterdam 0 – 2 SC Heerenveen
2025-04-12Sparta Rotterdam 3 – 1 SC Heerenveen
TEAM NEWS
SPARTA ROTTERDAM
Out: S. Mito (Inactive), S. Mito (Inactive)SC HEERENVEEN
Out: M. Egbring (Injury), M. Hilgers (Knee Injury), D. Proper (Injury), M. Linday (Inactive), M. Egbring (Injury), M. Hilgers (Knee Injury)TRENDS
Sparta Rotterdam have scored in 75% of their games.
SC Heerenveen have scored in 75% of their games.
Sparta Rotterdam kept a clean sheet in 12% of their games.
SC Heerenveen kept a clean sheet in 25% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards