PLPAI

17:00Wed 16 Sep

PAR

Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus

CLASS D

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TEAM GOALS

Class D

PLv

Paide Linnameeskond Under 3.5 goals

Paide Linnameeskond v Parnu JK Vaprus

Estonia - Premium Liiga · 17:00

1.18odds

85%book

-4edge

2/2angles

EDGE PICKOver 2.5 Goals · 44.8% · @1.50

Book 67% · Us 45% -22 price too short

Backed by

An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.4 goals a match between them.

· main loses on: 4-0, 4-1, 5-0, 4-2, 5-1, 6-0, 4-3, 5-2, 6-1, 7-0, 4-4, 5-3 and 65 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of them

THE READ

Paide Linnameeskond saw this bet land in 9 of their last 10 games. Parnu JK Vaprus saw this bet land in 9 of their last 10 games.

Bet: Paide Linnameeskond Under 3.5 goals · Edge: Over 2.5 Goals · Expected goals 2.3 – 1.1

WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST

Angles that agree2/2 lit

PAI 9/10

PAR 9/10

Paide Linnameeskond saw this bet land in 9 of their last 10 games

Parnu JK Vaprus saw this bet land in 9 of their last 10 games

PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET

READY TO BET · PRICED

TEAM GOALS

Parnu JK Vaprus Under 2.5 goals10-ODDS

1.06

2 of 2 agree89.8%

Book 94% · Us 90% -4 price too short

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Paide Linnameeskond or Both Teams Score10-ODDS

1.08

2 of 2 agree89.5%

Book 93% · Us 90% -3 price too short

Backed by: Paide Linnameeskond are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.70 to 1.10).

1UP

Paide Linnameeskond or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS

1.09

2 of 2 agree86.8%

Book 92% · Us 87% -5 price too short

FIRST HALF GOALS

Over 0.5 first-half goals10-ODDS

1.23

1 of 1 agree82.6%

Book 81% · Us 83% +2

OR HOME OVER 2.5

Paide Linnameeskond or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS

1.17

2 of 2 agree81.9%

Book 85% · Us 82% -3 price too short

Backed by: Paide Linnameeskond are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.70 to 1.10); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.4 goals a match between them.

DRAW NO BET

Paide Linnameeskond (Draw No Bet)10-ODDS

1.20

1 of 1 agree80.2%

Book 83% · Us 80% -3 price too short

Backed by: Paide Linnameeskond are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.70 to 1.10).

AND 1X OVER 1.5

Paide Linnameeskond or Draw & Over 1.510-ODDS

1.28

1 of 1 agree71.2%

Book 78% · Us 71% -7 price too short

Backed by: Paide Linnameeskond are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.70 to 1.10); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.4 goals a match between them.

MATCH RESULT

Paide Linnameeskond to Win10-ODDS

1.48

1 of 1 agree62.7%

Book 68% · Us 63% -5 price too short

Backed by: Paide Linnameeskond are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.70 to 1.10).

STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE

HANDICAP

Paide Linnameeskond +1.52-ODDS

no price yet

2 of 2 agree93.6%

OR HOME OVER 1.5

Paide Linnameeskond or Over 1.5 Goals2-ODDS

no price yet

2 of 2 agree92.7%

Backed by: Paide Linnameeskond are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.70 to 1.10); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.4 goals a match between them.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 5.5 Goals10-ODDS

no price yet

2 of 2 agree87.5%

Backed by: nothing in the read is against under 5.5.

LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS

AND HOME OVER 1.5

Paide Linnameeskond Win & Over 1.5

1.60

55.4%

Book 62% · Us 55% -7 price too short

Backed by: Paide Linnameeskond are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.70 to 1.10); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.4 goals a match between them.

COMBINATIONS

Paide Linnameeskond Win & Over 1.5

1.60

55.4%

Book 62% · Us 55% -7 price too short

Backed by: Paide Linnameeskond are clearly the stronger side on points per game (1.70 to 1.10); An open game is likely: the two sides average 3.4 goals a match between them.

WHY WE PASS

Paide Linnameeskond or draw and over 2.5 goals — no bet. Paide Linnameeskond saw this bet land in only 3 of their last 10 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.

Paide Linnameeskond win and over 2.5 goals — no bet. Paide Linnameeskond saw this bet land in only 3 of their last 10 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.

Paide Linnameeskond -1.5 — no bet. Paide Linnameeskond saw this bet land in only 3 of their last 10 games. Nothing on this game argues for it, so it stays off.

SCORELINES

Predicted score

2 – 1 10%

Over 1.5 62.5%

Paide Linnameeskond goals →

Parnu JK Vaprus goals ↓

0-03%

1-07%

2-09%

3-07%

4-04%

5-02%

0-13%

1-18%

2-110%

3-18%

4-15%

5-12%

0-22%

1-24%

2-25%

3-24%

4-23%

5-21%

0-30.7%

1-32%

2-32%

3-32%

4-30.9%

5-30.4%

0-40.2%

1-40.4%

2-40.5%

3-40.4%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Paide Linnameeskond score 1.8 and concede 1.2 (at home, 5 games), Parnu JK Vaprus score 1 and concede 3 (away, 5 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.

FORM · LAST 10

PAIDE LINNAMEESKONDDWLWDWWLWL1.70 PPG

PARNU JK VAPRUSLWLDLLDWWL1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PAIDE LINNAMEESKOND HOMExPARNU JK VAPRUS AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME1.601.40CONCEDED A GAME2.1070%BOTH SCORED80%20%CLEAN SHEETS10%11%FAILED TO SCORE19%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.14POINTS A GAME1.14+0.86GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.86+3.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.81.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.47LEAGUE GAMES7

Paide Linnameeskond: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.

PAIDE LINNAMEESKOND 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

87%

OKAY · 85/90

PAIDE LINNAMEESKOND OR DRAW

80%

OKAY · 80/85

PARNU JK VAPRUS OR DRAW

32%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

PAIDE LINNAMEESKONDxPARNU JK VAPRUS

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.401.20CONCEDED A GAME2.203.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

PAIDE LINNAMEESKOND 7 · 70%DRAW 0PARNU JK VAPRUS 3 · 30%

3 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

5 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-06-18Paide Linnameeskond 0 – 1 Parnu JK Vaprus

2024-08-18Paide Linnameeskond 1 – 0 Parnu JK Vaprus

2024-10-23Paide Linnameeskond 1 – 0 Parnu JK Vaprus

2025-04-09Paide Linnameeskond 1 – 0 Parnu JK Vaprus

2025-06-18Paide Linnameeskond 2 – 1 Parnu JK Vaprus

2025-08-30Paide Linnameeskond 0 – 1 Parnu JK Vaprus

2025-11-02Paide Linnameeskond 3 – 0 Parnu JK Vaprus

2026-03-07Paide Linnameeskond 2 – 3 Parnu JK Vaprus

TRENDS

Paide Linnameeskond failed to score in 11% of their games.

Parnu JK Vaprus failed to score in 19% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table