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Borussia M´gladbach vs Standard Liege

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THE READ

Match details. An international friendly. Kick-off is Thu 12 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach.

What's at stake. It is a friendly, so no points ride on it.

Form. Borussia M´gladbach have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L. Standard Liege have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L.

The numbers. Borussia M´gladbach score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Borussia M´gladbach average 12.8 shots (4.5 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. Standard Liege score 1.5 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Standard Liege average 15.3 shots (4.7 on target), 6.7 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 22% against the records' 57%.

The read. No firm call: Standard Liege are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Standard Liege the likelier winners; Standard Liege are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Standard Liege.

The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Borussia M´gladbach 1-1 Standard Liege (10% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Standard Liege the favourite), an open game.

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Borussia M´gladbach to Win Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY
1.20
BOR 4 of 5 (80%) · STA 9 of 10 (90%)94.8%
Borussia M´gladbach: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Standard Liege: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores
Borussia M´gladbach to Win to Nil: NoIN CODES
1.33
BOR 4 of 5 (80%) · STA 9 of 10 (90%)86.7%
Borussia M´gladbach: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Standard Liege: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%
Borussia M´gladbach (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOR 5 of 5 (100%) · STA 7 of 10 (70%)80%
Borussia M´gladbach: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Standard Liege: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOR 4 of 5 (80%) · STA 6 of 10 (60%)72.7%
Borussia M´gladbach: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Standard Liege: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
Double Chance: Borussia M´gladbach or Standard LiegeIN CODES
1.20
BOR 4 of 5 (80%) · STA 9 of 10 (90%)68.7%
Borussia M´gladbach: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Standard Liege: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%
Standard Liege or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
STA 8 of 10 (80%) · BOR 3 of 5 (60%)59.8%
Standard Liege: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Borussia M´gladbach: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%
Borussia M´gladbach or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOR 4 of 5 (80%) · STA 6 of 10 (60%)59%
Borussia M´gladbach: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Standard Liege: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
Borussia M´gladbach or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOR 4 of 5 (80%) · STA 4 of 5 (80%)52%
Borussia M´gladbach scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Standard Liege trailed or failed to win in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Standard Liege or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
STA 3 of 5 (60%) · BOR 6 of 10 (60%)50.6%
Standard Liege scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Borussia M´gladbach trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 at home
Borussia M´gladbach or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOR 4 of 5 (80%) · STA 6 of 10 (60%)50.3%
Borussia M´gladbach: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Standard Liege: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
Standard Liege (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
3.40
STA 5 of 9 (56%) · BOR 7 of 9 (78%)48.7%
Standard Liege won 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Borussia M´gladbach lost 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 67% · won 4, refunded 1, lost 4
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOR 4 of 5 (80%) · STA 10 of 10 (100%)91.7%
Borussia M´gladbach: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Standard Liege: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.17
BOR 4 of 5 (80%) · STA 8 of 10 (80%)87.1%
Borussia M´gladbach: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Standard Liege: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.55
BOR 3 of 5 (60%) · STA 5 of 10 (50%)71.3%
Borussia M´gladbach: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Standard Liege: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.62
BOR 3 of 5 (60%) · STA 5 of 10 (50%)56%
Borussia M´gladbach: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Standard Liege: both scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55%
BORUSSIA M´GLADBACH GOALS
Borussia M´gladbach Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOR 4 of 5 (80%) · STA 6 of 10 (60%)68.3%
Borussia M´gladbach scored in 4 of 5 at home · Standard Liege conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
STANDARD LIEGE GOALS
Standard Liege Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.42
STA 9 of 10 (90%) · BOR 3 of 5 (60%)78.3%
Standard Liege scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Borussia M´gladbach conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85%
Standard Liege Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
STA 5 of 10 (50%) · BOR 3 of 5 (60%)40.3%
Standard Liege scored over 1.5 in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Borussia M´gladbach conceded over 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65%
HALVES
1st Half Borussia M´gladbach to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY
1.46
BOR 4 of 5 (80%) · STA 7 of 10 (70%)79%
Borussia M´gladbach: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Standard Liege: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.23
BOR 3 of 5 (60%) · STA 9 of 10 (90%)75.6%
Borussia M´gladbach: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Standard Liege: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOR 4 of 5 (80%) · STA 7 of 10 (70%)74.7%
Borussia M´gladbach: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Standard Liege: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
Both Halves Over 1.5: NoHELD · the odds board 83%
1.20
BOR 3 of 5 (60%) · STA 10 of 10 (100%)56.2%
Borussia M´gladbach: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Standard Liege: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores
CORNERS
Over 7.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOR 7 of 8 (88%) · STA 7 of 7 (100%)93.8%
Borussia M´gladbach's games: over 7.5 corners in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Standard Liege's games: over 7.5 corners in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94%
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOR 7 of 8 (88%) · STA 5 of 7 (71%)79.5%
Borussia M´gladbach's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Standard Liege's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79%
OTHER
GG/NG 2+: NoHELD · the odds board 86%
1.16
BOR 3 of 5 (60%) · STA 9 of 10 (90%)58.7%
Borussia M´gladbach: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Standard Liege: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 10.3%
Borussia M´gladbach goals →
Standard Liege goals ↓
0-04%
1-05%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-16%
1-110%
2-17%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-29%
2-27%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-34%
1-36%
2-34%
3-32%
4-30.8%
5-30.2%
0-42%
1-43%
2-42%
3-41.0%
4-40.4%
5-40.1%
0-50.6%
1-51.0%
2-50.7%
3-50.4%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
BORUSSIA M´GLADBACHLLLLLLWWDL0.70 PPG
STANDARD LIEGEWWWLLLWLDW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BORUSSIA M´GLADBACH HOMExSTANDARD LIEGE AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.502.50CONCEDED A GAME1.1020%CLEAN SHEETS40%10%FAILED TO SCORE44%3.75CORNERS A GAME6.713.62CARDS A GAME1.571.48xG1.871.81xG AGAINST1.46
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.44POINTS A GAME1.56-1.44GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.33-4.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.20.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.89LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
82%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
65%
NO · 85/90
BORUSSIA M´GLADBACH OR DRAW
54%
NO · 80/85
STANDARD LIEGE OR DRAW
70%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
BORUSSIA M´GLADBACHxSTANDARD LIEGE
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.601.80CONCEDED A GAME1.803.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE80%4.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.010.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Borussia M´gladbach have scored in 70% of their games.
Standard Liege have scored in 90% of their games.
Borussia M´gladbach kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Standard Liege kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetscornerscards
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