IRAIRQ

16:00Fri 13 Nov

LBN

LEB

Iraq vs Lebanon

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. An international friendly. Kick-off is Fri 13 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is a friendly, so no points ride on it.

Form. Iraq have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L L. Lebanon have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W.

The numbers. Iraq score 0.9 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Iraq average 7.5 shots (2.4 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Lebanon score 1.9 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets and four games without a goal.

The read. No side to back. A mixed game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Iraq 2-0 Lebanon (14% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Iraq the favourite), a mixed game.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Iraq or Any Clean Sheet: YesIN CODES

1.14

IRQ 8 of 10 (80%) · LBN 10 of 10 (100%)71.7%

Iraq: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lebanon: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · each game weighed by who it was against

Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.52

IRQ 6 of 10 (60%) · LBN 8 of 10 (80%)58.1%

Iraq: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lebanon: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · each game weighed by who it was against

Lebanon or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.84

LBN 7 of 10 (70%) · IRQ 8 of 10 (80%)53.5%

Lebanon: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Iraq: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.39

IRQ 9 of 10 (90%) · LBN 8 of 10 (80%)58.6%

Iraq: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lebanon: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · each game weighed by who it was against

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - NoLEANHELD · the odds board 68%

1.48

IRQ 6 of 10 (60%) · LBN 9 of 10 (90%)40.8%

Iraq: not both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lebanon: not both scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against

IRAQ GOALS

Iraq Under 3.5 goalsIN CODES

1.09

IRQ 10 of 10 (100%) · LBN 9 of 10 (90%)83.2%

Iraq scored under 3.5 in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lebanon conceded under 3.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · each game weighed by who it was against

Iraq Under 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.32

IRQ 9 of 10 (90%) · LBN 9 of 10 (90%)64%

Iraq scored under 2.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lebanon conceded under 2.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against

LEBANON GOALS

Lebanon Under 1.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 92%

1.09

LBN 5 of 10 (50%) · IRQ 4 of 10 (40%)69.1%

Lebanon scored under 1.5 in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Iraq conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.11

IRQ 8 of 10 (80%) · LBN 9 of 10 (90%)86.4%

Iraq: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lebanon: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Both Halves Over 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY

1.09

IRQ 9 of 10 (90%) · LBN 9 of 10 (90%)82.9%

Iraq: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lebanon: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 2PAGE ONLY

1.19

IRQ 9 of 10 (90%) · LBN 7 of 10 (70%)78.3%

Iraq: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lebanon: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.43

IRQ 7 of 10 (70%) · LBN 6 of 10 (60%)69.9%

Iraq: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lebanon: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

2nd Half - GG/NG: NoLEANPAGE ONLY

1.15

IRQ 9 of 10 (90%) · LBN 10 of 10 (100%)68.9%

Iraq: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lebanon: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 97% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.35

IRQ 8 of 10 (80%) · LBN 5 of 10 (50%)66.3%

Iraq: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lebanon: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–0 14.5%

Iraq goals →

Lebanon goals ↓

0-07%

1-013%

2-014%

3-010%

4-06%

5-02%

0-13%

1-19%

2-19%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-21%

1-23%

2-23%

3-22%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-30.3%

1-30.5%

2-30.6%

3-30.4%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.0%

1-40.1%

2-40.1%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

IRAQLWDLLLWLLW1.00 PPG

LEBANONLLWWWDWWDL1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

IRAQ HOMExLEBANON AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.902.10CONCEDED A GAME0.9010%CLEAN SHEETS70%

TRENDS

Iraq have scored in 50% of their games.

Lebanon have scored in 60% of their games.

Iraq kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Lebanon kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards