ENGLAND - PREMIER LEAGUE
15:00Sat 19 Sep
ARS
ARS
Brighton vs Arsenal
CLASS A
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
88
TEAM GOALS
Class A
Arsenal Under 3.5 goals
Brighton v Arsenal
1.10odds
91%book
-3edge
2/2angles
THE READ
Brighton saw this bet land in 3 of their last 4 games. Arsenal saw this bet land in 4 of their last 4 games.
Bet: Arsenal Under 3.5 goals · Expected goals 1.0 – 1.9
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
BRI 3/4
ARS 4/4
Brighton saw this bet land in 3 of their last 4 games
Arsenal saw this bet land in 4 of their last 4 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
HANDICAP
Arsenal +1.52-ODDS
1.05
1 of 1 agree92.8%
Book 95% · Us 93% -2 price too short
TEAM GOALS
Arsenal Under 3.5 goalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.10
2 of 2 agree87.5%
Book 91% · Us 88% -3 price too short
TOTAL GOALS
1-5 Goals10-ODDS
1.08
2 of 2 agree86.3%
Book 93% · Us 86% -7 price too short
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Arsenal win or both teams score10-ODDS
1.15
1 of 1 agree85%
Book 87% · Us 85% -2 price too short
Backed by: Arsenal are clearly the stronger side on points per game (3.00 to 1.75).
1UP
Arsenal or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.16
1 of 1 agree84.1%
Book 86% · Us 84% -2 price too short
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
Arsenal or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.29
2 of 2 agree75.9%
Book 78% · Us 76% -2 price too short
Backed by: Arsenal are clearly the stronger side on points per game (3.00 to 1.75); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.4 goals a match between them.
AND X2 OVER 1.5
Arsenal or draw and over 1.5 goals10-ODDS
1.46
1 of 1 agree64.3%
Book 68% · Us 64% -4 price too short
Backed by: Arsenal are clearly the stronger side on points per game (3.00 to 1.75); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.4 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
Arsenal or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree89.2%
Backed by: Arsenal are clearly the stronger side on points per game (3.00 to 1.75); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.4 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
CARDS
Over 1.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
88.8%
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: Brighton average 13 fouls a match.
CORNERS
Over 6.5 Corners10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree85.4%
WHY WE PASS
Brighton Under 1.5 goals — no bet. Brighton saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 4 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
Arsenal Over 1.5 goals — no bet. Brighton saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 4 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
Arsenal or draw and over 2.5 goals — no bet. Brighton saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 4 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 10%
Brighton goals →
Arsenal goals ↓
0-03%
1-06%
2-05%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.5%
0-16%
1-110%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-25%
1-28%
2-27%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.6%
0-32%
1-34%
2-34%
3-32%
4-31.0%
5-30.3%
0-41.0%
1-42%
2-42%
3-40.9%
4-40.4%
5-40.1%
0-50.3%
1-50.6%
2-50.5%
3-50.3%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Brighton score 3.25 and concede 1.25 (last 10, all venues, 4 games), Arsenal score 2 and concede 0.25 (last 10, all venues, 4 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 4
BRIGHTONWLDW1.75 PPG
ARSENALWWWW3.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BRIGHTON HOMExARSENAL AWAY
3.25SCORED A GAME2.001.25CONCEDED A GAME0.2550%BOTH SCORED25%50%CLEAN SHEETS75%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.50CORNERS A GAME5.002.46xG1.661.90xG AGAINST0.31
THE BANK
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
81%
NO · 85/90
BRIGHTON OR DRAW
59%
NO · 80/85
ARSENAL OR DRAW
73%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
BRIGHTON 2 · 20%DRAW 2ARSENAL 6 · 60%
5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-11-09Brighton 3 – 1 Arsenal
2022-12-31Brighton 2 – 4 Arsenal
2023-05-14Brighton 3 – 0 Arsenal
2023-12-17Brighton 0 – 2 Arsenal
2024-04-06Brighton 0 – 3 Arsenal
2024-08-31Brighton 1 – 1 Arsenal
2025-01-04Brighton 1 – 1 Arsenal
2025-10-29Brighton 0 – 2 Arsenal
TEAM NEWS
BRIGHTON
Out: F. Azeez (Abdominal strain), E. Ferguson (Ankle Injury), J. Hinshelwood (Injury), Y. Minteh (Injury), K. Mitoma (Hamstring Injury), M. Svoboda (Injury)ARSENAL
Out: W. Saliba (Back Injury), C. Mosquera (Muscle Injury), B. White (Groin Injury), W. Saliba (Back Injury), C. Mosquera (Muscle Injury), B. White (Groin Injury)TRENDS
Brighton failed to score in 0% of their games.
Arsenal failed to score in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tableteam newscorners