THE READ
Match details. First Division. Kick-off is Thu 12 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Al-Ahly Amman have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L. Amman FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W D.
The numbers. Al-Ahly Amman score 1.1 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Al-Ahly Amman average 10.6 shots (3.5 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Amman FC score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Amman FC average 8.9 shots (4.0 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 31% against the records' 53%.
The read. No firm call: Amman FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Amman FC the likelier winners; Amman FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Amman FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 1.5 goals at 68%, over 2.5 at 48%, under 4.5 at 87%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, rated 82% (Al-Ahly Amman: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; Amman FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: GG/NG 2+: No at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Al-Ahly Amman 1-1 Amman FC (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Amman FC the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Amman FC or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
AMM 5 of 5 (100%) · ALA 7 of 7 (100%)78.7%
Amman FC scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Ahly Amman trailed or failed to win in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Al-Ahly Amman (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALA 9 of 10 (90%) · AMM 3 of 5 (60%)76.7%
Al-Ahly Amman: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amman FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
Amman FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AMM 5 of 5 (100%) · ALA 7 of 10 (70%)65.3%
Amman FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Al-Ahly Amman: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALA 6 of 10 (60%) · AMM 5 of 5 (100%)60.3%
Al-Ahly Amman: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amman FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
Al-Ahly Amman or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALA 4 of 5 (80%) · AMM 6 of 10 (60%)57.2%
Al-Ahly Amman scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amman FC trailed or failed to win in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues)
Amman FC (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
2.20
AMM 5 of 6 (83%) · ALA 5 of 8 (62%)54.9%
Amman FC won 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Al-Ahly Amman lost 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 73% · won 4, refunded 3, lost 2
Amman FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AMM 3 of 5 (60%) · ALA 8 of 10 (80%)52%
Amman FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Al-Ahly Amman: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
Al-Ahly Amman or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALA 9 of 10 (90%) · AMM 2 of 5 (40%)50.3%
Al-Ahly Amman: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amman FC: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
Amman FC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AMM 3 of 5 (60%) · ALA 4 of 7 (57%)47.7%
Amman FC scored first 1 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Ahly Amman trailed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
GOALS
no price yet
ALA 10 of 10 (100%) · AMM 4 of 5 (80%)92.7%
Al-Ahly Amman: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amman FC: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%
no price yet
ALA 9 of 10 (90%) · AMM 4 of 5 (80%)87.7%
Al-Ahly Amman: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amman FC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.23
ALA 8 of 10 (80%) · AMM 4 of 5 (80%)82.7%
Al-Ahly Amman: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amman FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
no price yet
ALA 9 of 10 (90%) · AMM 4 of 5 (80%)65.3%
Al-Ahly Amman: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amman FC: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 75%
1.34
ALA 6 of 10 (60%) · AMM 4 of 5 (80%)50.3%
Al-Ahly Amman: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amman FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
AMMAN FC GOALS
Amman FC Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.41
AMM 4 of 5 (80%) · ALA 9 of 10 (90%)65.3%
Amman FC scored in 4 of 5 away · Al-Ahly Amman conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
CORNERS
Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALA 7 of 10 (70%) · AMM 7 of 8 (88%)78.8%
Al-Ahly Amman's games: over 6.5 corners in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amman FC's games: over 6.5 corners in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79%
OTHER
GG/NG 2+: NoBACKUPIN CODES
1.09
ALA 10 of 10 (100%) · AMM 4 of 5 (80%)92.7%
Al-Ahly Amman: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amman FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%
Al-Ahly Amman Clean Sheet: NoIN CODES
1.41
ALA 9 of 10 (90%) · AMM 4 of 5 (80%)65.3%
Al-Ahly Amman: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amman FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
Left off the list: Over 3.5 Cards (the numbers (51%) and the records (71%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it)
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
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85 OF 93
PRICE NOT KEPT
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.