ENGLAND - CHAMPIONSHIP
19:45Wed 9 Sep
BIR
BC
Norwich vs Birmingham City
CLASS E
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
89
TOTAL GOALS
Class E
Over 1.5 Goals
Norwich v Birmingham City
1.24odds
81%book
+8edge
2/2angles
EDGE PICKBirmingham City +1.5 · 80.3% · @1.34
Book 75% · Us 80% +5
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of themTHE READ
Birmingham City score in 88% of their games. This has landed in 93% of the last 10 between them.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Edge: Birmingham City +1.5 · Expected goals 1.5 – 1.4
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
BIR SCORE 88%
H2H 93%
Birmingham City score in 88% of their games
This has landed in 93% of the last 10 between them
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
TOTAL GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAIN10-ODDS
1.24
2 of 2 agree89.3%
Book 81% · Us 89% +8
HANDICAP
Norwich +1.510-ODDS
1.06
2 of 2 agree84.3%
Book 94% · Us 84% -10 price too short
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Norwich or Both Teams Score10-ODDS
1.16
1 of 1 agree77.8%
Book 86% · Us 78% -8 price too short
CARDS
Over 2.5 Cards10-ODDS
1.42
77%
Book 70% · Us 77% +7
TEAM GOALS
Birmingham City Over 0.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.42
2 of 2 agree74.7%
Book 70% · Us 75% +5
Backed by: Birmingham City scored in 83% of their last 6 games and Norwich conceded in 100% of their last 6.
OR DRAW OVER 2.5
Draw or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.30
2 of 2 agree73.6%
Book 77% · Us 74% -3 price too short
DOUBLE CHANCE
Norwich or Draw10-ODDS
1.25
2 of 2 agree73.4%
Book 80% · Us 73% -7 price too short
OR HOME OVER 2.5
Norwich or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.32
1 of 1 agree69.1%
Book 76% · Us 69% -7 price too short
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR HOME OVER 1.5
Norwich or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree86.7%
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
Birmingham City or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree86%
CORNERS
Over 6.5 Corners10-ODDS
no price yet
83.3%
1UP
Birmingham City or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree67.2%
DRAW NO BET
Norwich (Draw No Bet)10-ODDS
no price yet
66.6%
WHY WE PASS
Norwich or Birmingham City — no bet. Birmingham City saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 6 games. 2 angles argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 12%
Over 1.5 89.3%
Norwich goals →
Birmingham City goals ↓
0-06%
1-08%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-112%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.5%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Norwich score 1.5 and concede 1.67 (last 10, all venues, 6 games), Birmingham City score 1.33 and concede 1.17 (last 10, all venues, 6 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 6
NORWICHWLWLLL1.00 PPG
BIRMINGHAM CITYDDWDDD1.33 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NORWICH HOMExBIRMINGHAM CITY AWAY
1.25SCORED A GAME1.251.75CONCEDED A GAME1.000%CLEAN SHEETS20%3.60CORNERS A GAME5.252.60CARDS A GAME1.801.93xG1.311.53xG AGAINST1.25
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.20POINTS A GAME1.40+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.20–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.45LEAGUE GAMES5
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
79%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
71%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
NORWICH OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
BIRMINGHAM CITY OR DRAW
70%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
NORWICHxBIRMINGHAM CITY
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.401.60CONCEDED A GAME1.203.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
NORWICH 6 · 60%DRAW 1BIRMINGHAM CITY 3 · 30%
7 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
7 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2026-02-21Norwich 1 – 2 Birmingham City
2025-11-22Norwich 1 – 4 Birmingham City
2024-05-04Norwich 0 – 1 Birmingham City
2023-09-30Norwich 2 – 0 Birmingham City
2023-02-21Norwich 3 – 1 Birmingham City
2022-08-30Norwich 2 – 1 Birmingham City
2022-08-09Norwich 2 – 2 Birmingham City
2021-02-23Norwich 3 – 1 Birmingham City
TRENDS
Norwich have scored in 62% of their games.
Birmingham City have scored in 88% of their games.
Norwich kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Birmingham City kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards