BELGIUM - PRO LEAGUE
19:45Fri 18 Sep
STA
SL
Gent vs Standard Liege
CLASS A
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
90
TOTAL GOALS
Class A
Over 1.5 Goals
Gent v Standard Liege
1.31odds
76%book
+14edge
3/3angles
THE READ
Gent go over 1.5 in 83% of their games. Standard Liege go over 1.5 in 83% of their games. This has landed in 100% of the last 5 between them.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.6 – 1.0
WHY — 3 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree3/3 lit
GEN O1.5 83%
STA O1.5 83%
H2H 100%
Gent go over 1.5 in 83% of their games
Standard Liege go over 1.5 in 83% of their games
This has landed in 100% of the last 5 between them
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.31
3 of 3 agree89.6%
Book 76% · Us 90% +14
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.0 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
TEAM GOALS
Gent Over 0.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.19
1 of 1 agree80.7%
Book 84% · Us 81% -3 price too short
Backed by: Gent are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.67 to 1.83).
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Gent or Both Teams Score10-ODDS
1.19
1 of 1 agree80.7%
Book 84% · Us 81% -3 price too short
Backed by: Gent are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.67 to 1.83).
OR HOME OVER 2.5
Gent or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.37
1 of 1 agree70.5%
Book 73% · Us 70% -3 price too short
Backed by: Gent are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.67 to 1.83); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.0 goals a match between them.
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR HOME OVER 1.5
Gent or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree85.7%
Backed by: Gent are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.67 to 1.83); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.0 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
CARDS
Over 1.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
84.3%
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: Gent average 3.3 cards a match.
LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS
AND 1X OVER 1.5
Gent or Draw & Over 1.5
1.55
1 of 1 agree58.3%
Book 65% · Us 58% -7 price too short
Backed by: Gent are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.67 to 1.83); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.0 goals a match between them; the goals counts agree on over 1.5.
AND 1X OVER 2.5
Gent or draw and over 2.5 goals
2.40
36.9%
Book 42% · Us 37% -5 price too short
Backed by: Gent are clearly the stronger side on points per game (2.67 to 1.83); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.0 goals a match between them.
WHY WE PASS
Standard Liege Under 1.5 goals — no bet. Standard Liege saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 6 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 11%
Over 1.5 89.6%
Gent goals →
Standard Liege goals ↓
0-05%
1-09%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-16%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-12%
5-10.9%
0-24%
1-27%
2-26%
3-23%
4-22%
5-20.5%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.6%
5-30.2%
0-40.5%
1-40.9%
2-40.8%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Gent score 1.83 and concede 0.5 (last 10, all venues, 6 games), Standard Liege score 2 and concede 1.67 (last 10, all venues, 6 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 6
GENTWWWWWD2.67 PPG
STANDARD LIEGEDDWWWL1.83 PPG
THE NUMBERS
GENT HOMExSTANDARD LIEGE AWAY
1.83SCORED A GAME2.000.50CONCEDED A GAME1.6750%BOTH SCORED67%50%CLEAN SHEETS33%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.50CORNERS A GAME6.171.18xG1.900.51xG AGAINST1.57
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.60POINTS A GAME2.00+1.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.40+0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.82.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.05LEAGUE GAMES5
Gent: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
80%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
60%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
86%
OKAY · 85/90
GENT OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
STANDARD LIEGE OR DRAW
41%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
GENTxSTANDARD LIEGE
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME2.000.60CONCEDED A GAME1.602.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
GENT 9 · 90%DRAW 0STANDARD LIEGE 1 · 10%
6 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
9 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
8 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-05-06Gent 2 – 1 Standard Liege
2023-06-03Gent 3 – 1 Standard Liege
2023-10-29Gent 3 – 1 Standard Liege
2024-03-02Gent 2 – 4 Standard Liege
2024-03-29Gent 5 – 1 Standard Liege
2024-05-18Gent 4 – 1 Standard Liege
2024-11-10Gent 5 – 0 Standard Liege
2024-12-22Gent 1 – 0 Standard Liege
TRENDS
Gent failed to score in 0% of their games.
Standard Liege failed to score in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tablecornerscards