AFIAFI

13:25Fri 13 Nov

ALR

Afief vs AL Rayan

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Second Division. Kick-off is Fri 13 Nov, 13:25 Lagos time.

Form. Afief have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. AL Rayan have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W.

The numbers. Afief score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Afief average 3.0 corners and 0.0 cards a game. AL Rayan score two and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 33% against the records' 55%.

The read. No firm call: AL Rayan are the better side, but not at this price. A mixed game. AL Rayan are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AL Rayan.

The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Afief 1-1 AL Rayan (13% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (AL Rayan the favourite), a mixed game.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

AL Rayan or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.34

ALR 4 of 5 (80%) · AFI 4 of 5 (80%)63.7%

AL Rayan: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Afief: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · AL Rayan: only games against sides at Afief's level · Afief: only games against sides at AL Rayan's level

Afief or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES

1.26

AFI 4 of 5 (80%) · ALR 4 of 5 (80%)62%

Afief: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · AL Rayan: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Afief: only games against sides at AL Rayan's level · AL Rayan: only games against sides at Afief's level

AL Rayan or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.55

ALR 4 of 5 (80%) · AFI 3 of 5 (60%)55.3%

AL Rayan: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Afief: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · AL Rayan: only games against sides at Afief's level · Afief: only games against sides at AL Rayan's level

Double Chance: Afief or AL RayanHELD · the odds board 78%

1.29

AFI 4 of 5 (80%) · ALR 4 of 5 (80%)54.9%

Afief: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · AL Rayan: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Afief: only games against sides at AL Rayan's level · AL Rayan: only games against sides at Afief's level

Afief or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.45

AFI 3 of 5 (60%) · ALR 4 of 5 (80%)52%

Afief: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · AL Rayan: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Afief: only games against sides at AL Rayan's level · AL Rayan: only games against sides at Afief's level

Double Chance: Draw or AL RayanLEANHELD · the odds board 64%

1.57

ALR 4 of 5 (80%) · AFI 3 of 5 (60%)38.3%

AL Rayan unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · Afief failed to win 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · AL Rayan: only games against sides at Afief's level · Afief: only games against sides at AL Rayan's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.09

AFI 4 of 5 (80%) · ALR 5 of 5 (100%)87.2%

Afief: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · AL Rayan: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Afief: only games against sides at AL Rayan's level · AL Rayan: only games against sides at Afief's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.33

AFI 4 of 5 (80%) · ALR 4 of 5 (80%)56.6%

Afief: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · AL Rayan: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Afief: only games against sides at AL Rayan's level · AL Rayan: only games against sides at Afief's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANHELD · the odds board 56%

1.78

AFI 3 of 5 (60%) · ALR 3 of 5 (60%)35.7%

Afief: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · AL Rayan: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Afief: only games against sides at AL Rayan's level · AL Rayan: only games against sides at Afief's level

AFIEF GOALS

Afief Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.27

AFI 4 of 5 (80%) · ALR 4 of 5 (80%)59.2%

Afief scored in 4 of 5 at home · AL Rayan conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Afief: only games against sides at AL Rayan's level · AL Rayan: only games against sides at Afief's level

AL RAYAN GOALS

AL Rayan Over 0.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 71%

1.40

ALR 4 of 5 (80%) · AFI 4 of 5 (80%)50.7%

AL Rayan scored in 4 of 5 away · Afief conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · AL Rayan: only games against sides at Afief's level · Afief: only games against sides at AL Rayan's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13%

Afief goals →

AL Rayan goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

AFIEFLWLLLDLWLL0.70 PPG

AL RAYANWWWWWWLDDL2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AFIEF HOMExAL RAYAN AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME2.001.90CONCEDED A GAME1.4010%CLEAN SHEETS20%

TRENDS

Afief have scored in 80% of their games.

AL Rayan have scored in 90% of their games.

Afief kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

AL Rayan kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards