RUSSIA - PREMIER LEAGUE
14:15Thu 17 Sep
FKK
FK
FC Orenburg vs FK Krasnodar
CLASS B
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
79
TOTAL GOALS
Class B
Over 1.5 Goals
FC Orenburg v FK Krasnodar
1.25odds
80%book
-1edge
4/4angles
EDGE PICKFC Orenburg Under 1.5 goals · 72.7% · @1.33
Book 75% · Us 73% -2 price too short
Backed by
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of themFK Krasnodar are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.50 to 1.00).
THE READ
FC Orenburg go over 1.5 in 75% of their games. FC Orenburg score in 75% of their games. FK Krasnodar score in 100% of their games. This has landed in 80% of the last 5 between them.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Edge: FC Orenburg Under 1.5 goals · Expected goals 1.0 – 1.9
WHY — 4 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree4/4 lit
FCO O1.5 75%
FCO SCORE 75%
FKK SCORE 100%
H2H 80%
FC Orenburg go over 1.5 in 75% of their games
FC Orenburg score in 75% of their games
FK Krasnodar score in 100% of their games
This has landed in 80% of the last 5 between them
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
HANDICAP
FK Krasnodar +1.52-ODDS
1.05
2 of 2 agree92.7%
Book 95% · Us 93% -2 price too short
TEAM GOALS
FK Krasnodar Under 3.5 goals10-ODDS
1.08
2 of 2 agree88.1%
Book 93% · Us 88% -5 price too short
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
FK Krasnodar win or both teams score10-ODDS
1.16
2 of 2 agree84.5%
Book 86% · Us 84% -2 price too short
Backed by: FK Krasnodar are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.50 to 1.00); FC Orenburg score in 62% of their games and FK Krasnodar keep a clean sheet in only 38%.
1UP
FK Krasnodar or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.16
2 of 2 agree83.8%
Book 86% · Us 84% -2 price too short
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.25
4 of 4 agree79.3%
Book 80% · Us 79% -1 price too short
Backed by: the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
FK Krasnodar or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.32
1 of 1 agree75.2%
Book 76% · Us 75% -1 price too short
Backed by: FK Krasnodar are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.50 to 1.00).
AND X2 OVER 1.5
FK Krasnodar or draw and over 1.5 goals10-ODDS
1.50
63.6%
Book 67% · Us 64% -3 price too short
Backed by: FK Krasnodar are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.50 to 1.00); the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
CARDS
Over 2.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
89.9%
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: FC Orenburg and FK Krasnodar average 3.7 cards, 2.4 cards a match.
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
FK Krasnodar or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree88.7%
Backed by: FK Krasnodar are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.50 to 1.00); the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
CORNERS
Over 6.5 Corners10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree82.8%
WHY WE PASS
FK Krasnodar (Draw No Bet) — no bet. FC Orenburg have lost only 2 of their last 8. 2 angles argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
0 – 1 14%
Over 1.5 79.3%Both score 54.5%
FC Orenburg goals →
FK Krasnodar goals ↓
0-09%
1-08%
2-04%
3-01%
4-00.2%
5-00.0%
0-114%
1-112%
2-15%
3-12%
4-10.3%
5-10.1%
0-210%
1-29%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.3%
5-20.0%
0-35%
1-35%
2-32%
3-30.6%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-42%
1-42%
2-40.8%
3-40.2%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.6%
1-50.5%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: FC Orenburg score 0.88 and concede 1.25 (last 10, all venues, 8 games), FK Krasnodar score 1.75 and concede 0.88 (last 10, all venues, 8 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 8
FC ORENBURGWLDDDDDL1.00 PPG
FK KRASNODARWWWWWWDD2.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FC ORENBURG HOMExFK KRASNODAR AWAY
0.88SCORED A GAME1.751.25CONCEDED A GAME0.8862%BOTH SCORED62%12%CLEAN SHEETS50%38%FAILED TO SCORE0%3.00CORNERS A GAME5.503.67CARDS A GAME2.38
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
FC ORENBURG 1 · 10%DRAW 0FK KRASNODAR 9 · 90%
4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
7 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-08-21FC Orenburg 0 – 2 FK Krasnodar
2022-11-13FC Orenburg 5 – 1 FK Krasnodar
2023-08-12FC Orenburg 0 – 2 FK Krasnodar
2023-12-03FC Orenburg 1 – 2 FK Krasnodar
2024-11-03FC Orenburg 0 – 4 FK Krasnodar
2025-05-17FC Orenburg 1 – 2 FK Krasnodar
2025-08-10FC Orenburg 0 – 1 FK Krasnodar
2025-11-05FC Orenburg 1 – 3 FK Krasnodar
TEAM NEWS
FC ORENBURG
Out: E. Bolotov (Yellow Cards), R. Kul (Red Card), R. Mejia (Injury), J. Palacios (Yellow Cards), M. Rudakov (Inactive), M. Sivis (Red Card)FK KRASNODAR
Out: N. Krivtsov (Inactive), N. Krivtsov (Inactive)TRENDS
FC Orenburg have scored in 75% of their games.
FK Krasnodar have scored in 100% of their games.
FC Orenburg kept a clean sheet in 12% of their games.
FK Krasnodar kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards