SWEDEN - ETTAN
18:30Wed 16 Sep
FCA
FA
Gefle IF vs FC Arlanda
CLASS E
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83
TEAM GOALS
Class E
FC Arlanda Under 2.5 goals
Gefle IF v FC Arlanda
1.15odds
87%book
-4edge
2/2angles
EDGE PICKOver 1.5 Goals · 82.4% · @1.23
Book 81% · Us 82% +1
Backed by
· main loses on: 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 3-3, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6, 4-3, 3-4 and 76 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of themAn open game is likely: the two sides average 3.1 goals a match between them.
THE READ
Gefle IF saw this bet land in 9 of their last 10 games. FC Arlanda saw this bet land in 7 of their last 10 games.
Bet: FC Arlanda Under 2.5 goals · Edge: Over 1.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.4 – 1.4
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
GEF 9/10
FCA 7/10
Gefle IF saw this bet land in 9 of their last 10 games
FC Arlanda saw this bet land in 7 of their last 10 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TOTAL GOALS
1-5 Goals10-ODDS
1.07
2 of 2 agree86.6%
Book 93% · Us 87% -6 price too short
TEAM GOALS
FC Arlanda Under 2.5 goalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.15
2 of 2 agree83.3%
Book 87% · Us 83% -4 price too short
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
FC Arlanda win or both teams score10-ODDS
1.25
2 of 2 agree75.3%
Book 80% · Us 75% -5 price too short
FIRST HALF GOALS
Over 0.5 first-half goals10-ODDS
1.33
1 of 1 agree71.3%
Book 75% · Us 71% -4 price too short
Backed by: the two sides' first halves: a first-half goal in 5 of 5 and 4 of 5 of their games with a half-time score.
OR DRAW OVER 2.5
Draw or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.29
1 of 1 agree71.3%
Book 78% · Us 71% -7 price too short
OR HOME OVER 2.5
Gefle IF or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.39
2 of 2 agree67.9%
Book 72% · Us 68% -4 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.1 goals a match between them.
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
FC Arlanda or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.39
2 of 2 agree67.7%
Book 72% · Us 68% -4 price too short
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.1 goals a match between them.
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR HOME OVER 1.5
Gefle IF or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree85.7%
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.1 goals a match between them.
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
FC Arlanda or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree85.5%
Backed by: An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.1 goals a match between them.
HANDICAP
Gefle IF +1.510-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree82.9%
1UP
FC Arlanda or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree69.4%
WHY WE PASS
2-4 Goals — no bet. FC Arlanda saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 10 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
2 – 1 9%
Over 1.5 82.4%
Gefle IF goals →
FC Arlanda goals ↓
0-02%
1-06%
2-07%
3-05%
4-03%
5-01%
0-13%
1-18%
2-19%
3-17%
4-14%
5-12%
0-22%
1-26%
2-26%
3-25%
4-23%
5-21%
0-31%
1-33%
2-33%
3-32%
4-31%
5-30.6%
0-40.4%
1-40.9%
2-41%
3-40.8%
4-40.5%
5-40.2%
0-50.1%
1-50.3%
2-50.3%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.1%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Gefle IF score 1.8 and concede 1.2 (at home, 5 games), FC Arlanda score 1.6 and concede 2.8 (away, 5 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 10
GEFLE IFLLWWLWWDLW1.60 PPG
FC ARLANDAWWWLDLWWLL1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
GEFLE IF HOMExFC ARLANDA AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME1.601.50CONCEDED A GAME1.7040%BOTH SCORED60%20%CLEAN SHEETS30%38%FAILED TO SCORE24%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.67POINTS A GAME1.17-0.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.26LEAGUE GAMES6
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
73%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
57%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
66%
NO · 85/90
GEFLE IF OR DRAW
80%
OKAY · 80/85
FC ARLANDA OR DRAW
42%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
GEFLE IFxFC ARLANDA
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME2.001.80CONCEDED A GAME2.003.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3
GEFLE IF 1 · 33%DRAW 1FC ARLANDA 1 · 33%
2 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED
3 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS
2025-06-02Gefle IF 1 – 1 FC Arlanda
2025-08-24Gefle IF 0 – 2 FC Arlanda
2026-06-01Gefle IF 3 – 2 FC Arlanda
TRENDS
Gefle IF failed to score in 38% of their games.
FC Arlanda failed to score in 24% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table