MEXICO - LIGA MX
02:00Wed 16 Sep
DEP
DT
Club Puebla vs Deportivo Toluca FC
CLASS D
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
78
TOTAL GOALS
Class D
Over 1.5 Goals
Club Puebla v Deportivo Toluca FC
1.17odds
85%book
-7edge
3/3angles
EDGE PICKClub Puebla Under 1.5 goals · 72.5% · @1.30
Book 77% · Us 72% -5 price too short
Backed by
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of themDeportivo Toluca FC are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.29 to 1.86).
THE READ
Club Puebla go over 1.5 in 71% of their games. Deportivo Toluca FC go over 1.5 in 86% of their games. This has landed in 75% of the last 4 between them.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Edge: Club Puebla Under 1.5 goals · Expected goals 1.0 – 2.1
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
CLU O1.5 71%
DEP O1.5 86%
H2H 75%
Club Puebla go over 1.5 in 71% of their games
Deportivo Toluca FC go over 1.5 in 86% of their games
This has landed in 75% of the last 4 between them
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
HANDICAP
Deportivo Toluca FC +1.52-ODDS
1.03
2 of 2 agree93.8%
Book 97% · Us 94% -3 price too short
TEAM GOALS
Deportivo Toluca FC Over 0.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.09
2 of 2 agree87.9%
Book 92% · Us 88% -4 price too short
Backed by: Deportivo Toluca FC are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.29 to 1.86).
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Deportivo Toluca FC win or both teams score10-ODDS
1.09
2 of 2 agree87.9%
Book 92% · Us 88% -4 price too short
Backed by: Deportivo Toluca FC are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.29 to 1.86).
1UP
Deportivo Toluca FC or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.11
1 of 1 agree86.5%
Book 90% · Us 86% -4 price too short
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
Deportivo Toluca FC or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.20
1 of 1 agree79.5%
Book 83% · Us 80% -3 price too short
Backed by: Deportivo Toluca FC are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.29 to 1.86); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.0 goals a match between them.
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.17
3 of 3 agree78.2%
Book 85% · Us 78% -7 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.0 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
1.27
2 of 2 agree76%
Book 79% · Us 76% -3 price too short
Backed by: the two sides' first halves: a first-half goal in 6 of 7 and 5 of 7 of their games with a half-time score.
AND X2 OVER 1.5
Deportivo Toluca FC or draw and over 1.5 goals10-ODDS
1.32
1 of 1 agree69%
Book 76% · Us 69% -7 price too short
Backed by: Deportivo Toluca FC are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.29 to 1.86); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.0 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
Deportivo Toluca FC or Over 1.5 Goals2-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree91.2%
Backed by: Deportivo Toluca FC are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.29 to 1.86); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.0 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
CARDS
Over 1.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
87.1%
CORNERS
Over 6.5 Corners10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree85.3%
WHY WE PASS
Deportivo Toluca FC or draw and over 2.5 goals — no bet. Club Puebla saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 7 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
Deportivo Toluca FC (Draw No Bet) — no bet. Club Puebla have lost only 2 of their last 7. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 11%
Over 1.5 78.2%
Club Puebla goals →
Deportivo Toluca FC goals ↓
0-05%
1-06%
2-03%
3-01%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-19%
1-111%
2-16%
3-12%
4-10.7%
5-10.2%
0-29%
1-210%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-35%
1-36%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-43%
2-42%
3-40.6%
4-40.2%
5-40.0%
0-50.9%
1-51%
2-50.6%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Club Puebla score 1.43 and concede 1.29 (last 10, all venues, 7 games), Deportivo Toluca FC score 2.43 and concede 0.86 (last 10, all venues, 7 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 7
CLUB PUEBLAWLDWWLW1.86 PPG
DEPORTIVO TOLUCA FCWLWDWWW2.29 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CLUB PUEBLA HOMExDEPORTIVO TOLUCA FC AWAY
1.43SCORED A GAME2.431.29CONCEDED A GAME0.8657%BOTH SCORED57%29%CLEAN SHEETS43%14%FAILED TO SCORE14%4.71CORNERS A GAME5.67
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
CLUB PUEBLA 1 · 11%DRAW 3DEPORTIVO TOLUCA FC 5 · 56%
5 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-04-03Club Puebla 1 – 2 Deportivo Toluca FC
2022-08-03Club Puebla 1 – 1 Deportivo Toluca FC
2023-04-08Club Puebla 1 – 2 Deportivo Toluca FC
2023-11-01Club Puebla 1 – 0 Deportivo Toluca FC
2024-01-27Club Puebla 1 – 1 Deportivo Toluca FC
2024-10-23Club Puebla 0 – 5 Deportivo Toluca FC
2025-03-15Club Puebla 0 – 3 Deportivo Toluca FC
2025-09-14Club Puebla 1 – 3 Deportivo Toluca FC
TRENDS
Club Puebla failed to score in 14% of their games.
Deportivo Toluca FC failed to score in 14% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tablecorners