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FRANCE - LIGUE 1
Monaco crestMONMON
19:45Fri 18 Sep
LENLens crestLEN

Monaco vs Lens

CLASS A
THE BETBANKER · 2-ODDS · 3-ODDS · 5-ODDS…
92
TOTAL GOALS
Class A
Monaco crestMONvLens crestLEN
Over 1.5 Goals
Monaco v Lens
France - Ligue 1 · 19:45
1.18odds
85%book
+7edge
3/3angles
THE READ
Monaco go over 1.5 in 75% of their games. Lens go over 1.5 in 75% of their games. This has landed in 100% of the last 4 between them.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.9 – 1.3
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
MON O1.5 75%
LEN O1.5 75%
H2H 100%
Monaco go over 1.5 in 75% of their games
Lens go over 1.5 in 75% of their games
This has landed in 100% of the last 4 between them
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN2-ODDS
1.18
3 of 3 agree92.1%
Book 85% · Us 92% +7
Backed by: the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
HANDICAP
Monaco +1.510-ODDS
1.09
2 of 2 agree88.3%
Book 92% · Us 88% -4 price too short
TEAM GOALS
Monaco Under 3.5 goals10-ODDS
1.10
2 of 2 agree88.1%
Book 91% · Us 88% -3 price too short
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Monaco or Both Teams Score10-ODDS
1.14
2 of 2 agree84.5%
Book 88% · Us 84% -4 price too short
Backed by: Monaco are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.50 to 1.00).
1UP
Monaco or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.20
2 of 2 agree78.9%
Book 83% · Us 79% -4 price too short
OR HOME OVER 2.5
Monaco or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.27
2 of 2 agree76.6%
Book 79% · Us 77% -2 price too short
Backed by: Monaco are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.50 to 1.00).
CARDS
Over 2.5 Cards10-ODDS
1.27
72%
Book 79% · Us 72% -7 price too short
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: Lens average 3.0 cards a match.
AND 1X OVER 1.5
Monaco or Draw & Over 1.510-ODDS
1.49
1 of 1 agree60.9%
Book 67% · Us 61% -6 price too short
Backed by: Monaco are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.50 to 1.00); the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR HOME OVER 1.5
Monaco or Over 1.5 Goals2-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree90.4%
Backed by: Monaco are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.50 to 1.00); the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
CORNERS
Over 6.5 Corners10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree85.7%
Backed by: Lens own the territory: 6.8 corners a game to 4.0.
WHY WE PASS
Over 2.5 Goals — no bet. Monaco only go over 2.5 in 25%. 2 angles argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 12%
Over 1.5 92.1%
Monaco goals →
Lens goals ↓
0-06%
1-09%
2-07%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-111%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-27%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.6%
1-40.9%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Monaco score 1.5 and concede 0.5 (last 10, all venues, 4 games), Lens score 2 and concede 1.75 (last 10, all venues, 4 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.

FORM · LAST 4
MONACOWWWD2.50 PPG
LENSWLLD1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MONACO HOMExLENS AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME2.000.50CONCEDED A GAME1.7550%BOTH SCORED75%50%CLEAN SHEETS0%0%FAILED TO SCORE25%4.00CORNERS A GAME6.751.21xG2.851.44xG AGAINST1.76
THE BANK
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
75%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
MONACO OR DRAW
81%
OKAY · 80/85
LENS OR DRAW
49%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
MONACO 3 · 33%DRAW 2LENS 4 · 44%
6 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
9 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
8 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
6 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-05-21Monaco 2 – 2 Lens
2022-08-20Monaco 1 – 4 Lens
2023-04-22Monaco 0 – 3 Lens
2023-09-02Monaco 3 – 0 Lens
2024-02-25Monaco 3 – 2 Lens
2024-09-01Monaco 1 – 1 Lens
2025-05-17Monaco 0 – 4 Lens
2025-11-08Monaco 1 – 4 Lens
TEAM NEWS

MONACO

Out: M. Coulibaly (Muscle Injury), A. Fati (Calf Injury), S. Idumbo (Groin Injury), A. Soubeir (Injury), J. Teze (Injury), F. Balogun (Injury)

LENS

Out: S. Abdulhamid (Contusion), S. Baidoo (Knee Injury), J. Chavez (Thigh Injury), M. Nawrocki (Injury), Y. Titraoui (Injury), S. Abdulhamid (Contusion)
TRENDS
Monaco failed to score in 0% of their games.
Lens failed to score in 25% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tableteam newscorners
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