NETHERLANDS - EERSTE DIVISIE
19:00Fri 18 Sep
HER
HA
Almere City FC vs Heracles Almelo
CLASS E
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
87
TOTAL GOALS
Class E
Over 1.5 Goals
Almere City FC v Heracles Almelo
1.11odds
90%book
-3edge
2/2angles
EDGE PICKAlmere City FC Under 2.5 goals · 78.4% · @1.23
Book 81% · Us 78% -3 price too short
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of themTHE READ
Almere City FC go over 1.5 in 83% of their games. Heracles Almelo go over 1.5 in 100% of their games.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Edge: Almere City FC Under 2.5 goals · Expected goals 1.6 – 1.9
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
ALM O1.5 83%
HER O1.5 100%
Almere City FC go over 1.5 in 83% of their games
Heracles Almelo go over 1.5 in 100% of their games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.11
2 of 2 agree86.8%
Book 90% · Us 87% -3 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 4.3 goals a match between them.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Heracles Almelo win or both teams score10-ODDS
1.10
1 of 1 agree85.7%
Book 91% · Us 86% -5 price too short
Backed by: Heracles Almelo are clearly the stronger side on points per game (3.00 to 2.17); Almere City FC score in 83% of their games and Heracles Almelo keep a clean sheet in only 17%.
HANDICAP
Heracles Almelo +1.510-ODDS
1.12
1 of 1 agree84.6%
Book 89% · Us 85% -4 price too short
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
Heracles Almelo or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.18
2 of 2 agree79.8%
Book 85% · Us 80% -5 price too short
Backed by: Heracles Almelo are clearly the stronger side on points per game (3.00 to 2.17); An open game is likely: the two sides average 4.3 goals a match between them.
TEAM GOALS
Almere City FC Over 0.5 goals10-ODDS
1.20
2 of 2 agree79.7%
Book 83% · Us 80% -3 price too short
Backed by: Almere City FC score in 83% of their games and Heracles Almelo keep a clean sheet in only 17%.
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
1.20
1 of 1 agree77.7%
Book 83% · Us 78% -5 price too short
1UP
Heracles Almelo or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.21
1 of 1 agree75.8%
Book 83% · Us 76% -7 price too short
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
Heracles Almelo or Over 1.5 Goals2-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree92.5%
Backed by: Heracles Almelo are clearly the stronger side on points per game (3.00 to 2.17); An open game is likely: the two sides average 4.3 goals a match between them.
CORNERS
Over 6.5 Corners10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree89.7%
CARDS
Over 1.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
89.2%
Backed by: A scrappy game is likely: Heracles Almelo average 14 fouls a match.
WHY WE PASS
Heracles Almelo or draw and over 1.5 goals — no bet. Almere City FC saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 6 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
2-4 Goals — no bet. Heracles Almelo saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 6 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.
Heracles Almelo Over 1.5 goals — no bet. Almere City FC saw this bet land in only 0 of their last 6 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 2 7%
Over 1.5 86.8%Both score 68.6%
Almere City FC goals →
Heracles Almelo goals ↓
0-01%
1-03%
2-03%
3-02%
4-00.9%
5-00.4%
0-13%
1-16%
2-16%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-24%
1-27%
2-27%
3-25%
4-22%
5-21.0%
0-33%
1-36%
2-36%
3-34%
4-32%
5-30.7%
0-42%
1-43%
2-43%
3-42%
4-41%
5-40.4%
0-50.8%
1-52%
2-52%
3-51%
4-50.5%
5-50.2%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Almere City FC score 2.5 and concede 0.67 (last 10, all venues, 6 games), Heracles Almelo score 4 and concede 1.5 (last 10, all venues, 6 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 6
ALMERE CITY FCDWWWLW2.17 PPG
HERACLES ALMELOWWWWWW3.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ALMERE CITY FC HOMExHERACLES ALMELO AWAY
2.50SCORED A GAME4.000.67CONCEDED A GAME1.5050%BOTH SCORED83%33%CLEAN SHEETS17%17%FAILED TO SCORE0%6.33CORNERS A GAME8.20
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.17POINTS A GAME3.00+1.83GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+2.50–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+8.82.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME3.06LEAGUE GAMES6
Heracles Almelo: the quality side - more points a game.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
87%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
49%
NO · 85/90
ALMERE CITY FC OR DRAW
33%
NO · 80/85
HERACLES ALMELO OR DRAW
70%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ALMERE CITY FCxHERACLES ALMELO
5GAMES52.80SCORED A GAME4.000.60CONCEDED A GAME1.203.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES5.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%40%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Almere City FC failed to score in 17% of their games.
Heracles Almelo failed to score in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague tablecorners