SPAIN - LALIGA
20:30Thu 17 Sep
VIL
VIL
Malaga CF vs Villarreal
CLASS A
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
69
TOTAL GOALS
Class A
Over 1.5 Goals
Malaga CF v Villarreal
1.18odds
85%book
-16edge
3/3angles
THE READ
Malaga CF go over 1.5 in 80% of their games. Villarreal go over 1.5 in 80% of their games. Villarreal score in 88% of their games.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.3 – 1.8
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
MAL O1.5 80%
VIL O1.5 80%
VIL SCORE 88%
Malaga CF go over 1.5 in 80% of their games
Villarreal go over 1.5 in 80% of their games
Villarreal score in 88% of their games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
1.31
1 of 1 agree79.8%
Book 76% · Us 80% +4
CARDS
Over 2.5 Cards10-ODDS
1.16
74.6%
Book 86% · Us 75% -11 price too short
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.18
3 of 3 agree68.7%
Book 85% · Us 69% -16 price too short
Backed by: the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
CORNERS
Over 6.5 Corners10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree87.4%
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 12%
Over 1.5 68.7%
Malaga CF goals →
Villarreal goals ↓
0-07%
1-08%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.6%
5-00.1%
0-110%
1-112%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.9%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.5%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Malaga CF score 0.4 and concede 1.6 (last 10, all venues, 5 games), Villarreal score 1.4 and concede 2 (last 10, all venues, 5 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 5
MALAGA CFLDLDD0.60 PPG
VILLARREALDDLLL0.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MALAGA CF HOMExVILLARREAL AWAY
0.40SCORED A GAME1.401.60CONCEDED A GAME2.0040%BOTH SCORED80%12%CLEAN SHEETS12%60%FAILED TO SCORE20%5.00CORNERS A GAME7.202.20CARDS A GAME2.001.07xG1.741.37xG AGAINST1.55
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.60POINTS A GAME0.40-1.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.60-1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.00.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.45LEAGUE GAMES5
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
80%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
OKAY · 85/90
MALAGA CF OR DRAW
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
VILLARREAL OR DRAW
74%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MALAGA CFxVILLARREAL
5GAMES50.40SCORED A GAME1.401.60CONCEDED A GAME2.002.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE80%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.29.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
MALAGA CF 2 · 20%DRAW 3VILLARREAL 5 · 50%
4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2013-11-29Malaga CF 1 – 1 Villarreal
2014-04-21Malaga CF 2 – 0 Villarreal
2015-01-10Malaga CF 1 – 1 Villarreal
2015-05-17Malaga CF 1 – 2 Villarreal
2015-09-23Malaga CF 0 – 1 Villarreal
2016-02-13Malaga CF 0 – 1 Villarreal
2016-09-10Malaga CF 0 – 2 Villarreal
2017-02-12Malaga CF 1 – 1 Villarreal
TEAM NEWS
MALAGA CF
Out: A. Aznou (Muscle Injury), J. Cajuste (Injury), M. Diarra (Calf Injury), J. Lobete (Knee Injury), D. Murillo (Injury), A. Ochoa (Knee Injury)VILLARREAL
Out: J. Foyth (Achilles Tendon Injury), J. Foyth (Achilles Tendon Injury)TRENDS
Malaga CF have scored in 62% of their games.
Villarreal have scored in 88% of their games.
Malaga CF kept a clean sheet in 12% of their games.
Villarreal kept a clean sheet in 12% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards