Match details. NB III, Southwest - 16. Kick-off is Fri 13 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Budaorsi SC are 13th on 13 points after 14 games, 3 points behind Paksi SE II, 8 points clear of Sárbogárd. A win would take them level on points with Paksi SE II. Erdi VSE are 7th on 22 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Dunaharaszti MTK, 3 points clear of PTE-PEAC. A win would take them above Dunaharaszti MTK.
Form. Budaorsi SC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten league games, 0.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L L L D. In this competition Budaorsi SC have gone D L L L D D. Erdi VSE have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D W L. In this competition Erdi VSE have gone W W D W L W.
The numbers. Budaorsi SC score 1.8 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Erdi VSE score 1.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Budaorsi SC have won three, drawn one and lost one. Three of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Budaorsi SC won two, one was drawn and Erdi VSE won one. The last time they met, on 25 Jul 2026, it finished Budaorsi SC 3-3 Erdi VSE.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 1.5 goals at 84%, over 2.5 at 76%, under 4.5 at 64%. Three of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Budaorsi SC 1-2 Erdi VSE (8% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Erdi VSE the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).