THE READ
Match details. Kuwait take on Syria in an international friendly. Kick-off is set for Fri 13 Nov at 17:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is a friendly, so there are no points riding on this match.
Form. Kuwait have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, averaging 0.4 points a game. Their last five matches ended in five straight losses. Syria have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, earning 2.3 points a game. Their last five read win, loss, draw, draw, win.
The numbers. Kuwait score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. They average 7.0 shots (2.8 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Syria score two and concede 0.2 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets. They average 3.0 shots (1.2 on target), 3.2 corners and 0.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree here. The odds board makes it 45% against the records' 75%.
The read. No firm call: Syria are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Syria are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Syria. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 1.5 goals at 50%, over 2.5 at 37%, under 4.5 at 87%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Kuwait 1-1 Syria (14% chance).
The agreed story. Syria or the draw, a tight game.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
1st Half - Double Chance: Draw or SyriaPAGE ONLY
1.25
SYR 5 of 5 (100%) · KUW 4 of 5 (80%)94%
Syria: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Kuwait: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Kuwait: only games against sides at Syria's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Syria or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.22
SYR 5 of 5 (100%) · KUW 5 of 5 (100%)83.3%
Syria: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Kuwait: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Kuwait: only games against sides at Syria's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Syria (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
SYR 4 of 5 (80%) · KUW 5 of 5 (100%)62.5%
Syria won 4 of 5 away (draws left out) · Kuwait lost 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 82% · Kuwait: only games against sides at Syria's level · each game weighed by who it was against · won 8, refunded 0, lost 2
Syria win or both teams scoreHELD · the odds board 81%
1.24
SYR 4 of 5 (80%) · KUW 5 of 5 (100%)60.3%
Syria: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Kuwait: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Kuwait: only games against sides at Syria's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Syria or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.42
SYR 4 of 5 (80%) · KUW 5 of 5 (100%)57.4%
Syria: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Kuwait: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Kuwait: only games against sides at Syria's level · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
1.10
KUW 4 of 5 (80%) · SYR 4 of 5 (80%)94.4%
Kuwait: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Syria: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Kuwait: only games against sides at Syria's level · each game weighed by who it was against
1.31
KUW 2 of 5 (40%) · SYR 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%
Kuwait: under 3.5 goals in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Syria: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Kuwait: only games against sides at Syria's level · each game weighed by who it was against
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - NoLEANPAGE ONLY
1.93
KUW 2 of 5 (40%) · SYR 5 of 5 (100%)37.2%
Kuwait: not both scored in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Syria: not both scored in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 58% · Kuwait: only games against sides at Syria's level · each game weighed by who it was against
KUWAIT GOALS
Kuwait Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.39
KUW 4 of 5 (80%) · SYR 5 of 5 (100%)77.9%
Kuwait scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Syria conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Kuwait: only games against sides at Syria's level · each game weighed by who it was against
SYRIA GOALS
Syria Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 80%
1.25
SYR 4 of 5 (80%) · KUW 5 of 5 (100%)54.5%
Syria scored in 4 of 5 away · Kuwait conceded in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Kuwait: only games against sides at Syria's level · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.09
KUW 5 of 5 (100%) · SYR 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Kuwait: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Syria: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 98% · on half-time scores · Kuwait: only games against sides at Syria's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Kuwait to Score In Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY
1.16
KUW 5 of 5 (100%) · SYR 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Kuwait: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Syria: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · Kuwait: only games against sides at Syria's level · each game weighed by who it was against
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.18
KUW 5 of 5 (100%) · SYR 5 of 5 (100%)95.7%
Kuwait: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Syria: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 98% · on half-time scores · Kuwait: only games against sides at Syria's level · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half - Kuwait Over/Under: Under 1.5PAGE ONLY
1.11
KUW 4 of 5 (80%) · SYR 5 of 5 (100%)94.5%
Kuwait: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Syria: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Kuwait: only games against sides at Syria's level · each game weighed by who it was against
1st Half Kuwait to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY
1.21
KUW 4 of 5 (80%) · SYR 5 of 5 (100%)94.4%
Kuwait: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Syria: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Kuwait: only games against sides at Syria's level · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.25
KUW 5 of 5 (100%) · SYR 4 of 5 (80%)88.9%
Kuwait: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Syria: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · on half-time scores · Kuwait: only games against sides at Syria's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.39
KUW 4 of 5 (80%) · SYR 5 of 5 (100%)84.7%
Kuwait: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Syria: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 86% · on half-time scores · Kuwait: only games against sides at Syria's level · each game weighed by who it was against
OTHER
1.11
KUW 4 of 5 (80%) · SYR 5 of 5 (100%)92%
Kuwait: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Syria: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Kuwait: only games against sides at Syria's level · each game weighed by who it was against