ENGLAND - EFL CUP
20:00Wed 9 Sep
LEE
LU
Chelsea vs Leeds United
CLASS A
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
61
TOTAL GOALS
Class A
Over 1.5 Goals
Chelsea v Leeds United
1.18odds
85%book
-24edge
2/2angles
THE READ
Chelsea score in 88% of their games. Leeds United score in 100% of their games.
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.5 – 1.4
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
CHE SCORE 88%
LEE SCORE 100%
Chelsea score in 88% of their games
Leeds United score in 100% of their games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Chelsea or Both Teams Score10-ODDS
1.09
1 of 1 agree78.4%
Book 92% · Us 78% -14 price too short
TOTAL GOALS
Under 5.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.10
3 of 3 agree61.2%
Book 91% · Us 61% -30 price too short
Backed by: the goals counts agree on under 5.5.
TEAM GOALS
Leeds United Over 0.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.53
2 of 2 agree61.2%
Book 65% · Us 61% -4 price too short
Backed by: Leeds United scored in 83% of their last 6 games and Chelsea conceded in 83% of their last 6.
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
CORNERS
Over 3.5 Corners10-ODDS
no price yet
85.4%
OR HOME OVER 1.5
Chelsea or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
1 of 1 agree85.4%
CARDS
Over 1.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
76.8%
LEANS · NOT FOR SLIPS
OR HOME UNDER 2.5
or_home_under_2.5
1.15
1 of 1 agree0%
Book 87% · Us 0% -87 price too short
Backed by: the goals counts agree on under 2.5.
OR AWAY UNDER 2.5
or_away_under_2.5
1.91
1 of 1 agree0%
Book 52% · Us 0% -52 price too short
Backed by: the goals counts agree on under 2.5.
WHY WE PASS
Chelsea or Over 2.5 Goals — no bet. Leeds United saw this bet land in only 1 of their last 6 games. 1 angle argue for it and this one argues against, so it stays off the slip.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 1 12%
Over 1.5 61.2%
Chelsea goals →
Leeds United goals ↓
0-06%
1-09%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-112%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.9%
3-40.4%
4-40.2%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Chelsea score 2.17 and concede 1.67 (last 10, all venues, 6 games), Leeds United score 1 and concede 0.83 (last 10, all venues, 6 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 6
CHELSEALWWWLW2.00 PPG
LEEDS UNITEDDDWWLW1.83 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CHELSEA HOMExLEEDS UNITED AWAY
2.38SCORED A GAME2.501.50CONCEDED A GAME1.1225%CLEAN SHEETS62%5.00CORNERS A GAME3.750.00CARDS A GAME3.002.79xG1.551.08xG AGAINST1.17
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
CHELSEA 6 · 60%DRAW 2LEEDS UNITED 2 · 20%
5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
7 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2026-04-26Chelsea 1 – 0 Leeds United
2026-02-10Chelsea 2 – 2 Leeds United
2025-12-03Chelsea 1 – 3 Leeds United
2024-02-28Chelsea 3 – 2 Leeds United
2023-03-04Chelsea 1 – 0 Leeds United
2022-08-21Chelsea 0 – 3 Leeds United
2022-05-11Chelsea 3 – 0 Leeds United
2021-12-11Chelsea 3 – 2 Leeds United
TRENDS
Chelsea have scored in 88% of their games.
Leeds United have scored in 100% of their games.
Chelsea kept a clean sheet in 25% of their games.
Leeds United kept a clean sheet in 62% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headcornerscards