EDGE PICKToronto FC Over 0.5 Goals · 70.8% · @1.35
Book 74% · Us 71%-3price too short
· main loses on: 2-0, 3-0, 3-1, 4-0, 4-1, 5-0, 4-2, 5-1, 6-0, 5-2, 6-1, 7-0 and 33 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
The read does not call one side better than the other, so this is taken on the counts below and not on a winner. Toronto FC saw this bet land in 6 of their last 6 games. Nashville SC saw this bet land in 6 of their last 6 games.
Bet: Nashville SC +1.5 · Edge: Toronto FC Over 0.5 Goals · Expected goals 1.2 – 1.8
WHY — 2 THINGS AGREE, 0 AGAINST
Angles that agree2/2 lit
TOR 6/6
NAS 6/6
Toronto FC saw this bet land in 6 of their last 6 games
Nashville SC saw this bet land in 6 of their last 6 games
PICKS & CONFIDENCEONE PER MARKET
READY TO BET · PRICED
HANDICAP
Nashville SC +1.5MAIN10-ODDS
1.10
2 of 2 agree89.4%
Book 91% · Us 89%-2price too short
TOTAL GOALS
Under 3.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.46
2 of 2 agree89.1%
Book 68% · Us 89%+21
TEAM GOALS
Nashville SC Over 0.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.20
2 of 2 agree83.5%
Book 83% · Us 84%+1
Backed by: Nashville SC scored in 83% of their last 6 games and Toronto FC conceded in 100% of their last 6.
1UP
Nashville SC or Draw (1UP)10-ODDS
1.24
2 of 2 agree79.6%
Book 81% · Us 80%-1price too short
OR AWAY OVER 2.5
Nashville SC or Over 2.5 Goals10-ODDS
1.35
1 of 1 agree74.3%
Book 74% · Us 74%0
DOUBLE CHANCE
Nashville SC or Draw10-ODDS
1.33
2 of 2 agree71.3%
Book 75% · Us 71%-4price too short
STRONG · WAITING FOR A PRICE
OR AWAY OVER 1.5
Nashville SC or Over 1.5 Goals10-ODDS
no price yet
2 of 2 agree89.3%
CARDS
Over 1.5 Cards10-ODDS
no price yet
87.2%
CORNERS
Over 6.5 Corners10-ODDS
no price yet
84%
SCORELINES
Predicted score
1 – 2 9%
Over 1.5 65.8%
Toronto FC goals →
Nashville SC goals ↓
0-03%
1-04%
2-03%
3-02%
4-00.6%
5-00.2%
0-16%
1-19%
2-17%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-29%
2-27%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-34%
1-36%
2-35%
3-32%
4-30.9%
5-30.3%
0-42%
1-43%
2-42%
3-41%
4-40.5%
5-40.1%
0-50.9%
1-51%
2-51%
3-50.5%
4-50.2%
5-50.1%
Every scoreline's chance from both teams' counted goals a game: Toronto FC score 2.17 and concede 1.83 (last 10, all venues, 6 games), Nashville SC score 2.33 and concede 0.83 (last 10, all venues, 6 games). Brighter squares are likelier; the predicted score is lit.
FORM · LAST 6
TORONTO FCDDWDWD1.67 PPG
NASHVILLE SCDWWWWD2.33 PPG
THE NUMBERS
TORONTO FC HOMExNASHVILLE SC AWAY
1.45SCORED A GAME2.141.73CONCEDED A GAME0.7713%CLEAN SHEETS48%3.88CORNERS A GAME5.502.00CARDS A GAME1.961.04xG1.491.71xG AGAINST1.45
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.67POINTS A GAME2.12-0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.12–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.26LEAGUE GAMES8
Nashville SC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
NASHVILLE SC 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
49%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
45%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
69%
NO · 85/90
TORONTO FC OR DRAW
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
NASHVILLE SC OR DRAW
77%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TORONTO FCxNASHVILLE SC
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME2.602.00CONCEDED A GAME1.003.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
TORONTO FC 2 · 22%DRAW 3NASHVILLE SC 4 · 44%
6 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2025-07-20Toronto FC 0 – 1 Nashville SC
2025-05-24Toronto FC 1 – 2 Nashville SC
2024-06-19Toronto FC 1 – 2 Nashville SC
2024-05-16Toronto FC 0 – 2 Nashville SC
2023-06-10Toronto FC 1 – 1 Nashville SC
2023-04-09Toronto FC 0 – 0 Nashville SC
2022-08-07Toronto FC 4 – 3 Nashville SC
2021-09-18Toronto FC 2 – 1 Nashville SC
TRENDS
Toronto FC have scored in 75% of their games.
Nashville SC have scored in 88% of their games.
Toronto FC kept a clean sheet in 13% of their games.
Nashville SC kept a clean sheet in 48% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards